Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Switzerland?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab686ea7ac743072c76206bf605e32076b413fb13dee9962209641601e580588
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,580,781
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,371,155
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,580,781 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 415 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x34a5…9450backed Yes | 0c | 620,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 72 | 25%18 W · 54 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 5c | 330,007$15,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,784.42 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 6c | 273,146$16,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,388.76 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd49f…4507backed Yes | 12c | 158,357$19,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,002.74 | 122 | 10.7%13 W · 109 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…ea94backed Yes | 7c | 71,600$4,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,948.44 | 137 | 25.5%35 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4acb…e264backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71d6…7248backed Yes | 5c | 50,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 80 | 7.5%6 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 6c | 39,566$2,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,373.96 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Yes | 6c | 30,833$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed Yes | 6c | 29,538$1,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,914.76 | 349 | 24.4%85 W · 264 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 8c | 28,699$2,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240.68 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4f…7335backed Yes | 0c | 27,590$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 6c | 25,383$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.98 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…dd0cbacked Yes | 0c | 25,330$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 539 | 20.6%111 W · 428 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…0266backed Yes | 6c | 25,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…8620backed Yes | 3c | 24,394$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.5 | 337 | 40.4%136 W · 201 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 10c | 19,680$1,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,988.31 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…bcf3backed Yes | 5c | 18,651$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.35 | 299 | 16.7%50 W · 249 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…9a17backed Yes | 11c | 18,039$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 109 | 27.5%30 W · 79 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 4c | 14,802$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.48 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 6c | 13,408$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.15 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…4c55backed Yes | 6c | 11,667$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a8…5204backed Yes | 9c | 11,111$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe927…a965backed Yes | 6c | 10,249$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.94 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb87b…3626backed Yes | 6c | 10,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 245 | 26.5%65 W · 180 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c7…a35dbacked Yes | 9c | 8,870$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.17 | 76 | 22.4%17 W · 59 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…ae2abacked Yes | 6c | 6,667$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ddf1backed Yes | 4c | 6,433$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.94 | 270 | 34.4%93 W · 177 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…3f67backed Yes | 7c | 6,350$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.82 | 76 | 13.2%10 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 5c | 6,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 388 | 17%66 W · 322 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4962…f509backed Yes | 8c | 5,974$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.74 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -74%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf124…1297backed Yes | 6c | 5,810$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2824…4aacbacked Yes | 7c | 5,467$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 109 | 21.1%23 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked Yes | 11c | 5,369$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.96 | 510 | 32.5%166 W · 344 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f20…b29fbacked Yes | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 51 | 5.9%3 W · 48 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -48%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fce…a7c8backed Yes | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…5861backed Yes | 7c | 4,967$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 176 | 36.4%64 W · 112 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes | 6c | 4,920$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.2 | 254 | 18.1%46 W · 208 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7201…fe41backed Yes | 8c | 4,429$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.89 | 78 | 16.7%13 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 6c | 4,333$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.95 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 11c | 3,607$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.29 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Yes | 6c | 3,595$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.01 | 204 | 27%55 W · 149 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 6c | 3,500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 278 | 11.9%33 W · 245 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…2217backed Yes | 6c | 3,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 252 | 28.2%71 W · 181 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…805ebacked Yes | 6c | 3,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7726…71d2backed Yes | 6c | 3,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 68 | 10.3%7 W · 61 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28c2…bfe3backed Yes | 6c | 3,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 87 | 10.3%9 W · 78 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes | 11c | 3,192$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.51 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…6691backed Yes | 8c | 3,115$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.74 | 191 | 25.1%48 W · 143 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes | 6c | 3,006$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.28 | 275 | 20.4%56 W · 219 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ae…5a4bbacked Yes | 12c | 2,973$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 360 | 24.4%88 W · 272 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f2…b4ebbacked Yes | 6c | 2,960$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.6 | 207 | 25.6%53 W · 154 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Yes | 11c | 2,955$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.03 | 872 | 37.8%330 W · 542 L | -39.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed Yes | 9c | 2,946$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.45 | 253 | 28.1%71 W · 182 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 4c | 2,805$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.4 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 10c | 2,776$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.91 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x896e…53f2backed Yes | 13c | 2,774$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.69 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x600e…1d30backed Yes | 6c | 2,772$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Yes | 9c | 2,711$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.47 | 698 | 26.1%182 W · 516 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes | 6c | 2,667$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 485 | 26.8%130 W · 355 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…7397backed Yes | 11c | 2,626$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.86 | 153 | 35.3%54 W · 99 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52c8…9b69backed Yes | 6c | 2,572$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.32 | 473 | 21.6%102 W · 371 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2976…5c52backed Yes | 8c | 2,551$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd31…1252backed Yes | 6c | 2,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 194 | 11.9%23 W · 171 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…bfd5backed Yes | 6c | 2,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 173 | 9.2%16 W · 157 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a75…fc33backed Yes | 6c | 2,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 35cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe44a…89a3backed Yes | 6c | 2,333$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -43%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 6c | 2,331$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.22 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa8…c846backed Yes | 6c | 2,260$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa761…cc81backed Yes | 9c | 2,239$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.49 | 132 | 9.8%13 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6242…841bbacked Yes | 8c | 2,180$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.14 | 177 | 35%62 W · 115 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 6c | 2,101$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.06 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 6c | 2,088$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.47 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes | 10c | 2,081$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.63 | 669 | 32.1%215 W · 454 L | +16.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…6a1dbacked Yes | 10c | 2,032$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.16 | 335 | 10.1%34 W · 301 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…fc6cbacked Yes | 7c | 2,023$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ed…9c3bbacked Yes | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 84 | 19%16 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes | 11c | 1,980$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.45 | 650 | 36.9%240 W · 410 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes | 5c | 1,972$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.58 | 414 | 29%120 W · 294 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes | 6c | 1,809$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.56 | 355 | 14.4%51 W · 304 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 10c | 1,771$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.34 | 735 | 36.3%267 W · 468 L | -32.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bff…5c18backed Yes | 6c | 1,750$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 214 | 29.4%63 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…efdfbacked Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.02 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbe…595dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ed…00a1backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7182…e88bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +166.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8966…1e9fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…4419backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664d…babdbacked Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8641…cb25backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x935d…9404backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 157 | 19.1%30 W · 127 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc87d…890ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x410b…0152backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 167 | 31.1%52 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a18…f4a9backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0163…d13cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6452…616dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 3c | 1,617$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6002…2c1fbacked Yes | 11c | 1,604$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.46 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a7…0028backed Yes | 6c | 1,577$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.6 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ede…385abacked Yes | 6c | 1,577$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.6 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Switzerland?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 3 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Switzerland?Yes won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 3 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 3 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Switzerland?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.