Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Switzerland?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2cf05a77df6221b25cec9f4e4abbe550e868d232103399d9587c1bf19770fbfe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,015,763
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $901,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,015,763 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 269 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd49f…4507backed Yes | 7c | 306,027$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 122 | 10.7%13 W · 109 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 7c | 68,850$4,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,665.96 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 6c | 52,947$3,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,176.81 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34a5…9450backed Yes | 6c | 45,170$2,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,725.32 | 72 | 25%18 W · 54 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf958…db13backed Yes | 6c | 39,778$2,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,386.69 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6320…7e94backed Yes | 5c | 38,513$1,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925.66 | 388 | 17.5%68 W · 320 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…ea94backed Yes | 9c | 37,055$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 137 | 25.5%35 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04c…9e3fbacked Yes | 12c | 20,040$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d12…7954backed Yes | 6c | 20,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb87b…3626backed Yes | 6c | 20,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 245 | 26.5%65 W · 180 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…bcf3backed Yes | 7c | 10,367$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.48 | 299 | 16.7%50 W · 249 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ac…dc89backed Yes | 8c | 10,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.99 | 89 | 13.5%12 W · 77 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a8…5204backed Yes | 11c | 9,091$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 6c | 8,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 10c | 7,213$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.85 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 6c | 6,849$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.88 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28c2…bfe3backed Yes | 7c | 6,018$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 87 | 10.3%9 W · 78 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 8c | 5,333$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.98 | 388 | 17%66 W · 322 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f20…b29fbacked Yes | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 51 | 5.9%3 W · 48 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -48%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf271…acf2backed Yes | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 87 | 27.6%24 W · 63 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18e6…d83dbacked Yes | 7c | 5,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | -12.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes | 6c | 4,890$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.38 | 254 | 18.1%46 W · 208 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc67…f528backed Yes | 6c | 4,438$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.27 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 8c | 3,878$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.97 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2824…4aacbacked Yes | 9c | 3,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 109 | 21.1%23 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1c…f4b1backed Yes | 6c | 3,385$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.07 | 89 | 6.7%6 W · 83 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…2217backed Yes | 6c | 3,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 252 | 28.2%71 W · 181 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc54…4582backed Yes | 6c | 3,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 163 | 19.6%32 W · 131 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92b…f80bbacked Yes | 6c | 3,167$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba88…fd2bbacked Yes | 6c | 3,096$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.75 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…48febacked Yes | 12c | 3,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 61 | 9.8%6 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e3…43f7backed Yes | 6c | 3,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 232 | 30.2%70 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f2…b4ebbacked Yes | 6c | 2,900$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 207 | 25.6%53 W · 154 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x896e…53f2backed Yes | 10c | 2,593$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.69 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x268b…4890backed Yes | 6c | 2,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 42 | 4.8%2 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e78…3945backed Yes | 6c | 2,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 195 | 29.7%58 W · 137 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…bfd5backed Yes | 6c | 2,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 173 | 9.2%16 W · 157 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Yes | 6c | 2,500$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.49 | 320 | 42.2%135 W · 185 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 4c | 2,274$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.16 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9254…3af8backed Yes | 9c | 2,222$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 172 | 11%19 W · 153 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…fc6cbacked Yes | 6c | 2,167$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab63…8f4bbacked Yes | 7c | 2,143$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 126 | 34.9%44 W · 82 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443a…ba14backed Yes | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 62 | 14.5%9 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes | 9c | 2,000$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 319 | 20.1%64 W · 255 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de4…fababacked Yes | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 78 | 21.8%17 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b35…4a36backed Yes | 6c | 1,833$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 175 | 6.3%11 W · 164 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd926…427fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,829$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.28 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf191…2938backed Yes | 11c | 1,829$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes | 5c | 1,800$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 727 | 22.7%165 W · 562 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5748…a99abacked Yes | 6c | 1,751$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.56 | 87 | 11.5%10 W · 77 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bff…5c18backed Yes | 6c | 1,750$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 214 | 29.4%63 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf623…6767backed Yes | 6c | 1,712$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.75 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,700$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 278 | 11.9%33 W · 245 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…efdfbacked Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.02 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7d…d997backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…4419backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664d…babdbacked Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e39…77f3backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 31%26 W · 58 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f9…fc82backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x935d…9404backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 157 | 19.1%30 W · 127 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd31…1252backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 194 | 11.9%23 W · 171 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…0bc9backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa94…6c02backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,614$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.56 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe991…48b1backed Yes | 9c | 1,611$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 336 | 41.7%140 W · 196 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95d4…e4afbacked Yes | 6c | 1,598$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.86 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ede…385abacked Yes | 6c | 1,518$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.65 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3f…100cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc2…37e6backed Yes | 7c | 1,476$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 16.9%11 W · 54 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8760…a2c6backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 21.1%24 W · 90 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd1abacked Yes | 6c | 1,417$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa467…9c53backed Yes | 7c | 1,352$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.65 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,333$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 485 | 26.8%130 W · 355 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1abe…f19fbacked Yes | 9c | 1,332$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.38 | 229 | 31%71 W · 158 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 6c | 1,325$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.4 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,315$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.57 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Yes | 5c | 1,301$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.42 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe44a…89a3backed Yes | 9c | 1,295$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.55 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -43%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff1…cb8fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3985…9f1dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45c7…a35dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,164$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.26 | 76 | 22.4%17 W · 59 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8aa…7934backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 21.9%14 W · 50 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…4a00backed Yes | 6c | 1,109$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.52 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa761…cc81backed Yes | 7c | 1,032$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.03 | 132 | 9.8%13 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 6c | 1,027$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.64 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc82f…66a7backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 332 | 35.5%118 W · 214 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b0…588fbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 213 | 21.1%45 W · 168 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 7c | 997.11$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.7 | 383 | 29.8%114 W · 269 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea2…de87backed Yes | 10c | 975.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 123 | 20.3%25 W · 98 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x533b…0a9ebacked Yes | 6c | 969$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.14 | 232 | 27.6%64 W · 168 L | -12.1wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfd…038bbacked Yes | 5c | 899.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 364 | 23.6%86 W · 278 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes | 9c | 886.86$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.97 | 650 | 36.9%240 W · 410 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed Yes | 10c | 883.82$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.86 | 253 | 28.1%71 W · 182 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x103e…f7b7backed Yes | 6c | 866.67$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 128 | 11.7%15 W · 113 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5549…e8e3backed Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe512…5751backed Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2212…1496backed Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc90…da40backed Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256f…c9dbbacked Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Switzerland?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 3 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Switzerland?Yes won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 3 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 3 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Switzerland?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.