TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7373…7701

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
372
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Commodities, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 59 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT7135.2%25 W · 46 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 71 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.77
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.14
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+120.8%+$17.94
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.5
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by 9% or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+203%+$26.8
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.2
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$6.27
Will the Green Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+139.6%+$135.43
Will the Green Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.3
Will the Green Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$9.74
Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 800 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.38
Will the Labour Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+80.7%+$37.32
Will the Green Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the Liberal Democrats win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+76.8%+$19.46
Will the Labour Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+451.8%+$229.02
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.6
Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.21
Will GERB-UDF (GERB-SDS) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+86.3%+$52.41
Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.07
Will GERB-UDF (GERB-SDS) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.52
Will United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.53
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the 2026 Bulgarian Parliamentary election by 5-10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.83
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the 2026 Bulgarian Parliamentary election by 15-20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.6
Showing 25 of 71 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT5541.8%23 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$7.6
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.13
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.54
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$4.51
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$13.91
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$415.09
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.3
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$188
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.69
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.62
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.73
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.96
Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+55.4%+$10.7
Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.1
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+557.5%+$133.52
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.99
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.11
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+49.1%+$123.4
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$440.04
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.43
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT4153.7%22 W · 19 L+5.3wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+21.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Commodities — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+93.5%+$70.41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.15
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.6
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+71.1%+$148.56
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$9.45
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.49
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+75.8%+$25.86
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.56
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.81
Will 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.94
Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+330.6%+$72.94
Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.19
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+60.4%+$35.21
Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+150.3%+$52.71
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$18.5
Will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.31
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$14.02
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+44.3%+$45.55
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.82
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+149.2%+$252.79
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.27
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+63.5%+$20.12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.1
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT2828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+135.1%+$24.41
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.61
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.81
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.35
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+67.8%+$16.16
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on April 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$24.48
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on April 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.39
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+50.3%+$20.91
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.01
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or below on April 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.42
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.17
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.4
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.81
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.58
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+159.5%+$37.42
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+291.1%+$31.68
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C or higher on March 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.55
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on March 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.14
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on March 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.04
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.98
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on March 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.19
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2718.5%5 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-38.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Noam Chomsky be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Woody Allen be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.49
Will Deepak Chopra be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.84
Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$53.07
Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$36.12
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33.28
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$86.12
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$142.73
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+88.9%+$73.3
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$14.03
Will the government shutdown end November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$86.05
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+227.9%+$533.65
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+361.5%+$725.88
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Will the government shutdown end November 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$94.01
Will the government shutdown end November 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$52.21
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.3
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.31
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+311.6%+$62.33
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.81
Will Trump say Bibi during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.12
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT2722.2%6 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-56.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $650b and $660b on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.01
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+29%+$45
Will Sam Altman say "Silicon Valley" or "Nerd" on The Tonight Show on December 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$16.2
Will the assassination of Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched news on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+139.2%+$408.6
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+69.6%+$23.24
Will Ozzy Osbourne be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Zohran Mamdani be the #2 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #2 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$11.63
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$46
Will Zohran Mamdani be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$77.6
Will Taylor Swift be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$39
Google Trends Parlaybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$46
Will Kendrick Lamar rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+163.2%+$24.8
Will Taylor Swift rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Charlie Kirk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$435.17
Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$454Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$454.43
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$38
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$53.84
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+129.6%+$57.02
Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
Will anyone say "Revolutionary" during Apple launch event on September 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT2133.3%7 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+41.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.83
Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.36
Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.6
Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+155.8%+$70.65
Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 80k and 100k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.33
Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 140k and 160k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$9.3
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+60.6%+$20.75
Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+232%+$41.93
Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Will Debi Tirar Mas Fotos by Bad Bunny be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of February 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$11.6
Will SZA release a new song in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$35.91
Will Kazakhstan participate in Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 3500000 and 3750000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.66
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 3250000 and 3500000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.92
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 2750000 and 3000000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$49
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 3000000 and 3250000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 2500000 and 2750000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.4
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be 4000000 or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+1,175.4%+$354.96
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be under 2500000?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+205.2%+$280.3
Will Taylor Swift release a new original song by October 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+400%+$40
All 21 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST1618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-47.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ariana Grande win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+289%+$315.8
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11.82
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+169%+$250.98
Will "David" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$46
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$38.79
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 123m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$133.2
Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$169.61
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$273.76
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$77.35
Will "The Spongebob Movie: Search for SquarePants" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 24m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Will 'Zootopia 2' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$113.57
Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$636Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$635.96
Will “Nobody Wants This: Season 2” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 11 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$61.65
Will “The Witcher: Season 4” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 11 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will “Death by Lightning” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 11 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 16 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST1225%3 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-32.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 55% of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+158.6%+$204.75
Will Zohran Mamdani get 65% or more of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$15.18
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 45% and 50% of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$108.2
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 55% and 60% of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$15.94
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$36.8
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$71
Will Zohran Mamdani get less than 45% of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$29.6
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+304.1%+$584.77
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 12-15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,006Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$1,005.76
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+44.1%+$15.43
Will anyone say "Public transport" 3+ times during 1st NYC mayoral debate on October 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.4
Will anyone say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during 1st NYC mayoral debate on October 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.7
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1070%7 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+52.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump announce a cut to U.S. military or intelligence aid to Ukraine by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$32.4
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$46.5
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on December 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+51.5%+$8.84
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+246.4%+$135.02
Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday at least 15%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+132.6%+$14.25
Will Trump say "Ukraine" or "Ukrainian" 10+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
More EU sanctions on Russia by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.92
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+110.3%+$11.52
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+191.5%+$34.16
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$21.75
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+79.3%+$11.5
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 209.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+70%+$8.4
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$7.74
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$12.07
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 208.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.81
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 241.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.76
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.98
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.34
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST80%0 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-39.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-56.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick40cpaid+172.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$24.85
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$23.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+135.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+135.8%+$16.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC: Khamzat Chimaev to Land 1st Minute Takedown?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.