Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6d191375b0c500c79f400a9794ccc58729c01e28d569d113cc6653db80c3b65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,897
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,539
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,897 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 22c | 1,958$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.14 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffb…119dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,231$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 430 | 21.9%94 W · 336 L | +22.0wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 19c | 677.92$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.64 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed Yes | 14c | 669.71$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.91 | 285 | 17.9%51 W · 234 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 14c | 534.22$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.79 | 601 | 21%126 W · 475 L | -25.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc12f…5c57backed Yes | 26c | 420.05$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.37 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 27c | 389.72$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.16 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 10c | 372.74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.16 | 346 | 18.8%65 W · 281 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 78c | 314.74$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.62 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 12c | 300$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked No | 63c | 250$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.92 | 117 | 31.6%37 W · 80 L | -19.1wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 5c | 238.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…75fabacked Yes | 13c | 230.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 20c | 217.77$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.15 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 19c | 213.73$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.54 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bb…e181backed Yes | 13c | 209.74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…0d14backed Yes | 10c | 209.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 148 | 29.7%44 W · 104 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 44c | 200$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…8ba6backed Yes | 15c | 199.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 304 | 42.8%130 W · 174 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd721…57a7backed Yes | 15c | 149.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 451 | 27.1%122 W · 329 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…411abacked No | 70c | 149.56$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.74 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f0…22e0backed Yes | 13c | 148.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 70 | 21.4%15 W · 55 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc907…020fbacked Yes | 35c | 145.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.47 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed No | 67c | 135.06$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.71 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3886…b492backed Yes | 22c | 125$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 561 | 18.4%103 W · 458 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3182…4ff7backed No | 65c | 121.01$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.62 | 141 | 68.1%96 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d78…e218backed Yes | 14c | 118.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 39c | 116.28$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.74 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cf…52d1backed No | 80c | 104.12$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac68…f1fcbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 107 | 28%30 W · 77 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf62…fad7backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Yes | 26c | 99.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x386a…f99fbacked Yes | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe668…917ebacked No | 75c | 99.15$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5245…00c4backed Yes | 36c | 98.27$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.12 | 296 | 40.5%120 W · 176 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf899…0759backed Yes | 45c | 90$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 267 | 38.6%103 W · 164 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 19c | 88.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x039c…af44backed Yes | 30c | 86.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 75c | 83.43$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 24c | 78.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 25c | 77.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab3c…cf5dbacked Yes | 26c | 71.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb05…1b2fbacked Yes | 26c | 71.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +118%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9729…038abacked No | 68c | 71.52$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed No | 66c | 71.51$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 271 | 67.2%182 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 75c | 70.46$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 318 | 68.6%218 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…1513backed Yes | 49c | 66.42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…681bbacked Yes | 31c | 65.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…b00dbacked No | 66c | 59.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.39 | 786 | 63.6%500 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4d…ee6abacked Yes | 39c | 59.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79e6…aaa1backed No | 74c | 57.41$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -49%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7943…27a1backed Yes | 35c | 56.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 320 | 44.7%143 W · 177 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc1…5f7bbacked No | 67c | 55.43$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 105 | 69.5%73 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…d4bcbacked Yes | 20c | 55.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 130 | 10.8%14 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x967e…2fb6backed No | 60c | 52.09$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 143 | 32.9%47 W · 96 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 40c | 52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6639…7202backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1811…2816backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ee…44a4backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 113 | 41.6%47 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…7701backed Yes | 33c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…9f33backed No | 77c | 49.68$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 351 | 68.4%240 W · 111 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 22c | 47.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…439fbacked No | 56c | 46.97$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 594 | 40.6%241 W · 353 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…8e12backed Yes | 40c | 46.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 474 | 42.4%201 W · 273 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a80…7deabacked Yes | 25c | 46.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed No | 67c | 45.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c63…fafebacked Yes | 32c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38b3…9770backed Yes | 32c | 43.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd38…ddadbacked No | 71c | 42.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…2eb3backed No | 60c | 40.03$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd7…a774backed Yes | 27c | 39.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…ff74backed No | 64c | 39.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…f038backed No | 50c | 39.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 661 | 41.8%276 W · 385 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Yes | 26c | 39.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 59c | 38.15$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc931…7d46backed No | 65c | 36.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ce…e92abacked No | 66c | 35.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 124 | 67.7%84 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7831…1fcbbacked Yes | 41c | 34.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 39cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ed…b814backed No | 70c | 34.42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7966…b251backed No | 67c | 31.27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4b…4fe3backed No | 78c | 31.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 68c | 30.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7aea…2ab8backed No | 55c | 29.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -7.1wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 73c | 29.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…abbbbacked Yes | 43c | 29.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5208…ec3abacked No | 66c | 25.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb537…14ccbacked No | 75c | 25.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 414 | 60.1%249 W · 165 L | -21.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…705dbacked No | 56c | 25.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 63c | 21.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccd…383bbacked No | 67c | 19.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 208 | 66.8%139 W · 69 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5c…ef7fbacked No | 77c | 16.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 123 | 65%80 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc41…c3f9backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 74cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0494…631fbacked No | 76c | 14.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.51 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…c70bbacked No | 76c | 13.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.34 | 549 | 66.7%366 W · 183 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 10?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 10?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.