TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spainof Spain, France
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,067,136
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,073,891

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,067,136 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 307 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed France79c211,374$167,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167,574.374,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d77…bcafbacked Spain12c161,991$19,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142,956.853525.7%9 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Spain12c82,098$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72,098.4418740.6%76 W · 111 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4572…5e86backed Spain25c27,000$6,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,384.9911642.2%49 W · 67 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+37.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Spain12c18,959$2,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,624.438,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Spain55c18,741$10,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,521.3737223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf377…4159backed Spain12c12,500$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,0005328.3%15 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x927c…6633backed Spain23c9,327$2,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,169.5110251%52 W · 50 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Spain23c9,031$2,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,923.933,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Spain64c8,646$5,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,106.7364446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked Spain73c7,496$5,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,016.1120646.1%95 W · 111 L+12.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed France53c7,210$3,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,813.172,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked Spain23c6,800$1,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,253.3514250%71 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked France32c6,758$2,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,140.1253629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed France79c6,295$4,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,985.732,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked France36c5,922$2,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,103.593,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked France40c5,883$2,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,355.6766846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked France52c5,637$2,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,921.12,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e35…eef1backed France36c5,564$1,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,980.5520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed Spain12c5,408$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,772.31850%9 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+73.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed France37c4,998$1,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,824.3618837.2%70 W · 118 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed Spain12c4,951$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,338.121020%2 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick31cpaid+12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spain50c4,785$2,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,387.282,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Spain69c4,770$3,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,461.74,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57ef…044abacked Spain23c4,748$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,644.0513554.8%74 W · 61 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Spain71c4,533$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,332.9514132.6%46 W · 95 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-35.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf361…9071backed Spain73c4,404$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,203.54837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-45%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Spain12c4,312$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,795.7416831.5%53 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Spain12c4,132$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,632.2715441.6%64 W · 90 L+12.7wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Spain11c4,109$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,663.5171638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Spain27c3,859$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,823.8151032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Spain63c3,853$2,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,432.231,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed Spain24c3,754$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,853.5224917.7%44 W · 205 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32d8…4cf8backed Spain23c3,342$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,587.881625%4 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed France76c2,849$2,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,157.551,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed France58c2,474$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,425.4326841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Spain74c2,382$1,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.2974752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e9e…b594backed France42c2,372$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006950.7%35 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9706…bc33backed Spain13c2,366$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,065.6322626.5%60 W · 166 L+0.9wins0.00per pick26cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54da…1facbacked France31c2,230$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.6115341.8%64 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e9f…6561backed Spain12c2,197$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,922.99633.3%32 W · 64 L-0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Spain19c2,111$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,708.1926459.5%157 W · 107 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked Spain66c2,048$1,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.594839.6%19 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x522f…1415backed France77c2,000$1,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5452979.3%23 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick74cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…5a43backed Spain12c2,000$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,765333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick10cpaid+183.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bff…5c18backed Spain24c2,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,519.9921429.4%63 W · 151 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x837d…8a0dbacked Spain24c1,999$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,523.93825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe40b…9ab4backed France26c1,988$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.1819939.2%78 W · 121 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Spain72c1,938$1,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.391,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x17f2…ca6abacked Spain23c1,920$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,482.836749.3%33 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Spain59c1,884$1,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.832,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked France38c1,869$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.3814231.7%45 W · 97 L-13.4wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaff6…d1fdbacked Spain11c1,818$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,618.181040%4 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+129.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed France4c1,800$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7237242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c36…518bbacked Spain12c1,702$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,502.132924.1%7 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Spain11c1,698$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,511.236031.7%114 W · 246 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5022…9b18backed Spain12c1,674$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,472.83145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1016…b09bbacked Spain12c1,667$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.6724341.2%100 W · 143 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed France73c1,658$1,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,213.961,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Spain64c1,633$1,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.7617533.7%59 W · 116 L-12.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-36.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x48ee…0db4backed Spain12c1,633$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,432.655143.1%22 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeca2…44fcbacked Spain12c1,633$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,432.652416.7%4 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-38%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Spain24c1,629$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,244.5958049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Spain12c1,624$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,436.871,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Spain12c1,600$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,402.753033.3%10 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Spain63c1,587$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.313731.4%43 W · 94 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a8a…cb94backed Spain69c1,538$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.2618056.1%101 W · 79 L+14.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Spain14c1,495$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,290.8275729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Spain11c1,483$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,320.1372722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Spain70c1,429$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.5741968.3%286 W · 133 L+65.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+43.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Spain55c1,370$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.373536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Spain12c1,342$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,186.723,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed France27c1,322$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.1832656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x933f…1540backed France77c1,278$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.123158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed France44c1,220$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.81,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed France42c1,200$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4981747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf03b…3ba1backed Spain26c1,166$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865.77135.2%25 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0267…7f7ebacked Spain24c1,151$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.332650%13 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe766…7843backed France29c1,145$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.6323645.3%107 W · 129 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4de4…37d3backed France37c1,068$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003256.3%18 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+37.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa459…b61dbacked France30c1,034$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3103743.2%16 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05fe…358bbacked France25c1,028$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26011520%23 W · 92 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacea…8b97backed France78c1,000$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.515147%71 W · 80 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Spain12c1,000$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88054917.9%98 W · 451 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Spain60c1,000$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.51,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06df…3b05backed Spain11c1,000$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89015034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13e4…8b89backed France30c937.5$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.5720253.5%108 W · 94 L+12.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spain22c900.59$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.4683153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24e1…9c5fbacked Spain12c833.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.33540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick22cpaid+135.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked Spain12c833.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.335839.7%23 W · 35 L+0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed France31c820$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.8319750.3%99 W · 98 L-1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked France32c805.16$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.1517727.7%49 W · 128 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-9.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1bea…a7e6backed France33c804.72$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.4817659.7%105 W · 71 L+25.3wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+36.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xe2c0…b876backed France37c789.86$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.2510532.4%34 W · 71 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8112…1e6fbacked Spain65c769.9$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.92218.2%4 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-46.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf916…2763backed Spain30c765.51$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.268746%40 W · 47 L+8.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+9.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked France71c761.42$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.3598134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb3a…4007backed France77c750.73$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.068252.4%43 W · 39 L+7.8wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+23.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f4c…f3bfbacked Spain31c724.67$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.9416418.9%31 W · 133 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Spain71c706.87$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.8735244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.