TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Switzerland?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,580,781
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,371,155

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,580,781 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 415 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x34a5…9450backed Yes0c620,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8007225%18 W · 54 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes5c330,007$15,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,784.428,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes6c273,146$16,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,388.762,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd49f…4507backed Yes12c158,357$19,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,002.7412210.7%13 W · 109 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…ea94backed Yes7c71,600$4,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,948.4413725.5%35 W · 102 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4acb…e264backed Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504723.4%11 W · 36 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71d6…7248backed Yes5c50,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500807.5%6 W · 74 L0.0wins0.00per pick7cpaid-43.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes6c39,566$2,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,373.9656410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Yes6c30,833$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8509929.3%29 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Yes6c29,538$1,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,914.7634924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes8c28,699$2,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,240.684,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb4f…7335backed Yes0c27,590$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.591216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-74.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes6c25,383$1,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,522.981,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1963…dd0cbacked Yes0c25,330$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.453920.6%111 W · 428 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-38.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x817a…0266backed Yes6c25,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002910.3%3 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Yes3c24,394$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.533740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes10c19,680$1,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,988.3175335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes5c18,651$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.3529916.7%50 W · 249 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-53.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7795…9a17backed Yes11c18,039$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00010927.5%30 W · 79 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes4c14,802$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.4875729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes6c13,408$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.151,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9786…4c55backed Yes6c11,667$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7009549.5%47 W · 48 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94a8…5204backed Yes9c11,111$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007122.5%16 W · 55 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe927…a965backed Yes6c10,249$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.94330%0 W · 33 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Yes6c10,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60024526.5%65 W · 180 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45c7…a35dbacked Yes9c8,870$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.177622.4%17 W · 59 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-37.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27b1…ae2abacked Yes6c6,667$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002913.8%4 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed Yes4c6,433$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.9427034.4%93 W · 177 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x55b9…3f67backed Yes7c6,350$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.827613.2%10 W · 66 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes5c6,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30038817%66 W · 322 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4962…f509backed Yes8c5,974$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.74238.7%2 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-74%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf124…1297backed Yes6c5,810$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2824…4aacbacked Yes7c5,467$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010921.1%23 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick26cpaid+3.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Yes11c5,369$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.9651032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f20…b29fbacked Yes6c5,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300515.9%3 W · 48 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-48%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fce…a7c8backed Yes6c5,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007032.9%23 W · 47 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0189…5861backed Yes7c4,967$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33317636.4%64 W · 112 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes6c4,920$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.225418.1%46 W · 208 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7201…fe41backed Yes8c4,429$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.897816.7%13 W · 65 L+0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes6c4,333$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.9578317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes11c3,607$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.291,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…b70cbacked Yes6c3,595$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.0120427%55 W · 149 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Yes6c3,500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21027811.9%33 W · 245 L-1.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc128…2217backed Yes6c3,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20025228.2%71 W · 181 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f21…805ebacked Yes6c3,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008023.8%19 W · 61 L-0.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7726…71d2backed Yes6c3,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006810.3%7 W · 61 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x28c2…bfe3backed Yes6c3,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008710.3%9 W · 78 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-58.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes11c3,192$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.511,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37a1…6691backed Yes8c3,115$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.7419125.1%48 W · 143 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+79.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes6c3,006$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.2827520.4%56 W · 219 L+1.2wins0.00per pick20cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05ae…5a4bbacked Yes12c2,973$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35036024.4%88 W · 272 L-0.7wins0.00per pick25cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9f2…b4ebbacked Yes6c2,960$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.620725.6%53 W · 154 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Yes11c2,955$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.0387237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67f6…1651backed Yes9c2,946$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.4525328.1%71 W · 182 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes4c2,805$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.416647%78 W · 88 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes10c2,776$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.911,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x896e…53f2backed Yes13c2,774$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.6917443.1%75 W · 99 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x600e…1d30backed Yes6c2,772$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.34333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick10cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Yes9c2,711$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.4769826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes6c2,667$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16048526.8%130 W · 355 L+0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f0e…7397backed Yes11c2,626$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.8615335.3%54 W · 99 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52c8…9b69backed Yes6c2,572$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.3247321.6%102 W · 371 L-2.2wins0.00per pick22cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2976…5c52backed Yes8c2,551$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002630.8%8 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd31…1252backed Yes6c2,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15019411.9%23 W · 171 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfa6…bfd5backed Yes6c2,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501739.2%16 W · 157 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-50.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a75…fc33backed Yes6c2,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503148.4%15 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick35cpaid+32.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe44a…89a3backed Yes6c2,333$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401915.8%3 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-43%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes6c2,331$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.221,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fa8…c846backed Yes6c2,260$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa761…cc81backed Yes9c2,239$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.491329.8%13 W · 119 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6242…841bbacked Yes8c2,180$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.1417735%62 W · 115 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes6c2,101$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.062,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes6c2,088$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.471,20632.7%394 W · 812 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes10c2,081$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.6366932.1%215 W · 454 L+16.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x75dc…6a1dbacked Yes10c2,032$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.1633510.1%34 W · 301 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-35.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…fc6cbacked Yes7c2,023$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15028528.8%82 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69ed…9c3bbacked Yes6c2,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1208419%16 W · 68 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes11c1,980$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.4565036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes5c1,972$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5841429%120 W · 294 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes6c1,809$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.5635514.4%51 W · 304 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes10c1,771$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.3473536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bff…5c18backed Yes6c1,750$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10521429.4%63 W · 151 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc427…efdfbacked Yes6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.02362.8%1 W · 35 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick9cpaid-65.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdbe…595dbacked Yes6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002544%11 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+1.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4ed…00a1backed Yes6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009139.6%36 W · 55 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7182…e88bbacked Yes6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003630.6%11 W · 25 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick18cpaid+166.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8966…1e9fbacked Yes6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004211.9%5 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa41c…4419backed Yes6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002516%4 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick19cpaid+1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x664d…babdbacked Yes6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004528.9%13 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8641…cb25backed Yes6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003050%15 W · 15 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x935d…9404backed Yes6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015719.1%30 W · 127 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc87d…890ebacked Yes6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-54.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x410b…0152backed Yes6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016731.1%52 W · 115 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a18…f4a9backed Yes6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-24%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0163…d13cbacked Yes6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100100%0 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6452…616dbacked Yes6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006051.7%31 W · 29 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes3c1,617$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0586455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6002…2c1fbacked Yes11c1,604$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.461030%3 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick20cpaid-27.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2a7…0028backed Yes6c1,577$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.62010%2 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-31.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ede…385abacked Yes6c1,577$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.6100%0 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.