Us Politics · resolved market
Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf913e9ae82d712931341b86f3c4af2fa2bc339e79d42a76cac2e6c636b8a09e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,012
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,286
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,012 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe598…a0a8backed No | 75c | 7,311$5,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,803.72 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…8924backed Yes | 23c | 6,429$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.99 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +10.8wins | +0.41per pick | 24cpaid | +149.6%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 18c | 3,376$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.14 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb980…62e6backed No | 69c | 3,035$2,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Yes | 26c | 3,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 23c | 1,649$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.07 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 67c | 1,503$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.19 | 184 | 45.1%83 W · 101 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked Yes | 10c | 1,447$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.33 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f23…90dbbacked Yes | 23c | 1,383$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35f9…e09dbacked Yes | 32c | 1,370$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.17per pick | 32cpaid | -57%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed No | 80c | 1,292$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.77 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 26c | 1,143$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.47 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…c16abacked No | 66c | 1,083$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 68c | 999.96$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.99 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked Yes | 21c | 788.32$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.92 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd1…cfb4backed Yes | 36c | 699.99$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 66c | 678.83$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.43 | 223 | 47.5%106 W · 117 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 78c | 560.45$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.7 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae3…6c99backed Yes | 3c | 483.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d1…a379backed Yes | 36c | 456.56$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.76 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 21c | 430.3$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.1 | 152 | 27.6%42 W · 110 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e21…a2b8backed Yes | 28c | 399.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c73…cb5bbacked Yes | 4c | 351.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f26…bac3backed Yes | 13c | 350$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2022…4505backed Yes | 15c | 344.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cc…9144backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 79c | 331.25$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.54 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4165…da31backed Yes | 31c | 327.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…8bc3backed No | 69c | 327.47$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.86 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf595…8413backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x540a…64c9backed No | 72c | 305.43$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.11 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3a…ee52backed Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 22cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed No | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0262…a9d2backed No | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d86…5073backed Yes | 30c | 300$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d62…27e0backed No | 69c | 299.95$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.98 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1472…9863backed Yes | 13c | 284.62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93c4…dca6backed Yes | 29c | 272.37$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 25c | 260.82$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.16 | 441 | 11.3%50 W · 391 L | -44.5wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7c…51b6backed Yes | 25c | 260$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d65…3781backed Yes | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 5c | 249.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 76 | 5.3%4 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc2…1e51backed Yes | 21c | 240$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked Yes | 17c | 233.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.67 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +87%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…16a3backed Yes | 17c | 233.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.67 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 18cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x563a…f578backed Yes | 17c | 233.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.67 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f62…e744backed No | 71c | 231.79$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.72 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc14…2e9bbacked No | 71c | 212.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3462…de48backed No | 70c | 204.38$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x163b…eb9dbacked Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Yes | 30c | 199.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked No | 71c | 199.99$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed Yes | 15c | 189.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 126 | 31.7%40 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 28c | 185.09$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.64 | 149 | 35.6%53 W · 96 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeefb…4893backed Yes | 42c | 180$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc174…c060backed No | 58c | 180$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4d…a334backed Yes | 21c | 166.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef67…2a33backed Yes | 18c | 164.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -86.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…e3febacked Yes | 18c | 159.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +117.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd96c…8dafbacked Yes | 32c | 156.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes | 18c | 155.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…b50bbacked No | 77c | 135.34$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.13 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17ad…b913backed No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c0…38acbacked Yes | 19c | 133.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x950a…fca5backed Yes | 20c | 129$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Yes | 32c | 124.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9769…5ebebacked No | 73c | 120$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 13c | 118.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4a82backed Yes | 29c | 110$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x535e…3295backed Yes | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 73c | 107.39$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b58…e80abacked Yes | 30c | 100.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc37b…9b85backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ff…7e02backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 10cpaid | +111.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…2d1abacked Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9507…7b04backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad8…93b6backed No | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfef6…e212backed Yes | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…af22backed Yes | 29c | 99.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked No | 69c | 95.46$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3106…23a8backed Yes | 17c | 93.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7022…f64ebacked No | 72c | 93.45$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.72 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Yes | 20c | 93.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0b…663cbacked No | 71c | 84.51$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6a…fe50backed Yes | 31c | 81.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0a…1a57backed Yes | 28c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 67c | 79.34$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 336 | 18.5%62 W · 274 L | -46.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -60%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdf86…601fbacked Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed No | 72c | 74.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 67c | 74.1$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.68 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…e4efbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…5ce9backed No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4360…0379backed Yes | 26c | 70.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b9…1951backed No | 71c | 69.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +91.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ae…b38abacked Yes | 31c | 67.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 22c | 66.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?this page
- Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No won
- Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No won
- Will Deepak Chopra be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No won
- Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No won
- Will Elon Musk be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No won
- Will Harvey Weinstein be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No won
- Will Hillary Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No won
- Will Jay-Z be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No won
- Will Kevin Spacey be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No won
- Will Marco Rubio be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No won
- Will Michael Jackson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No won
- Will Noam Chomsky be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No won
- Will Peter Attia be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No won
- Will Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes won
- Will Steven Tisch be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No won
- Will Woody Allen be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.