TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3f26…bac3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
188
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: MLB, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 58 out of 100; worst World Politics at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT9543.2%41 W · 54 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 95 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Piers Morgan attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$18.82
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+72.1%+$209.5
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Kylian Mbappe score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+156.1%+$23.41
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,110
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.2
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+236.1%+$212.52
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$299.2
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.2
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Norway be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+122.6%+$112.01
Spread: Norway (-1.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Showing 25 of 95 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-38%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+46.4%+$153.28
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$416Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$384
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+40.7%+$40.65
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$202.5
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$4,620Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,620
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$200
Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+101.6%+$233.63
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,095Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,095.05
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.42
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.65
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$107.69
All 18 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-28%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
World Politics — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+316.8%+$63.37
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$761Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+26%+$197.87
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+494.7%+$448.69
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.14
Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.43
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$272
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$904Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$530.92
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.64
Will Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$493Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$492.73
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the March meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.08
All 18 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+101.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+49.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+41.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+42.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+312.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-51.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-33.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+123.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will MLS All-Stars win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+123.5%+$52.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,400 (LOW) in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$25.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Praggnanandhaa R win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
La Velada del Año 6: Lit Killah vs Kidd Keobacked Kidd Keo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.51
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.