TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

CA Osasuna vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$141,751

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,751 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under56c24,811$13,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,955.364,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over44c9,999$4,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,629.4130446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Under58c8,621$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0006832.4%22 W · 46 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Over41c7,000$2,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,1305757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Under41c6,062$2,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,473.488461.9%52 W · 32 L+14.0wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+40.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under56c6,000$3,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,36024147.7%115 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11cf…2674backed Over59c5,847$3,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,397.272161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under63c5,604$3,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,536.4711839%46 W · 72 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over42c4,067$1,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,358.9750249.6%249 W · 253 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Under57c3,622$2,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0749640.6%39 W · 57 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01ba…d35fbacked Under62c3,500$2,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,168.1742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over41c3,000$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,77021957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over42c2,590$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,502.450149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd181…5136backed Over44c1,662$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+53.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Over26c1,484$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10222753.3%121 W · 106 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed Over44c1,444$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.644663%29 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-4.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over45c1,116$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.0512650.8%64 W · 62 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Over41c1,000$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5904254.8%23 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under55c960.54$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.320159.2%119 W · 82 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under56c925.6$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.349748.5%47 W · 50 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dcb…8709backed Over44c909.09$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.091040%4 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick21cpaid+31.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over44c836.36$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.3611929.4%35 W · 84 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under56c821.02$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.182,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over41c800$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47222552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c95…8a0bbacked Over70c800$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2401241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.25per pick66cpaid-40%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Over41c791.21$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.778537.6%32 W · 53 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under56c753.74$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.0990843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over68c662.31$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.9419258.9%113 W · 79 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over45c600$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3306543.1%28 W · 37 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4052…0014backed Over41c588.66$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.14944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over43c581.4$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.417458.6%102 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under29c520.3$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.2583640%334 W · 502 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under18c513.15$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.515520%11 W · 44 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-51.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23516745.5%76 W · 91 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under56c455.05$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.261,03547.9%496 W · 539 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x07a0…7a80backed Over45c447.2$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+144.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xea83…11debacked Under38c442.11$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Under74c407.07$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004062.5%25 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Under70c395.05$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.83040%12 W · 18 L-5.4wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-33.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2a31…016dbacked Under58c394.83$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Under60c390$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2346833.8%23 W · 45 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d36…68fdbacked Under53c380.75$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.8wins-0.27per pick56cpaid-50.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Over35c364.24$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.0914067.9%95 W · 45 L+12.4wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over42c360$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.812951.9%67 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a0c…0beebacked Over30c343$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.14942.9%21 W · 28 L+6.8wins+0.14per pick29cpaid+88.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under55c320.85$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.641,65143.9%724 W · 927 L-21.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f22…2935backed Under66c303.03$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004454.5%24 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over42c300$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17442851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over41c300$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17727652.5%145 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over41c300$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17719750.3%99 W · 98 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over41c300$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17729053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over41c300$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17731751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd205…e7fbbacked Over50c297.71$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.7110343.7%45 W · 58 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under56c294.63$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.994334.9%15 W · 28 L-7.0wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-34%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over44c293.18$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.186478.1%50 W · 14 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+13.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under57c259.73$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.651,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Under56c250.86$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.0811140.5%45 W · 66 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over41c250$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.521849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under56c249.98$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.9989050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Over43c233.7$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.72934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3999…c2bbbacked Over43c227.91$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.913855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd88d…f708backed Over44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.271637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.276937.7%26 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under58c215.5$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.995152.9%27 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Over43c214.6$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.321942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3df…beefbacked Over43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1142100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+82.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4457…f3e2backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001643.8%7 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick27cpaid+82.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Over43c199.99$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1143743.2%16 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+24.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Over42c199.97$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.9811636.2%42 W · 74 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6cad…0758backed Over36c191.78$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.65850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under59c186.29$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1103060%18 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+26.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over41c180$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.214950.3%75 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over41c150$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.543255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over35c142.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.8617128.1%48 W · 123 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over41c140$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.619652%102 W · 94 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over44c130$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.89558.9%56 W · 39 L+10.8wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd867…2d76backed Over44c129.61$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.58650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over41c120$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.819352.3%101 W · 92 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over41c120$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.821051.9%109 W · 101 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over41c120$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.820652.9%109 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over41c120$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.818853.2%100 W · 88 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over41c120$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.820250.5%102 W · 100 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over41c120$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.819951.8%103 W · 96 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over41c120$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.829053.4%155 W · 135 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over41c120$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.820949.8%104 W · 105 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over41c120$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.819053.7%102 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over41c120$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.818152.5%95 W · 86 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over41c120$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.815747.1%74 W · 83 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.0515451.3%79 W · 75 L+14.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Over57c115.69$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.196460.9%39 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+20.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6412445.2%56 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1985…8cbdbacked Under63c113.48$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715455.6%30 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x505d…6c61backed Under57c112$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under58c109.15$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6711354.9%62 W · 51 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4412…a488backed Over43c107$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.99450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Over41c104.88$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.889034.4%31 W · 59 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1ae…ef8bbacked Over69c100.74$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.232100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick75cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over25c100.44$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4533949.9%169 W · 170 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5617651.7%91 W · 85 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Over41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5919153.4%102 W · 89 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.