La Liga · resolved market
CA Osasuna vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62f32e772b2cf7c3dd52189fa524e6c2bfaa63c247c3a4ffc2e7a87ecb566970
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,159 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Under | 79c | 2,688$2,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,123.52 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 11c | 2,244$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,002.17 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 21c | 1,651$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.31 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 22c | 1,250$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.99 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 28c | 999.86$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.68 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 1c | 899$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…0beebacked Over | 23c | 834.04$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.04 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 79c | 789.51$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.12 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88d…f708backed Over | 23c | 489.55$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.55 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 119 | 29.4%35 W · 84 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under | 79c | 292$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.68 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 78c | 269.71$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.17 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…bbf0backed Over | 21c | 267.09$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Under | 79c | 265.82$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4929…b9f9backed Under | 78c | 253.31$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.43 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 71cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 77c | 243.48$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.48 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 20c | 209.47$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.58 | 188 | 42%79 W · 109 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 19c | 200$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 111 | 20.7%23 W · 88 L | -10.9wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 32c | 196$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.72 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…1ab4backed Under | 79c | 191.14$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 77c | 186.52$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.62 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Under | 79c | 158.23$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 71c | 143.29$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.44 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa70c…08d3backed Over | 23c | 93.23$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 16c | 93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.12 | 284 | 46.5%132 W · 152 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07a0…7a80backed Over | 28c | 87.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.26 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +144.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 30c | 71$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e31…a753backed Over | 28c | 66.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 321 | 45.8%147 W · 174 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 26c | 57.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.05 | 192 | 58.9%113 W · 79 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf226…9c0fbacked Over | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa220…178dbacked Under | 75c | 53.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.29 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…c36fbacked Over | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0742…86a0backed Over | 27c | 44.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Over | 40c | 28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…fe97backed Under | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6566…4be4backed Under | 73c | 19.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 73c | 17.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 142 | 59.9%85 W · 57 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07f8…4fbbbacked Under | 76c | 15.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Osasuna vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 3.5this page
- CA Osasuna vs. RCD Mallorca: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Osasuna vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Osasuna vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Osasuna vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Osasuna (-1.5)RCD Mallorca won
- Spread: CA Osasuna (-2.5)RCD Mallorca won
- Spread: RCD Mallorca (-1.5)CA Osasuna won
- Spread: RCD Mallorca (-2.5)CA Osasuna won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.