TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Spain: O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,271,202
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,342,676

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,271,202 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c33…0563backed Under8c203,640$15,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,782.1374752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Under7c129,849$9,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,073.2833538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under9c63,764$5,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,475.42,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Under8c43,888$3,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,691.573520%7 W · 28 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc3e…37efbacked Under8c25,000$2,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,076.084652.2%24 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Under8c25,000$1,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,937.513811.6%16 W · 122 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x954d…6f01backed Under7c15,432$1,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,118.81154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick33cpaid+95.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb37…0cf3backed Under7c14,939$1,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,085.65837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-26.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under10c14,455$1,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,388.993,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cd6…18e4backed Under8c13,679$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.326016.7%10 W · 50 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+48.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e0d…9bbdbacked Under7c13,563$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.844037.5%15 W · 25 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under10c13,515$1,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,335.863,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under7c13,185$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.8335719.6%70 W · 287 L-13.8wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Under4c11,917$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.0146939.4%185 W · 284 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under8c8,245$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.4171638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf93…e5e9backed Under9c8,006$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7003751.4%19 W · 18 L+6.3wins+0.17per pick34cpaid+41%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under8c7,368$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.6730626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under7c5,461$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.6836031.7%114 W · 246 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Under8c5,207$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.8975729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under10c4,460$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.4226841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Under7c4,118$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30030220.2%61 W · 241 L-15.6wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2053…1eedbacked Under9c3,669$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.089324.7%23 W · 70 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under2c3,208$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.1733740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Under9c3,150$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.7560511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8a…2562backed Under8c3,073$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.517025.7%18 W · 52 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52e9…c2c1backed Under9c2,820$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.789840.8%40 W · 58 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4078…eed8backed Under7c2,630$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.125250%26 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under2c2,500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5041331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under10c2,500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25044130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Under6c2,356$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.3338817.5%68 W · 320 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e83…5e31backed Under7c1,992$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.1750%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under7c1,972$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.032,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under1c1,924$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.241,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe92e…0a8dbacked Under7c1,700$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.251226.6%8 W · 114 L-0.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aa7…736ebacked Under8c1,549$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.2422746.3%105 W · 122 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under10c1,500$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.556151%286 W · 275 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x635d…7047backed Under7c1,414$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991756.9%12 W · 163 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick6cpaid+112.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe64…9b75backed Under8c1,322$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.0950%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Under4c1,273$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.141,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11a1…7afebacked Under8c1,250$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.1314043.6%61 W · 79 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Under8c1,224$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.819317.1%33 W · 160 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe538…c28bbacked Under8c1,212$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012224.6%30 W · 92 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-40.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under5c1,133$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.311,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf66c…58b9backed Under9c1,098$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003112.9%4 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick9cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfa3…5ddebacked Under8c1,098$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.283161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+37.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc9a…1757backed Under8c1,000$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.54533.3%15 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd841…7819backed Under8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801540%6 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Under7c1,000$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.513550.4%68 W · 67 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x517b…50b7backed Under7c999.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702433.3%8 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+79.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x53eb…90ebbacked Under8c967.74$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under7c964.75$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.531,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7630…cfb0backed Under7c800$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583420.6%7 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-36.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under9c770$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.0829450%147 W · 147 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x839f…fb43backed Under8c770$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.689149.5%45 W · 46 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…404cbacked Under7c714.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-52.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7493…fe92backed Under7c699.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7524626%64 W · 182 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b63…03d6backed Under8c686.6$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.46911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-42.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0823…ec6abacked Under8c669.55$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8943139%168 W · 263 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f0c…ba73backed Under8c645.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010224.5%25 W · 77 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9565…ec9abacked Under8c624.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9519038.9%74 W · 116 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under8c607.9$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.32,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c51…9feebacked Under8c592.88$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bb4…4551backed Under8c578.75$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.34641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x655a…8fadbacked Under9c542.97$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5110715%16 W · 91 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x438b…8229backed Under8c539.62$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4240%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Under7c534.93$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6432837.2%122 W · 206 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under7c499.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3595739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x473c…22fdbacked Under9c499.97$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.527765.3%181 W · 96 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick62cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd965…f2a4backed Under7c499.86$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.36425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-65.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd66…48e4backed Under7c495.98$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.910148.5%49 W · 52 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb667…5548backed Under8c493.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.77728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick12cpaid+94.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa77c…819ebacked Under8c481.5$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.111346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Under6c473.33$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1771939.1%281 W · 438 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f83…6cd9backed Under10c456$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.464450%22 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5324…6e5fbacked Under7c411.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.835459.3%32 W · 22 L+6.4wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+17.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdf9d…ee2dbacked Under8c387.1$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303158.1%18 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Under8c359.55$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.971,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea8f…9f08backed Under8c324.01$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under4c309$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5382537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1646…2f81backed Under8c300$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.516747.3%79 W · 88 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x18b6…babfbacked Under8c283.87$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2221240.6%86 W · 126 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ba9…c25fbacked Under7c275.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207045.7%32 W · 38 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under7c275.36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.281,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e80…6c17backed Under9c262.86$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick9cpaid+48.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31bb…64a8backed Under8c260.61$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick9cpaid+48.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ace…0f16backed Under8c258.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205313.2%7 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick11cpaid+81.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b60…9c7ebacked Under8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207832.1%25 W · 53 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4d3…5639backed Under8c249.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.984238.1%16 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-1.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb489…8ab9backed Under8c248$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-51.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb60…69f6backed Under8c244.98$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.44156.7%1 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick21cpaid-79.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under7c244.2$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.511,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8207…af57backed Under8c240$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184156.1%23 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf2f…06bebacked Under9c228.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204513.3%6 W · 39 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-32.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8320…e302backed Under9c220$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2530137.2%112 W · 189 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75de…40eabacked Under9c220$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2530%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b5e…26f8backed Under8c219.35$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17825%2 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+46%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under7c218.14$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8131851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ac4…a258backed Under8c210.75$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed Under8c202.37$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5615144.4%67 W · 84 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Under6c194.74$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3998134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.