TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Switzerland?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,015,763
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$901,072

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,015,763 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 269 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd49f…4507backed Yes7c306,027$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00012210.7%13 W · 109 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes7c68,850$4,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,665.968,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes6c52,947$3,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,176.812,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34a5…9450backed Yes6c45,170$2,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,725.327225%18 W · 54 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf958…db13backed Yes6c39,778$2,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,386.693221.9%7 W · 25 L-4.8wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Yes5c38,513$1,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,925.6638817.5%68 W · 320 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…ea94backed Yes9c37,055$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,30013725.5%35 W · 102 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa04c…9e3fbacked Yes12c20,040$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5004136.6%15 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d12…7954backed Yes6c20,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2004829.2%14 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Yes6c20,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20024526.5%65 W · 180 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes7c10,367$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.4829916.7%50 W · 249 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-53.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96ac…dc89backed Yes8c10,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.998913.5%12 W · 77 L-0.1wins0.00per pick14cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94a8…5204backed Yes11c9,091$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007122.5%16 W · 55 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Yes6c8,333$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50032429.9%97 W · 227 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes10c7,213$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.854,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes6c6,849$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.8875729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28c2…bfe3backed Yes7c6,018$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4008710.3%9 W · 78 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-58.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes8c5,333$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.9838817%66 W · 322 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f20…b29fbacked Yes6c5,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300515.9%3 W · 48 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-48%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf271…acf2backed Yes6c5,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008727.6%24 W · 63 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18e6…d83dbacked Yes7c5,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35012616.7%21 W · 105 L-12.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-53.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes6c4,890$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.3825418.1%46 W · 208 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc67…f528backed Yes6c4,438$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.273119.4%6 W · 25 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick12cpaid+17.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes8c3,878$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.971,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2824…4aacbacked Yes9c3,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010921.1%23 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick26cpaid+3.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd1c…f4b1backed Yes6c3,385$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.07896.7%6 W · 83 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-1.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc128…2217backed Yes6c3,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20025228.2%71 W · 181 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc54…4582backed Yes6c3,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016319.6%32 W · 131 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd92b…f80bbacked Yes6c3,167$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1904845.8%22 W · 26 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick36cpaid-7.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xba88…fd2bbacked Yes6c3,096$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.757919%15 W · 64 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa52e…48febacked Yes12c3,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360619.8%6 W · 55 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-42.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43e3…43f7backed Yes6c3,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18023230.2%70 W · 162 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9f2…b4ebbacked Yes6c2,900$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17420725.6%53 W · 154 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x896e…53f2backed Yes10c2,593$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.6917443.1%75 W · 99 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x268b…4890backed Yes6c2,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150424.8%2 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid+12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e78…3945backed Yes6c2,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15019529.7%58 W · 137 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfa6…bfd5backed Yes6c2,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501739.2%16 W · 157 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-50.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Yes6c2,500$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.4932042.2%135 W · 185 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes4c2,274$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.1675335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9254…3af8backed Yes9c2,222$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017211%19 W · 153 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…fc6cbacked Yes6c2,167$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13028528.8%82 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab63…8f4bbacked Yes7c2,143$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012634.9%44 W · 82 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x443a…ba14backed Yes6c2,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1206214.5%9 W · 53 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+26.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes9c2,000$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18531920.1%64 W · 255 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1de4…fababacked Yes9c2,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1807821.8%17 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b35…4a36backed Yes6c1,833$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101756.3%11 W · 164 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-37%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd926…427fbacked Yes7c1,829$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.281118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick13cpaid+34.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf191…2938backed Yes11c1,829$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005347.2%25 W · 28 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes5c1,800$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9072722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5748…a99abacked Yes6c1,751$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.568711.5%10 W · 77 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick13cpaid+12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bff…5c18backed Yes6c1,750$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10521429.4%63 W · 151 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf623…6767backed Yes6c1,712$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.751127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Yes7c1,700$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11927811.9%33 W · 245 L-1.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc427…efdfbacked Yes6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.02362.8%1 W · 35 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick9cpaid-65.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a7d…d997backed Yes6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009737.1%36 W · 61 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa41c…4419backed Yes6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002516%4 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick19cpaid+1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x664d…babdbacked Yes6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004528.9%13 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e39…77f3backed Yes6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008431%26 W · 58 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f9…fc82backed Yes6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008528.2%24 W · 61 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+41%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x935d…9404backed Yes6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015719.1%30 W · 127 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd31…1252backed Yes6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019411.9%23 W · 171 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a3c…0bc9backed Yes6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100339.1%3 W · 30 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick10cpaid+38.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa94…6c02backed Yes6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002010%2 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf874…def4backed Yes6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007950.6%40 W · 39 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes4c1,614$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.562,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe991…48b1backed Yes9c1,611$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15033641.7%140 W · 196 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x95d4…e4afbacked Yes6c1,598$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.861421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ede…385abacked Yes6c1,518$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.65100%0 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3f…100cbacked Yes6c1,500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905817.2%10 W · 48 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+51.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfc2…37e6backed Yes7c1,476$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006516.9%11 W · 54 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-38.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8760…a2c6backed Yes7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011421.1%24 W · 90 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf29b…dd1abacked Yes6c1,417$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853710.8%4 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick11cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa467…9c53backed Yes7c1,352$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.6510037%37 W · 63 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes6c1,333$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8048526.8%130 W · 355 L+0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1abe…f19fbacked Yes9c1,332$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.3822931%71 W · 158 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes6c1,325$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.46729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes6c1,315$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.572,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Yes5c1,301$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.421,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe44a…89a3backed Yes9c1,295$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.551915.8%3 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-43%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ff1…cb8fbacked Yes6c1,250$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752718.5%5 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3985…9f1dbacked Yes6c1,250$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757115.5%11 W · 60 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick9cpaid+44.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x45c7…a35dbacked Yes5c1,164$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.267622.4%17 W · 59 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-37.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8aa…7934backed Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006421.9%14 W · 50 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-31.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3636…4a00backed Yes6c1,109$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.52476.4%3 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick7cpaid-46.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa761…cc81backed Yes7c1,032$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.031329.8%13 W · 119 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes6c1,027$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.6456022.7%127 W · 433 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc82f…66a7backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10033235.5%118 W · 214 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b0…588fbacked Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021321.1%45 W · 168 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Yes7c997.11$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.738329.8%114 W · 269 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea2…de87backed Yes10c975.01$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012320.3%25 W · 98 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x533b…0a9ebacked Yes6c969$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1423227.6%64 W · 168 L-12.1wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfd…038bbacked Yes5c899.98$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4536423.6%86 W · 278 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes9c886.86$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.9765036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67f6…1651backed Yes10c883.82$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.8625328.1%71 W · 182 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x103e…f7b7backed Yes6c866.67$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5212811.7%15 W · 113 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+50.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5549…e8e3backed Yes6c833.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503312.1%4 W · 29 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-45.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe512…5751backed Yes6c833.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507926.6%21 W · 58 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2212…1496backed Yes6c833.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50825%2 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-48.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc90…da40backed Yes6c833.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504010%4 W · 36 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick8cpaid-22.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x256f…c9dbbacked Yes6c833.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501811.1%2 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick18cpaid-45.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.