La Liga · resolved market

Spread: CA Osasuna (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b9592ce14ee60f9be407769005819a8a892b7123663e52a74e945c865644cb5

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: RCD Mallorcaof CA Osasuna, RCD Mallorca
Resolved: Mar 7, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $29,289

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,289 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in La Liga
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed RCD Mallorca	74c	12,316$9,174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,141.44	4,740	47%2,230 W · 2,510 L	-23.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed CA Osasuna	25c	7,000$1,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,749.99	57	57.9%33 W · 24 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cce…5c2fbacked RCD Mallorca	73c	2,740$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$739.73	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+37%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed CA Osasuna	27c	2,622$708 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$707.87	219	57.5%126 W · 93 L	+6.0wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed CA Osasuna	26c	1,540$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.4	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-3.2wins	-0.15per pick	39cpaid	-41.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed CA Osasuna	25c	1,000$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	42	54.8%23 W · 19 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed RCD Mallorca	74c	922.47$683 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$239.84	908	43.6%396 W · 512 L	-9.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked CA Osasuna	25c	800$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	225	52.4%118 W · 107 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed RCD Mallorca	71c	589.27$418 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.89	640	46.9%300 W · 340 L	-2.7wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked CA Osasuna	25c	360$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.27	129	51.9%67 W · 62 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed RCD Mallorca	75c	328.24$246 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.06	85	37.6%32 W · 53 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed CA Osasuna	25c	300$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	276	52.5%145 W · 131 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked CA Osasuna	25c	300$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	197	50.3%99 W · 98 L	-5.4wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked CA Osasuna	25c	300$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	290	53.4%155 W · 135 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked CA Osasuna	25c	300$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	317	51.1%162 W · 155 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed CA Osasuna	25c	249.99$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.5	218	49.1%107 W · 111 L	-7.8wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed CA Osasuna	25c	240$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	181	52.5%95 W · 86 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed RCD Mallorca	72c	238.89$172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.89	174	55.2%96 W · 78 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked RCD Mallorca	75c	200$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	59	39%23 W · 36 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked CA Osasuna	21c	199.99$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	72	36.1%26 W · 46 L	-6.0wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed CA Osasuna	25c	180$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	149	50.3%75 W · 74 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed CA Osasuna	25c	150$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	432	55.6%240 W · 192 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed CA Osasuna	25c	140$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	196	52%102 W · 94 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b3b…f766backed CA Osasuna	29c	133$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.57	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed RCD Mallorca	79c	126.58$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.58	64	60.9%39 W · 25 L	+3.8wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked CA Osasuna	25c	120$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	193	52.3%101 W · 92 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed CA Osasuna	25c	120$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	210	51.9%109 W · 101 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked CA Osasuna	25c	120$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	206	52.9%109 W · 97 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked CA Osasuna	25c	120$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	188	53.2%100 W · 88 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed CA Osasuna	25c	120$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	202	50.5%102 W · 100 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed CA Osasuna	25c	120$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	199	51.8%103 W · 96 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed CA Osasuna	25c	120$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	290	53.4%155 W · 135 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed CA Osasuna	25c	120$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	209	49.8%104 W · 105 L	-7.0wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked CA Osasuna	25c	120$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	190	53.7%102 W · 88 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed CA Osasuna	25c	120$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	157	47.1%74 W · 83 L	-9.2wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked CA Osasuna	27c	118$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.86	1,655	43.8%725 W · 930 L	-22.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ca…0d75backed CA Osasuna	26c	115.38$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	-3.5wins	-0.14per pick	33cpaid	-41.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8f8f…3155backed CA Osasuna	29c	114$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.06	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed RCD Mallorca	75c	111.68$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.45	121	52.9%64 W · 57 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked RCD Mallorca	72c	101.82$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.51	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-23%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked CA Osasuna	25c	100$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	191	53.4%102 W · 89 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed CA Osasuna	25c	100$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	161	51.6%83 W · 78 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc112…d1efbacked RCD Mallorca	77c	100$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70b0…7153backed CA Osasuna	29c	98.51$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.57	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.10per pick	41cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5395…9d41backed CA Osasuna	27c	81$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.87	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3684…9669backed RCD Mallorca	73c	81$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.87	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.39per pick	62cpaid	+68.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd09a…e290backed RCD Mallorca	75c	80$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	22	77.3%17 W · 5 L	+2.6wins	+0.12per pick	65cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x97c7…dddfbacked RCD Mallorca	72c	69.44$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.44	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+25.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed RCD Mallorca	75c	66.5$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.7	411	47.9%197 W · 214 L	-9.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed CA Osasuna	23c	64.63$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.76	413	23.2%96 W · 317 L	-11.1wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed RCD Mallorca	76c	63.99$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.08	113	54.9%62 W · 51 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked CA Osasuna	25c	60$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	141	57.4%81 W · 60 L	+5.2wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed CA Osasuna	25c	60$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	191	52.4%100 W · 91 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed CA Osasuna	25c	60$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	211	51.7%109 W · 102 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed CA Osasuna	25c	60$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	185	51.9%96 W · 89 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed RCD Mallorca	76c	58.48$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.84	81	55.6%45 W · 36 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ace…0f16backed CA Osasuna	29c	51.72$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.29per pick	38cpaid	+57.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed CA Osasuna	25c	50$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	200	54.5%109 W · 91 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked CA Osasuna	25c	50$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	195	53.3%104 W · 91 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked CA Osasuna	25c	50$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	197	51.8%102 W · 95 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x459f…169fbacked RCD Mallorca	71c	50$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.5	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.36per pick	64cpaid	+58.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77c4…d390backed RCD Mallorca	79c	49.85$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.47	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.7wins	-0.15per pick	56cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c7e…5705backed CA Osasuna	29c	46.94$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.61	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.27per pick	23cpaid	+269.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef2b…59bfbacked RCD Mallorca	71c	43$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.47	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.29per pick	71cpaid	+40.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked RCD Mallorca	71c	40.66$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.79	202	45.5%92 W · 110 L	-10.4wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked CA Osasuna	25c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	191	55%105 W · 86 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed CA Osasuna	25c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	188	52.7%99 W · 89 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35c1…70a3backed RCD Mallorca	71c	40$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.6	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.30per pick	71cpaid	+41.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89bd…b641backed RCD Mallorca	72c	34$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.52	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.28per pick	72cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba2b…0c59backed RCD Mallorca	72c	31.55$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.79	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x190a…f4abbacked RCD Mallorca	72c	29$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.12	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.28per pick	72cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc9e…790abacked RCD Mallorca	71c	27.99$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.02	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.29per pick	71cpaid	+40.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb226…4469backed RCD Mallorca	72c	27.97$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.83	42	66.7%28 W · 14 L	+4.9wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+29.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9b7…4019backed RCD Mallorca	72c	26$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.28	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.28per pick	72cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed RCD Mallorca	71c	20.32$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.89	307	49.2%151 W · 156 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe34f…2864backed RCD Mallorca	71c	20$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.8	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.29per pick	71cpaid	+40.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaaa…1eb9backed RCD Mallorca	77c	19.57$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.57	7	100%7 W · 0 L	+1.9wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+38.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0acc…717ebacked RCD Mallorca	71c	18.99$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.51	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.38per pick	62cpaid	+66.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf054…d148backed RCD Mallorca	77c	18.25$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.25	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+1.7wins	+0.24per pick	61cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: CA Osasuna (-1.5)this page
CA Osasuna vs. RCD Mallorca: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
CA Osasuna vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 1.5Over won
CA Osasuna vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5Over won
CA Osasuna vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 3.5Over won
CA Osasuna vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: CA Osasuna (-2.5)RCD Mallorca won
Spread: RCD Mallorca (-1.5)CA Osasuna won
Spread: RCD Mallorca (-2.5)CA Osasuna won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: CA Osasuna (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event