TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x4067…6ffa

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
164
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 50 out of 100; worst Lol at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT6621.2%14 W · 52 L0.0wins0.00per pick21cpaid-27.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Piers Morgan attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$25.2
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.33
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$22,032Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+522.5%+$115,109.89
Will 9+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,589Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$598.76
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
France vs. England: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$63.64
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Exact Score: France 2 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$119
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$8,606Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,606.18
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$400.44
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$278.95
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$63.8
England vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$41.21
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$530.14
Lamine Yamal: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+236.1%+$566.9
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$411Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$410.59
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$119.86
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.75
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT5125.5%13 W · 38 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid+47.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifierbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.99
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)backed ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.04
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$590.37
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Shifters - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
LoL: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Game Handicap: GAM (-1.5) vs CTBC Flying Oyster (+1.5)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+3,233.3%+$970
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Group Stagebacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.4
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs GAM Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+1,076.5%+$183
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs GAM Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.08
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs ROSSMANN Centaurs - Game 1 Winnerbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.2
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+304%+$300.99
LoL: Blue Otter vs Contingent Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stagebacked Blue Otter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.5
LoL: TLN Pirates vs ZYB Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked TLN Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.78
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifierbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.5
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs HANJIN BRION Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Tweetslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT4418.2%8 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-35.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$349.7
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.18
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.52
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$33.47
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$34.6
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,288Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+442.4%+$5,699.2
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.73
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.71
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,274Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,274.29
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.33
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,469Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,468.97
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$302.67
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.44
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$104.12
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$222
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.92
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$58
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.26
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$770Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$770.06
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.46
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.45
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,994Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+427.4%+$8,522.33
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-43.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.