La Liga · resolved market
Spread: RCD Mallorca (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc48497c7c97c80dea1e3d78ab860dc11272a0e5dc7fd0d8cdab17ef1e105ed7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CA Osasunaof RCD Mallorca, CA Osasuna
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,199
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,199 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed RCD Mallorca | 20c | 2,994$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.04 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed RCD Mallorca | 12c | 1,200$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.53 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed CA Osasuna | 24c | 234.81$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.46 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed CA Osasuna | 48c | 148$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.96 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked RCD Mallorca | 59c | 136$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.27 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked CA Osasuna | 52c | 115.57$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.57 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 28cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked CA Osasuna | 50c | 79.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.35 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked CA Osasuna | 45c | 75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 421 | 58%244 W · 177 L | +29.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed CA Osasuna | 52c | 54.35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed CA Osasuna | 43c | 49.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.91 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ea…18e7backed RCD Mallorca | 59c | 47.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked RCD Mallorca | 59c | 28.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked RCD Mallorca | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: RCD Mallorca (-1.5)this page
- CA Osasuna vs. RCD Mallorca: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Osasuna vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Osasuna vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Osasuna vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 3.5Over won
- CA Osasuna vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Osasuna (-1.5)RCD Mallorca won
- Spread: CA Osasuna (-2.5)RCD Mallorca won
- Spread: RCD Mallorca (-2.5)CA Osasuna won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.