TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

CA Osasuna vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$98,011

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,011 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under31c28,991$9,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,106.214,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Over70c10,087$7,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,980.183756.8%21 W · 16 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Over67c7,000$4,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3105757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd068…18f9backed Over71c4,021$2,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,167.924100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under30c3,283$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.3690843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over71c3,253$2,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.0213263.6%84 W · 48 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over67c3,000$2,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99021957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc19d…7204backed Over70c2,913$2,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.481266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+84%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under29c2,354$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.576746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed Over70c2,145$1,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.54663%29 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-4.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under29c2,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58014348.3%69 W · 74 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Under37c1,355$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004025%10 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2abd…74ebbacked Under30c1,231$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick26cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Over67c1,000$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3304254.8%23 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f9a…3f4bbacked Under31c974.19$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-52.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under33c856.86$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.8311839%46 W · 72 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Under29c849.28$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.219237%34 W · 58 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over67c800$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26422552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb51f…b7dbbacked Under27c762.84$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.221136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d10…b81dbacked Over78c657.59$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.772864.3%18 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0c0…c4c9backed Over70c582$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14542851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1502…be53backed Over70c463$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.9366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over70c428.57$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.576478.1%50 W · 14 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+13.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over68c360$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.2112951.9%67 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over75c350$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.513070.8%92 W · 38 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc351…08f7backed Over70c343$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28c8…aaccbacked Over64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.53461.8%21 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9927652.5%145 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9919750.3%99 W · 98 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9929053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed Over67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992560%15 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick64cpaid+19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over67c299.99$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9931751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over80c299.94$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.9910820.4%22 W · 86 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-47.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x67a1…75abbacked Over71c277.75$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.932450%12 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over67c250$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.521849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over67c240$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.218152.5%95 W · 86 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over70c214.29$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.293964.1%25 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-0.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under39c213.82$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.2517044.1%75 W · 95 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5062258%361 W · 261 L+44.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over69c198.84$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.835967.8%40 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.828252.4%43 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over67c180$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.414950.3%75 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under35c164.61$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2812152.9%64 W · 57 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under32c157.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7441147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29e2…6dc5backed Under30c157$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-61.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over67c150$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.543255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked Over70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.867468.9%51 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick67cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over67c140$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.219652%102 W · 94 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over79c127.09$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0919258.9%113 W · 79 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over67c120$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.619352.3%101 W · 92 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over67c120$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.621051.9%109 W · 101 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over67c120$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.620652.9%109 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over67c120$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.618853.2%100 W · 88 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over67c120$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.620250.5%102 W · 100 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over67c120$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.619951.8%103 W · 96 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over67c120$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.629053.4%155 W · 135 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over67c120$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.620949.8%104 W · 105 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over67c120$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.619053.7%102 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over67c120$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.615747.1%74 W · 83 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over70c114.29$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.2917466.1%115 W · 59 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under30c111.61$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.482,34748.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Over67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3319153.4%102 W · 89 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3316151.6%83 W · 78 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3062744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3038748.1%186 W · 201 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4234050%170 W · 170 L+16.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa42…2ff3backed Over68c82.02$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.014216.7%7 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick13cpaid+162.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over57c78.27$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.273060%18 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+26.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ba5…f080backed Over63c77.76$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.093100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4632145.8%147 W · 174 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4316865.5%110 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over55c69.99$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.542558.4%248 W · 177 L+31.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbcd6…a082backed Over69c66.77$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.73177.4%24 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick68cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5683…3ea1backed Over75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.673360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over51c62.85$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.849057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Under35c61.86$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.355846.6%27 W · 31 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Over67c60$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.814157.4%81 W · 60 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Over67c60$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.819152.4%100 W · 91 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Over67c60$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.821151.7%109 W · 102 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Over67c60$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.818551.9%96 W · 89 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under33c52.65$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.358155.6%45 W · 36 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cdf…2758backed Over79c52.47$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Over67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.520054.5%109 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Over67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.519553.3%104 W · 91 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Over67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.519751.8%102 W · 95 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc884…a4e6backed Over70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153850%19 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4626…d40bbacked Under44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Under53c45.28$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248439.3%33 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1985…8cbdbacked Under38c45.09$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175455.6%30 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under33c42.98$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1611354.9%62 W · 51 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under32c42.94$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8244524.3%108 W · 337 L-49.5wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-47.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Over67c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.219155%105 W · 86 L+0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Over67c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.218852.7%99 W · 89 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Under30c37.39$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2211855.9%66 W · 52 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under30c36$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.850149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa2b…adcfbacked Over59c35.93$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.731136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-29.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa99…cf1fbacked Over70c35.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.712572%18 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Under30c33.35$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.017339.7%29 W · 44 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc32…00bfbacked Over49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6110155.4%56 W · 45 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.