TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9ace…0f16

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
160
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 56 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5313.2%7 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick11cpaid+81.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: France 0 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: France 1 - 3 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: France 2 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$115
Exact Score: England 2 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: England 3 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. Spain: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Norway 0 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$146.67
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST3855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Thunder (-13.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+88.7%+$13.3
Warriors vs. Thunderbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Clippers vs. Grizzliesbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+37%+$5.55
76ers vs. Hawksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Suns (-5.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Pelicans vs. Sunsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Knicks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+61.3%+$9.19
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+51.5%+$7.73
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+78.6%+$11.79
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Magic (-8.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Hawks vs. Bucksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Thunder vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+92.3%+$13.85
Suns vs. Kingsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.48
Spread: Lakers (-8.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+100%+$15
Spurs vs. 76ersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.27
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+92.3%+$13.85
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+85.2%+$12.78
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Victoria Mboko vs. Amanda Anisimova: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
BNP Paribas Open: Madison Keys vs Sonay Kartalbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Monfils (+1.5)backed Monfils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+146.8%+$22.02
BNP Paribas Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Frances Tiafoebacked Jenson Brooksby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Opelka (+1.5)backed Opelka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+109.1%+$16.37
Set Handicap: Kalinskaya (-1.5) vs Sonmez (+1.5)backed Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Set Handicap: Musetti (-1.5) vs Fucsovics (+1.5)backed Fucsovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+88.7%+$13.3
Set Handicap: Tauson (-1.5) vs Putintseva (+1.5)backed Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Berrettini (+1.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+75.4%+$11.32
BNP Paribas Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+112.8%+$16.91
Set Handicap: Noskova (-1.5) vs Maneiro (+1.5)backed Maneiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Set Handicap: Tien (-1.5) vs Walton (+1.5)backed Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Brasilia: Thiago Monteiro vs Pedro Boscardin Diasbacked Thiago Monteiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6.43
BNP Paribas Open: Laura Siegemund vs Petra Marcinkobacked Laura Siegemund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+112.6%+$12.39
BNP Paribas Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Taylor Townsendbacked Marie Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Antalya 2: Elina Avanesyan vs Anhelina Kalininabacked Elina Avanesyan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10
BNP Paribas Open: Sloane Stephens vs Camila Osoriobacked Sloane Stephens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15
BNP Paribas Open: Gael Monfils vs Alexis Galarneaubacked Alexis Galarneau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Brasilia: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Miguel Damasbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 19 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Theravance Biopharma (TBPH) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4.8
Will Paramount Skydance (PSKY) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+61.3%+$6.46
Will Zoom Communications (ZM) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Trade Desk (TTD) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+25%+$2.5
Will Lowe's (LOW) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.24
Will HP (HPQ) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+146.6%+$29.31
Will CoStar Group (CSGP) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will AMC Entertainment (AMC) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+44.9%+$4.65
Will Domino's Pizza (DPZ) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Will Walmart (WMT) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+42.9%+$4.5
Will Pinterest (PINS) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$11.86
Will T-Mobile (TMUS) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$12.34
Will Under Armour (UAA) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+90.5%+$9.5
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-49.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+45.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid+15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+132.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+244.8%+$36.72
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed AS Monaco FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+96.1%+$14.41
Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)backed FC Nantes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.63
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+57.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+165.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+228.1%+$45.63
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+102.8%+$15.83
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+90.5%+$18.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed Borussia Mönchengladbach · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)backed Fenerbahçe SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finlandbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.