Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca324f67b4634f3d9e8146329007adff4cb8eee1c0a8c2fc5896abb51ab83f32

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $425,364
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $313,469

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $425,364 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe089…ad3abacked Yes	5c	28,353$1,352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,351.78	183	4.4%8 W · 175 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	+235.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02b4…7092backed Yes	0c	27,537$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.99	83	8.4%7 W · 76 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-69.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x590e…e43dbacked Yes	6c	14,415$875 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$874.64	192	15.6%30 W · 162 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbf9…b9ccbacked Yes	1c	14,114$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.59	55	14.5%8 W · 47 L	+3.0wins	+0.06per pick	9cpaid	+102.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6864…294bbacked Yes	2c	11,928$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.39	326	15.6%51 W · 275 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf8b…481ebacked Yes	1c	10,749$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.56	185	11.4%21 W · 164 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	1c	10,088$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.11	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4067…6ffabacked Yes	3c	8,913$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.67	44	18.2%8 W · 36 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd376…231dbacked Yes	4c	8,184$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340	33	21.2%7 W · 26 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcadc…4285backed Yes	0c	7,000$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	97	28.9%28 W · 69 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5ab…2bcfbacked Yes	9c	6,023$527 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$526.77	53	45.3%24 W · 29 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb353…bd7fbacked Yes	0c	5,505$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.07	119	4.2%5 W · 114 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9994…03ddbacked Yes	0c	5,458$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	112	4.5%5 W · 107 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-67.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa59c…bb62backed Yes	2c	4,860$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.21	174	19%33 W · 141 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	2c	4,756$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.15	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8eab…a56dbacked Yes	1c	4,754$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.66	278	5%14 W · 264 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-89.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	7c	4,200$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.92	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	12c	4,000$465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$464.85	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0619…d801backed Yes	0c	3,968$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.9	230	19.1%44 W · 186 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5177…2d20backed Yes	0c	3,923$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.77	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f69…cf59backed Yes	3c	3,381$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.43	107	10.3%11 W · 96 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+74.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed41…38afbacked Yes	6c	3,324$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.09	128	25.8%33 W · 95 L	+7.1wins	+0.06per pick	20cpaid	+50.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	4c	3,154$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.23	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x524d…4495backed Yes	13c	3,007$376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$376.13	162	22.2%36 W · 126 L	+8.4wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x666a…4bf0backed Yes	3c	3,000$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.5	181	7.7%14 W · 167 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	11c	2,969$337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$337.04	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	11c	2,668$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.91	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x038b…afc4backed Yes	5c	2,557$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.4	335	27.8%93 W · 242 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	18c	2,381$435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$435.16	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	4c	2,139$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.98	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x332e…fd5dbacked Yes	5c	2,011$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	122	7.4%9 W · 113 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	+43.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe559…1300backed Yes	4c	1,900$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	92	26.1%24 W · 68 L	-5.1wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc13…5578backed Yes	3c	1,664$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.75	289	12.8%37 W · 252 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	12c	1,604$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.71	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44b7…2e99backed Yes	3c	1,490$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.78	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+1.6wins	+0.10per pick	30cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9372…b267backed Yes	4c	1,450$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	71	8.5%6 W · 65 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a79…e2afbacked Yes	5c	1,349$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.03	46	39.1%18 W · 28 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes	10c	1,258$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.06	126	14.3%18 W · 108 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5853…144dbacked Yes	1c	1,242$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	42	19%8 W · 34 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-21%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No	78c	1,217$945 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$271.34	73	71.2%52 W · 21 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	73cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	8c	1,185$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.75	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x18b2…24efbacked Yes	22c	1,163$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.15	156	19.2%30 W · 126 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf452…8ff9backed Yes	5c	1,154$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.12	151	28.5%43 W · 108 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	9c	1,100$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.96	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	5c	1,092$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.46	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd76d…9457backed Yes	5c	1,060$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	+2.3wins	+0.08per pick	28cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	14c	987.49$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.58	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x019f…1152backed Yes	11c	929.93$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.47	41	31.7%13 W · 28 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	4c	866.86$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.24	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…052abacked Yes	13c	828.79$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107	107	30.8%33 W · 74 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd07…6bb7backed Yes	13c	828$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.95	128	10.9%14 W · 114 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-61.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd618…cce6backed Yes	6c	734.15$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.73	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	6c	721.23$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.69	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77d5…eacebacked Yes	2c	700$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.2	100	8%8 W · 92 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+74.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0d3…afadbacked Yes	4c	700$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.8	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	6cpaid	+212.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ee9…7d37backed Yes	11c	645.44$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	109	24.8%27 W · 82 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+38.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x699b…0296backed Yes	9c	639.42$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.8	193	14%27 W · 166 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa5a…edf2backed Yes	2c	638.13$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	60	26.7%16 W · 44 L	-3.5wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Yes	3c	621.04$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.82	114	18.4%21 W · 93 L	+10.0wins	+0.09per pick	10cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd68…0261backed Yes	10c	600$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.66	199	30.7%61 W · 138 L	+13.6wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc44a…0f0ebacked Yes	9c	600$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.6	173	35.3%61 W · 112 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yes	4c	555.52$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.67	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes	2c	544.85$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.36	182	4.4%8 W · 174 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1f4…2a00backed Yes	11c	539.23$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.74	47	8.5%4 W · 43 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	11c	529.97$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.07	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ceb…2bdfbacked Yes	18c	523.68$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.31	312	17.9%56 W · 256 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb5f…1ad5backed Yes	23c	515.42$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.32	49	18.4%9 W · 40 L	-4.4wins	-0.09per pick	27cpaid	-50.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa2e1…e102backed Yes	5c	500$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.5	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	8c	497.82$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.62	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee7…6fa6backed Yes	2c	487.08$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.15	292	27.7%81 W · 211 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-12%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	23c	468.28$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…04cebacked Yes	22c	459.59$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.34	119	32.8%39 W · 80 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf520…f05dbacked Yes	3c	451.4$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.36	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-62.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x30d7…59c1backed Yes	8c	445.58$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.71	89	22.5%20 W · 69 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes	7c	442.66$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.16	316	24.7%78 W · 238 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x984f…ba69backed Yes	6c	407.65$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.84	158	17.7%28 W · 130 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca4…4d3bbacked Yes	5c	400$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	7cpaid	+376.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe53d…146cbacked Yes	5c	388.19$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.51	117	23.1%27 W · 90 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86c8…a09dbacked Yes	5c	385$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	61	23%14 W · 47 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+34.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	80c	370.2$296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.04	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd33…f47ebacked Yes	21c	363.57$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	177	20.9%37 W · 140 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	3c	352.53$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	350	24%84 W · 266 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeabe…d6edbacked Yes	14c	349.99$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.7	132	24.2%32 W · 100 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf257…1950backed Yes	8c	349.44$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.5	424	24.5%104 W · 320 L	-13.9wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb36…0d51backed Yes	15c	346.86$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.76	69	21.7%15 W · 54 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	+26%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcc13…c991backed Yes	15c	344.87$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.82	161	24.2%39 W · 122 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x633f…0e01backed Yes	16c	342.18$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	92	26.1%24 W · 68 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2673…5ac9backed Yes	20c	337.79$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	178	24.7%44 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6e6…e0bbbacked Yes	17c	332.87$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.92	187	26.7%50 W · 137 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd026…d74bbacked Yes	16c	320.86$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x85f0…62ebbacked Yes	20c	300$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.39	101	14.9%15 W · 86 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+47.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	9c	297.23$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.49	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc94a…3975backed Yes	14c	285.6$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.7	62	40.3%25 W · 37 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1e2…666dbacked Yes	4c	279.99$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.32	41	12.2%5 W · 36 L	+2.9wins	+0.07per pick	5cpaid	+102.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1aed…5925backed Yes	20c	274.6$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.92	117	21.4%25 W · 92 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d3…8c21backed Yes	15c	271.81$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.75	38	18.4%7 W · 31 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa54c…8dc0backed Yes	20c	264.86$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.23	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfee1…746fbacked Yes	22c	251.84$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	140	22.1%31 W · 109 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x539e…3ccebacked Yes	6c	244$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.83	125	14.4%18 W · 107 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	22c	226.01$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.15	245	24.9%61 W · 184 L	-13.8wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-45%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event