TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,783,507
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,630,287

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,783,507 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 847 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes11c284,778$32,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,104.068,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd49f…4507backed Yes12c276,327$33,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,00012210.7%13 W · 109 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb4f…7335backed Yes0c216,061$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.571216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-74.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes11c149,170$16,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,408.6956410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes11c121,881$12,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,899.6229916.7%50 W · 249 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-53.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes11c102,000$11,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,22078317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes11c89,636$9,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,864.622,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes11c72,324$8,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,182.821,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes12c70,892$8,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,305.335514.4%51 W · 304 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…ea94backed Yes12c44,500$5,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,141.9913725.5%35 W · 102 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f62…d989backed Yes15c29,375$4,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,299.3612810.9%14 W · 114 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes14c24,582$3,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,514.5575729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Yes10c23,264$2,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,331.6638817.5%68 W · 320 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce80…9a82backed Yes11c20,996$2,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,309.533951.3%20 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+10.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3b68…65c8backed Yes0c20,460$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4680%0 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdf3…538dbacked Yes11c17,206$1,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,892.6140%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x22b2…be32backed Yes11c16,300$1,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7932119%4 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x34a5…9450backed Yes11c16,258$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8007225%18 W · 54 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x18d4…69a9backed Yes11c16,205$1,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,782.5525124.7%62 W · 189 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x18b8…c368backed Yes11c14,460$1,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,590.5817733.9%60 W · 117 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Yes14c11,971$1,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,704.534924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes19c10,746$2,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,051.884,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb450…eaefbacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102532%8 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid+8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc815…c467backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick43cpaid-61.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaeb5…9915backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10825%2 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick16cpaid+111.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf956…2ec2backed Yes15c10,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5004219%8 W · 34 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick17cpaid-27.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Yes11c10,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10024526.5%65 W · 180 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96ac…dc89backed Yes9c10,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9008913.5%12 W · 77 L-0.1wins0.00per pick14cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f21…805ebacked Yes15c9,495$1,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,378.968023.8%19 W · 61 L-0.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x582f…b45cbacked Yes11c9,346$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.069218.5%17 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick16cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2970…e1c9backed Yes11c9,100$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00114351.7%74 W · 69 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x28c2…bfe3backed Yes11c9,091$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008710.3%9 W · 78 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-58.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x817a…0266backed Yes11c9,091$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002910.3%3 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x442f…e7a2backed Yes12c9,045$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,091.6411038.2%42 W · 68 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7795…9a17backed Yes12c8,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010927.5%30 W · 79 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27b1…ae2abacked Yes11c7,723$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.552913.8%4 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45c7…a35dbacked Yes17c7,486$1,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,295.757622.4%17 W · 59 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-37.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9629…972bbacked Yes11c6,916$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.732187.3%16 W · 202 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Yes11c6,902$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.3677433.1%256 W · 518 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes18c6,552$1,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,186.671,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8608…8b76backed Yes5c6,377$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.6812015%18 W · 102 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick16cpaid+9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xec8f…8df8backed Yes15c6,319$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.9315746.5%73 W · 84 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes15c6,288$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.091,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes27c5,908$1,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,603.261,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bea…a7e6backed Yes13c5,728$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.8517659.7%105 W · 71 L+25.3wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+36.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x896e…53f2backed Yes25c5,512$1,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,39717443.1%75 W · 99 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7201…fe41backed Yes12c5,250$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.57816.7%13 W · 65 L+0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9786…4c55backed Yes11c4,545$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009549.5%47 W · 48 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes30c4,420$1,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,325.931,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x254c…d5aabacked Yes11c4,304$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.491233.3%4 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c0f…9f39backed Yes11c3,771$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.811914.3%17 W · 102 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes11c3,743$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.7327520.4%56 W · 219 L+1.2wins0.00per pick20cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No78c3,674$2,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.432,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes11c3,587$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.66729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed Yes25c3,578$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.5427034.4%93 W · 177 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5823…8782backed Yes11c3,460$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.56826.1%5 W · 77 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-55.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe877…8decbacked Yes15c3,344$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.052123.8%5 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-40.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb8d…908ebacked Yes18c3,332$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.114327.9%12 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked No71c3,171$2,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.320646.1%95 W · 111 L+12.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Yes12c3,137$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.2578835.3%278 W · 510 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94a8…5204backed Yes16c3,125$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007122.5%16 W · 55 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc754…7c8bbacked Yes15c3,101$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4505012%6 W · 44 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick8cpaid+113.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…b70cbacked Yes12c3,078$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.7820427%55 W · 149 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes11c3,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33038817%66 W · 322 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb66e…47c5backed Yes33c2,856$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.9813750.4%69 W · 68 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes14c2,809$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.156022.7%127 W · 433 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b1a…3852backed Yes11c2,800$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30813217.4%23 W · 109 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e78…3945backed Yes11c2,727$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30019529.7%58 W · 137 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x635c…905ebacked Yes11c2,727$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid+15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Yes15c2,675$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40036539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37a1…6691backed Yes11c2,656$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.1819125.1%48 W · 143 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+79.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cd6…5c6cbacked Yes31c2,595$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8005431.5%17 W · 37 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+4.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x999f…4ae5backed Yes12c2,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300685.9%4 W · 64 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick12cpaid-69.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x662a…77b7backed Yes12c2,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30026618%48 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39c5…22f7backed Yes15c2,495$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.993228.1%9 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+67.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No75c2,408$1,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.811,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Yes11c2,364$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26028025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39bc…2739backed Yes12c2,340$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.89241.3%38 W · 54 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa577…91e3backed Yes21c2,332$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1963…dd0cbacked Yes8c2,332$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.0153920.6%111 W · 428 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-38.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2212…1496backed Yes17c2,304$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.2825%2 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-48.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Yes28c2,200$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.2187237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes14c2,168$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.81,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa52e…48febacked Yes10c2,153$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.91619.8%6 W · 55 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-42.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Yes6c2,112$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.6733740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4067…6ffabacked Yes11c2,075$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.26621.2%14 W · 52 L0.0wins0.00per pick21cpaid-27.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd10…a804backed Yes40c2,060$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.92630.8%8 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid+18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes29c2,040$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.2573536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Yes27c2,008$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.4617533.7%59 W · 116 L-12.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-36.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x27ae…bb2abacked Yes11c2,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220175.9%1 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick17cpaid-90.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf763…a0aabacked No71c1,988$1,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.3218765.2%122 W · 65 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e3…0009backed Yes16c1,985$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31020532.2%66 W · 139 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1abe…f19fbacked Yes16c1,975$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.622931%71 W · 158 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Yes12c1,929$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.4538329.8%114 W · 269 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbdc…fe61backed Yes16c1,875$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-62.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed No69c1,851$1,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.8226459.5%157 W · 107 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc128…2217backed Yes11c1,818$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20025228.2%71 W · 181 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fce…a7c8backed Yes11c1,818$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007032.9%23 W · 47 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20c6…45aebacked Yes11c1,818$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012736.2%46 W · 81 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6002…2c1fbacked Yes11c1,818$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001030%3 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick20cpaid-27.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.