Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Switzerland?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f57a8d337a36a8980b4a17a14208d5e0f2c9d6dd80e44d16e3e0b5056f96754
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $511,518
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $453,158
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $511,518 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 4c | 94,593$4,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,019.03 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 5c | 69,956$3,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,497.81 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4125…268bbacked Yes | 5c | 22,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 4c | 12,091$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.59 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf956…2ec2backed Yes | 4c | 10,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…972bbacked Yes | 5c | 8,480$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.64 | 218 | 7.3%16 W · 202 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8f…8df8backed Yes | 5c | 7,314$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.16 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf381…40c2backed Yes | 5c | 7,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 180 | 27.8%50 W · 130 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d8…9e8dbacked Yes | 5c | 6,582$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes | 5c | 5,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 414 | 29%120 W · 294 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 4c | 4,277$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.44 | 657 | 37.4%246 W · 411 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8aa…7934backed Yes | 5c | 4,273$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 64 | 21.9%14 W · 50 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…2217backed Yes | 5c | 4,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 252 | 28.2%71 W · 181 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 5c | 4,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 156 | 16%25 W · 131 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…9f39backed Yes | 5c | 4,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 119 | 14.3%17 W · 102 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…bcf3backed Yes | 6c | 3,822$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.92 | 299 | 16.7%50 W · 249 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 4c | 3,500$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.99 | 246 | 35.8%88 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 5c | 3,235$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.89 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…6691backed Yes | 4c | 3,093$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.82 | 191 | 25.1%48 W · 143 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa761…cc81backed Yes | 4c | 2,575$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.54 | 132 | 9.8%13 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb6…8c80backed Yes | 4c | 2,499$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 5c | 2,400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 502 | 14.5%73 W · 429 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 316 | 11.4%36 W · 280 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f88…0724backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443a…ba14backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 14.5%9 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc82f…66a7backed Yes | 4c | 1,994$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.55 | 332 | 35.5%118 W · 214 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd975…63e4backed Yes | 5c | 1,952$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Yes | 4c | 1,920$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.58 | 698 | 26.1%182 W · 516 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed Yes | 6c | 1,914$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.33 | 253 | 28.1%71 W · 182 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 5c | 1,890$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,888$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.39 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4404…a067backed Yes | 5c | 1,780$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7726…71d2backed Yes | 6c | 1,754$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 10.3%7 W · 61 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e8…0039backed Yes | 6c | 1,643$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bff…5c18backed Yes | 5c | 1,600$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 214 | 29.4%63 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c5…564fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,598$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6d…f161backed Yes | 4c | 1,415$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 53 | 11.3%6 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc67c…5047backed Yes | 5c | 1,400$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 125 | 29.6%37 W · 88 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc4…8777backed Yes | 5c | 1,400$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 4c | 1,396$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.85 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd332…f021backed Yes | 5c | 1,351$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.56 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5e…a58dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,150$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.67 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…7d7abacked Yes | 5c | 1,100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 61 | 6.6%4 W · 57 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b35…4a36backed Yes | 5c | 1,100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 175 | 6.3%11 W · 164 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes | 6c | 1,074$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.63 | 669 | 32.1%215 W · 454 L | +16.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…93c4backed Yes | 4c | 1,039$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.84 | 77 | 11.7%9 W · 68 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…03efbacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 87 | 16.1%14 W · 73 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0c…4eb3backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 179 | 30.7%55 W · 124 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e47…b3d0backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 208 | 19.7%41 W · 167 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f61…8687backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 135 | 11.1%15 W · 120 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa94…6c02backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ee…9a18backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 1.7%1 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -86.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x074a…f8a3backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 130 | 19.2%25 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7c…2d36backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa52d…99dabacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 12.9%8 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +120%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc857…a3d3backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +211.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3b…1de5backed Yes | 4c | 999.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 4c | 976.69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…4a00backed Yes | 5c | 949.8$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.49 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f17…c1dbbacked Yes | 5c | 928.76$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.16 | 288 | 8%23 W · 265 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 5c | 899.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb2…1d03backed Yes | 5c | 800$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6e…8f7ebacked Yes | 5c | 800$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 77 | 10.4%8 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa9…d9b0backed Yes | 5c | 800$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…9fd6backed Yes | 5c | 730.4$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6242…841bbacked Yes | 5c | 722.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 177 | 35%62 W · 115 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61b9…2454backed Yes | 5c | 720$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0060…5dd4backed Yes | 5c | 700$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 173 | 12.7%22 W · 151 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b0…1a94backed Yes | 5c | 700$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 193 | 24.4%47 W · 146 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70d3…5eacbacked Yes | 5c | 672$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…18f9backed Yes | 5c | 658.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd436…16d1backed Yes | 4c | 623.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abe…f19fbacked Yes | 3c | 617.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 229 | 31%71 W · 158 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 146 | 39.7%58 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f05…7e5dbacked Yes | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 304 | 32.6%99 W · 205 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…a370backed Yes | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 155 | 17.4%27 W · 128 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b51…da79backed Yes | 2c | 600$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…0a99backed Yes | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 300 | 11.3%34 W · 266 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf58a…6b63backed Yes | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 117 | 15.4%18 W · 99 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5648…a6c4backed Yes | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 207 | 8.2%17 W · 190 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9e…50eebacked Yes | 5c | 580$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x284c…1934backed Yes | 4c | 580$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 5c | 561.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 383 | 29.8%114 W · 269 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…6c2ebacked Yes | 5c | 560$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x975e…f875backed Yes | 5c | 560$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b23…a0fdbacked Yes | 4c | 555.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21e7…4041backed Yes | 6c | 552.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.09 | 126 | 6.3%8 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 5c | 538.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ddf1backed Yes | 8c | 532.42$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.59 | 270 | 34.4%93 W · 177 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb95b…609ebacked Yes | 5c | 520$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…428cbacked Yes | 5c | 519.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 373 | 20.9%78 W · 295 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a1…3b09backed Yes | 3c | 500$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…a0d3backed Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 279 | 9.7%27 W · 252 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d32…98c6backed Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c2…9389backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b73…4218backed Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x045c…3117backed Yes | 3c | 499.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.49per pick | 11cpaid | +296.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8e…e65fbacked Yes | 5c | 460$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ed…6813backed Yes | 4c | 454.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x139f…bb2fbacked Yes | 4c | 452.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Switzerland?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 3 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Switzerland?Yes won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 3 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 3 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Switzerland?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.