Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1dfa95115380f6e9f7fb8185b6153501e3a4354d2e6821278a37a4feb6d10ec3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,137
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,585
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,137 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 66c | 5,656$3,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.17 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x100a…c6cebacked No | 1c | 2,658$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 255 | 4.3%11 W · 244 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +221.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…e255backed No | 11c | 2,273$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 119 | 25.2%30 W · 89 L | -14.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbda1…827fbacked No | 73c | 2,007$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.57 | 309 | 19.4%60 W · 249 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffb…119dbacked No | 1c | 1,902$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 430 | 21.9%94 W · 336 L | +22.0wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36bb…e181backed Yes | 53c | 977.78$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.83 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…f0f0backed No | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 47c | 688.28$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.63 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85bd…7f75backed Yes | 68c | 620.47$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.45 | 253 | 62.8%159 W · 94 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15b1…a8e8backed Yes | 40c | 578$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.8 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 31c | 465.02$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.13 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked No | 3c | 430.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 368 | 19.6%72 W · 296 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 63c | 400$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.4 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc12f…5c57backed Yes | 35c | 360.11$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.49 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 28c | 347.18$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.25 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 54c | 339.37$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.26 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 41c | 319.21$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.65 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 12c | 311.96$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 621 | 9.8%61 W · 560 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c0…01a4backed Yes | 24c | 300$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 19c | 267.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.69 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed Yes | 24c | 257.88$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.11 | 230 | 35.7%82 W · 148 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 38c | 254.05$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 21c | 221.23$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.44 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x563c…2761backed Yes | 35c | 216.53$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +184.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd16f…2badbacked Yes | 44c | 214.09$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.68 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…8ba6backed Yes | 29c | 200$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.5 | 304 | 42.8%130 W · 174 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1535…d77bbacked Yes | 27c | 199.36$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.53 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 28c | 179.12$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.02 | 601 | 21%126 W · 475 L | -25.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b0…64f3backed Yes | 47c | 170.24$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.68 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 35c | 155.21$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.61 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5245…00c4backed Yes | 38c | 134.05$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.75 | 296 | 40.5%120 W · 176 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4d…ee6abacked Yes | 80c | 131.22$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.48 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 130$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…1274backed Yes | 25c | 128.13$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.75 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecf…05fbbacked Yes | 39c | 128.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.8 | 130 | 42.3%55 W · 75 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked No | 72c | 119.98$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.31 | 117 | 31.6%37 W · 80 L | -19.1wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…75fabacked Yes | 25c | 119.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.5 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6688…fdcebacked Yes | 35c | 109.6$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.67 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd62c…4efcbacked No | 75c | 108.33$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.46 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 78c | 106.79$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.77 | 318 | 68.6%218 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf899…0759backed Yes | 31c | 104.67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.1 | 267 | 38.6%103 W · 164 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed Yes | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed No | 64c | 99.1$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.07 | 285 | 17.9%51 W · 234 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…681bbacked Yes | 35c | 99.01$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.35 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x803a…219ebacked Yes | 62c | 98.28$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 262 | 65.6%172 W · 90 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 68c | 97.42$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.08 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f0…22e0backed Yes | 25c | 97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.52 | 70 | 21.4%15 W · 55 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda7…3ca8backed Yes | 49c | 96.84$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.39 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 48c | 94.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.18 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc907…020fbacked Yes | 30c | 93.68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.79 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…9df3backed Yes | 28c | 91.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.19 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 37c | 87.8$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.08 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaca…51f6backed Yes | 23c | 85.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.51 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 27c | 83.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.12 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 66c | 80.93$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…9491backed No | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…bf83backed Yes | 26c | 76.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.33 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f3…92d6backed Yes | 33c | 75.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed No | 70c | 69.66$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 271 | 67.2%182 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb43…e61bbacked Yes | 23c | 69.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.54 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…f038backed No | 36c | 69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 661 | 41.8%276 W · 385 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf31…454abacked No | 59c | 68.97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.69 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x013a…e374backed Yes | 29c | 65.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.55 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7943…27a1backed Yes | 27c | 64.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.48 | 320 | 44.7%143 W · 177 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf21e…bcdbbacked No | 16c | 62.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff7…fb8bbacked Yes | 48c | 60.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 513 | 21.2%109 W · 404 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733b…f7f7backed Yes | 36c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -7.8wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…aca6backed Yes | 27c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 262 | 36.6%96 W · 166 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd8…4ed3backed Yes | 29c | 59.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.39 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked No | 31c | 59.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…b00dbacked No | 66c | 59.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 786 | 63.6%500 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x272a…88cfbacked Yes | 30c | 59.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.39 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 32cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 28c | 59.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.71 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1d…55c4backed Yes | 32c | 58.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.21 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a80…7deabacked Yes | 32c | 57.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb05…1b2fbacked Yes | 33c | 56.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.67 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +118%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e48…99b9backed Yes | 35c | 53.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c63…fafebacked Yes | 28c | 53.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.56 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ada…4908backed Yes | 26c | 53.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.45 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…0d14backed Yes | 34c | 53.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.18 | 148 | 29.7%44 W · 104 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd38…ddadbacked No | 69c | 53.3$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.77 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 72c | 52.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2c…7d3cbacked Yes | 27c | 50.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.93 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98d9…2c8cbacked Yes | 37c | 50.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 576 | 59%340 W · 236 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0504…923abacked Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5178…06debacked Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f7…dae0backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6639…7202backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.42 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40c3…eea7backed Yes | 37c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd84…109dbacked Yes | 23c | 49.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.34 | 220 | 28.2%62 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d41…24d7backed Yes | 28c | 49.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1aa…480cbacked No | 63c | 48.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5485…0864backed No | 28c | 48.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…9f33backed No | 69c | 48.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.43 | 351 | 68.4%240 W · 111 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…d0abbacked Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ee…44a4backed Yes | 28c | 46.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.41 | 113 | 41.6%47 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85ba…e33abacked Yes | 36c | 45.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82ce…e92abacked No | 56c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 124 | 67.7%84 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 30c | 40.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 328 | 18.3%60 W · 268 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 10?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.