TailMyPicks
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Switzerland?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,216,850
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,150,362

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,216,850 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 549 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd49f…4507backed Yes17c227,799$38,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,00012210.7%13 W · 109 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes17c101,164$16,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,855.278,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes15c55,555$8,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,333.2542345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc88e…f3e1backed Yes16c40,250$6,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,437.57114.1%10 W · 61 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick16cpaid+30.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Yes15c39,997$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,999.5838817.5%68 W · 320 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96ac…dc89backed Yes15c39,810$5,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,971.458913.5%12 W · 77 L-0.1wins0.00per pick14cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Yes13c36,981$4,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,745.7251032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes16c35,000$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,60056410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes16c22,072$3,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,531.521,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Yes15c21,333$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,20026320.5%54 W · 209 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51ea…150fbacked Yes15c20,888$3,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,133.1619332.1%62 W · 131 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18b8…c368backed Yes16c18,006$2,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,850.9317733.9%60 W · 117 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Yes16c14,384$2,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,314.1535719.6%70 W · 287 L-13.8wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes11c14,035$1,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,543.8113122.1%29 W · 102 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes18c12,432$2,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,194.6229916.7%50 W · 249 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-53.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f62…d989backed Yes15c11,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,65012810.9%14 W · 114 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes17c10,061$1,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,698.7575729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Yes15c10,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50024526.5%65 W · 180 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Yes27c9,525$2,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,581.2123540.4%95 W · 140 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x582f…b45cbacked Yes15c9,346$1,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,401.99218.5%17 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick16cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bca…835dbacked Yes14c7,338$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006241.9%26 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes15c6,885$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.772,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x673d…1a91backed Yes16c6,455$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.862123.8%5 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes11c6,384$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.583,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2970…e1c9backed Yes16c6,250$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00014351.7%74 W · 69 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5952…db2fbacked Yes17c5,414$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.8711826.3%31 W · 87 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No75c5,220$3,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,30531945.1%144 W · 175 L+1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes12c5,118$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.594,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d12…7954backed Yes16c5,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8004829.2%14 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4517…f700backed Yes15c4,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67510128.7%29 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Yes25c4,036$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00036539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0400…0bbbbacked Yes16c3,969$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.72757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick32cpaid+72.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes15c3,827$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5896729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes16c3,816$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.6378317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes16c3,706$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59333915.9%54 W · 285 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7af3…550cbacked Yes15c3,333$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004131.7%13 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd581…83b7backed Yes16c3,125$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003321.2%7 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick18cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec8f…8df8backed No74c2,559$1,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.6115746.5%73 W · 84 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes17c2,522$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.842,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Yes24c2,241$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.5823637.7%89 W · 147 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes18c2,151$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.3526841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes16c2,071$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.3871939.1%281 W · 438 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf381…40c2backed Yes16c2,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32018027.8%50 W · 130 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-20.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3250…c232backed Yes16c2,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320368.3%3 W · 33 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick6cpaid+30.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x999f…4ae5backed Yes15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300685.9%4 W · 64 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick12cpaid-69.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes24c1,928$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.511,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcdd…73a5backed Yes15c1,867$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28013223.5%31 W · 101 L-9.2wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes16c1,822$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.3156022.7%127 W · 433 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b1a…3852backed Yes16c1,800$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28413217.4%23 W · 109 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2081…e18fbacked Yes12c1,667$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001735.3%6 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick27cpaid-30.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc11…4b4abacked Yes4c1,617$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.689910.1%10 W · 89 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick3cpaid+194.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8783…db0cbacked Yes16c1,563$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25019342%81 W · 112 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes14c1,431$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.622,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Yes17c1,397$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.1738329.8%114 W · 269 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f5d…e4e5backed Yes15c1,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003928.2%11 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f88…0724backed Yes16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001723.5%4 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick18cpaid-28.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Yes16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012334.1%42 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c0f…9f39backed Yes16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011914.3%17 W · 102 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd134…29febacked Yes16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007726%20 W · 57 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick19cpaid+59.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c36…89ffbacked Yes16c1,188$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.1129017.6%51 W · 239 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8b0…5ab1backed Yes16c1,188$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.11378.1%3 W · 34 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dad…ee77backed Yes16c1,125$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18012832.8%42 W · 86 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52c8…9b69backed Yes21c1,100$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.9847321.6%102 W · 371 L-2.2wins0.00per pick22cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa58a…eac4backed Yes15c1,092$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.816031.3%50 W · 110 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Yes18c1,065$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.724247.1%114 W · 128 L-1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15048526.8%130 W · 355 L+0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef84…6872backed Yes3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301375.1%7 W · 130 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick2cpaid+94.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc827…ff0fbacked Yes3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011412.3%14 W · 100 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick3cpaid+348.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbc93…718bbacked Yes3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30458.9%4 W · 41 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick2cpaid+214.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x744c…e37fbacked Yes14c999.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1404035%14 W · 26 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba76…e0d7backed No76c999.97$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.991553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a7e…dd3cbacked Yes16c986.08$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.7415325.5%39 W · 114 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45c0…cf74backed Yes16c937.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504134.1%14 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+39.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes16c937.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15021522.8%49 W · 166 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab63…8f4bbacked Yes16c937.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012634.9%44 W · 82 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbada…ef94backed Yes16c937.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150358.6%3 W · 32 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick17cpaid-49%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd36c…e7babacked Yes16c875.5$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.08667.6%5 W · 61 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Yes15c800$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12034247.7%163 W · 179 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…b70cbacked Yes15c797.32$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.8120427%55 W · 149 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90f5…2573backed Yes16c791.67$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+55.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4b1…d21fbacked Yes16c781.25$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12517527.4%48 W · 127 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x056b…840fbacked Yes16c750$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12012114.9%18 W · 103 L+0.1wins0.00per pick15cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c20…a7dfbacked Yes16c720$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.230215.2%46 W · 256 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick14cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3415…1fb1backed Yes16c693.75$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111557.3%4 W · 51 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-51.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5745…aa5ebacked Yes16c687.5$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1105623.2%13 W · 43 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick18cpaid+42.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f1b…9876backed Yes22c677.78$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15032733%108 W · 219 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0aa…ee4cbacked Yes15c674.2$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006150.8%31 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Yes21c673$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.4798439.2%386 W · 598 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd436…16d1backed Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006439.1%25 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x935d…9404backed Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015719.1%30 W · 127 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad3f…6657backed Yes15c666.66$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004623.9%11 W · 35 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick23cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes25c631.38$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.5850833.3%169 W · 339 L-35.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xafe8…42ccbacked Yes16c625.65$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.135621.9%78 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a64…3c0abacked Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004425%11 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf10b…9c50backed Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008940.4%36 W · 53 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10034231.3%107 W · 235 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8bf…366abacked Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004938.8%19 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d32…653ebacked Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-46.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabef…1819backed Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008225.6%21 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-33.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bee…bcffbacked Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010148.5%49 W · 52 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.