Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Switzerland?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a0af57d6ed938a75161b67f9b45b23c2790b7731a8070aa5aba6a1855dee675
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $237,607
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $194,928
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $237,607 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 3c | 48,040$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.59 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f9…fc82backed Yes | 3c | 18,685$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf381…40c2backed Yes | 2c | 6,651$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.06 | 180 | 27.8%50 W · 130 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 3c | 5,640$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.17 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e92…5280backed Yes | 2c | 3,898$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes | 2c | 3,820$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.63 | 727 | 22.7%165 W · 562 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 3c | 3,177$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.36 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 2c | 3,000$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7961…1b1cbacked Yes | 2c | 2,708$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…dcdebacked Yes | 1c | 2,500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 73 | 5.5%4 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 1cpaid | +212.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 2c | 2,415$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.13 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes | 2c | 2,379$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.1 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bff…5c18backed Yes | 2c | 2,126$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 214 | 29.4%63 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ca…7229backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 2c | 1,915$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.67 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x739f…0d27backed Yes | 3c | 1,533$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 2c | 1,417$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01b9…50dcbacked Yes | 2c | 1,364$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 171 | 15.2%26 W · 145 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96a3…cd21backed Yes | 2c | 1,330$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6d…f161backed Yes | 2c | 1,304$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 53 | 11.3%6 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,304$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 502 | 14.5%73 W · 429 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…4a00backed Yes | 2c | 1,237$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7c…2d36backed Yes | 2c | 1,167$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc67c…5047backed Yes | 2c | 1,065$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 125 | 29.6%37 W · 88 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e47…b3d0backed Yes | 2c | 1,052$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 208 | 19.7%41 W · 167 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70d3…5eacbacked Yes | 2c | 1,032$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc82f…66a7backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.92 | 332 | 35.5%118 W · 214 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ee…9a18backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 58 | 1.7%1 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -86.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x074a…f8a3backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 130 | 19.2%25 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…0a99backed Yes | 3c | 999.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 300 | 11.3%34 W · 266 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes | 2c | 909.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 339 | 15.9%54 W · 285 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fb…2b82backed Yes | 2c | 869.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5c…dd58backed Yes | 2c | 869.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 0%0 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x935d…9404backed Yes | 2c | 869.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 157 | 19.1%30 W · 127 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed40…e2f4backed Yes | 2c | 847.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 2c | 833.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc2d…7108backed Yes | 2c | 833.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0060…5dd4backed Yes | 2c | 833.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 173 | 12.7%22 W · 151 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…a0d3backed Yes | 3c | 706.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 279 | 9.7%27 W · 252 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4e…413cbacked Yes | 2c | 652.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac0…037abacked Yes | 2c | 625$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b0…1a94backed Yes | 3c | 600$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 193 | 24.4%47 W · 146 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes | 3c | 599.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 423 | 32.9%139 W · 284 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d13…d163backed Yes | 2c | 541.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 61 | 8.2%5 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -85%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d82…c734backed Yes | 2c | 521.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 81 | 12.3%10 W · 71 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78c1…473ebacked Yes | 2c | 507$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 513 | 15.6%80 W · 433 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1228…18f1backed Yes | 2c | 503.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4517…f700backed Yes | 2c | 500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…6c2ebacked Yes | 2c | 500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ff…879cbacked Yes | 2c | 500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd90d…97e5backed Yes | 2c | 496$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 75 | 21.3%16 W · 59 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…be87backed Yes | 2c | 472.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd13…aa48backed Yes | 2c | 428.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x813a…0637backed Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…96f0backed Yes | 3c | 393.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 221 | 44.8%99 W · 122 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43c4…63b3backed Yes | 4c | 250.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Switzerland?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 3 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Switzerland?Yes won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 3 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 3 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Switzerland?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.