Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f5ed2af66a46fe492001aba482f8196112a6ce4946f5159525b30e9ccc4ac60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,783,507
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,630,287
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,783,507 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 847 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 11c | 284,778$32,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,104.06 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd49f…4507backed Yes | 12c | 276,327$33,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,000 | 122 | 10.7%13 W · 109 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4f…7335backed Yes | 0c | 216,061$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.57 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 11c | 149,170$16,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,408.69 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…bcf3backed Yes | 11c | 121,881$12,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,899.62 | 299 | 16.7%50 W · 249 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 11c | 102,000$11,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,220 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 11c | 89,636$9,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,864.62 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 11c | 72,324$8,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,182.82 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes | 12c | 70,892$8,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,305.3 | 355 | 14.4%51 W · 304 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…ea94backed Yes | 12c | 44,500$5,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,141.99 | 137 | 25.5%35 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f62…d989backed Yes | 15c | 29,375$4,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,299.36 | 128 | 10.9%14 W · 114 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 14c | 24,582$3,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,514.55 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6320…7e94backed Yes | 10c | 23,264$2,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,331.66 | 388 | 17.5%68 W · 320 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce80…9a82backed Yes | 11c | 20,996$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,309.53 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b68…65c8backed Yes | 0c | 20,460$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…538dbacked Yes | 11c | 17,206$1,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,892.61 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…be32backed Yes | 11c | 16,300$1,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,793 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a5…9450backed Yes | 11c | 16,258$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 72 | 25%18 W · 54 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…69a9backed Yes | 11c | 16,205$1,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,782.55 | 251 | 24.7%62 W · 189 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18b8…c368backed Yes | 11c | 14,460$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590.58 | 177 | 33.9%60 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed Yes | 14c | 11,971$1,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,704.5 | 349 | 24.4%85 W · 264 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 19c | 10,746$2,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,051.88 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb450…eaefbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc815…c467backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…9915backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +111.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf956…2ec2backed Yes | 15c | 10,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb87b…3626backed Yes | 11c | 10,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 245 | 26.5%65 W · 180 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ac…dc89backed Yes | 9c | 10,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 89 | 13.5%12 W · 77 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…805ebacked Yes | 15c | 9,495$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.96 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x582f…b45cbacked Yes | 11c | 9,346$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.06 | 92 | 18.5%17 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2970…e1c9backed Yes | 11c | 9,100$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28c2…bfe3backed Yes | 11c | 9,091$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 87 | 10.3%9 W · 78 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…0266backed Yes | 11c | 9,091$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x442f…e7a2backed Yes | 12c | 9,045$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.64 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…9a17backed Yes | 12c | 8,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 109 | 27.5%30 W · 79 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…ae2abacked Yes | 11c | 7,723$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.55 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45c7…a35dbacked Yes | 17c | 7,486$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.75 | 76 | 22.4%17 W · 59 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…972bbacked Yes | 11c | 6,916$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.73 | 218 | 7.3%16 W · 202 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6f…d024backed Yes | 11c | 6,902$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.36 | 774 | 33.1%256 W · 518 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 18c | 6,552$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.67 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8608…8b76backed Yes | 5c | 6,377$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.68 | 120 | 15%18 W · 102 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8f…8df8backed Yes | 15c | 6,319$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.93 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 15c | 6,288$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.09 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 27c | 5,908$1,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,603.26 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bea…a7e6backed Yes | 13c | 5,728$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.85 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +25.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x896e…53f2backed Yes | 25c | 5,512$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7201…fe41backed Yes | 12c | 5,250$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.5 | 78 | 16.7%13 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…4c55backed Yes | 11c | 4,545$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes | 30c | 4,420$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.93 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x254c…d5aabacked Yes | 11c | 4,304$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.49 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…9f39backed Yes | 11c | 3,771$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.8 | 119 | 14.3%17 W · 102 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes | 11c | 3,743$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.73 | 275 | 20.4%56 W · 219 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 78c | 3,674$2,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.43 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 11c | 3,587$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.6 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ddf1backed Yes | 25c | 3,578$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.54 | 270 | 34.4%93 W · 177 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5823…8782backed Yes | 11c | 3,460$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.56 | 82 | 6.1%5 W · 77 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…8decbacked Yes | 15c | 3,344$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.05 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8d…908ebacked Yes | 18c | 3,332$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.11 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7349…cc3abacked No | 71c | 3,171$2,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.3 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4433…9d34backed Yes | 12c | 3,137$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.25 | 788 | 35.3%278 W · 510 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a8…5204backed Yes | 16c | 3,125$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…7c8bbacked Yes | 15c | 3,101$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +113.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Yes | 12c | 3,078$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.78 | 204 | 27%55 W · 149 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 11c | 3,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 388 | 17%66 W · 322 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66e…47c5backed Yes | 33c | 2,856$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.98 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 14c | 2,809$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.1 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…3852backed Yes | 11c | 2,800$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 132 | 17.4%23 W · 109 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e78…3945backed Yes | 11c | 2,727$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 195 | 29.7%58 W · 137 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x635c…905ebacked Yes | 11c | 2,727$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Yes | 15c | 2,675$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 365 | 39.7%145 W · 220 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…6691backed Yes | 11c | 2,656$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.18 | 191 | 25.1%48 W · 143 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd6…5c6cbacked Yes | 31c | 2,595$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x999f…4ae5backed Yes | 12c | 2,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 68 | 5.9%4 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…77b7backed Yes | 12c | 2,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 266 | 18%48 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c5…22f7backed Yes | 15c | 2,495$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.99 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 75c | 2,408$1,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.81 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Yes | 11c | 2,364$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 280 | 25%70 W · 210 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39bc…2739backed Yes | 12c | 2,340$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.8 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa577…91e3backed Yes | 21c | 2,332$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…dd0cbacked Yes | 8c | 2,332$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.01 | 539 | 20.6%111 W · 428 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2212…1496backed Yes | 17c | 2,304$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Yes | 28c | 2,200$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.21 | 872 | 37.8%330 W · 542 L | -39.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 14c | 2,168$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.8 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…48febacked Yes | 10c | 2,153$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.91 | 61 | 9.8%6 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…8620backed Yes | 6c | 2,112$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.67 | 337 | 40.4%136 W · 201 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4067…6ffabacked Yes | 11c | 2,075$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.2 | 66 | 21.2%14 W · 52 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd10…a804backed Yes | 40c | 2,060$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.9 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 29c | 2,040$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.25 | 735 | 36.3%267 W · 468 L | -32.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Yes | 27c | 2,008$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.46 | 175 | 33.7%59 W · 116 L | -12.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27ae…bb2abacked Yes | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -90.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…a0aabacked No | 71c | 1,988$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.32 | 187 | 65.2%122 W · 65 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…0009backed Yes | 16c | 1,985$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 205 | 32.2%66 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abe…f19fbacked Yes | 16c | 1,975$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.6 | 229 | 31%71 W · 158 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 12c | 1,929$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.45 | 383 | 29.8%114 W · 269 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…fe61backed Yes | 16c | 1,875$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…a604backed No | 69c | 1,851$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.82 | 264 | 59.5%157 W · 107 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…2217backed Yes | 11c | 1,818$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 252 | 28.2%71 W · 181 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fce…a7c8backed Yes | 11c | 1,818$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20c6…45aebacked Yes | 11c | 1,818$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6002…2c1fbacked Yes | 11c | 1,818$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 3 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Switzerland?Yes won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 3 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 3 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Switzerland?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.