Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d7f222063336b30a9ae7b1d0449fb7619a5ac027e4ddb1b1489c4c7b99c8ae2

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $189,806
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $115,163

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $189,806 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe089…ad3abacked Yes	3c	23,370$587 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$587.31	183	4.4%8 W · 175 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	+235.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9994…03ddbacked Yes	0c	10,100$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	112	4.5%5 W · 107 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-67.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x590e…e43dbacked Yes	7c	6,495$438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$437.55	192	15.6%30 W · 162 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	5c	4,000$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x524d…4495backed Yes	3c	3,781$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.56	162	22.2%36 W · 126 L	+8.4wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed Yes	0c	3,300$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	186	3.8%7 W · 179 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x666a…4bf0backed Yes	3c	3,000$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.55	181	7.7%14 W · 167 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1b0…3f04backed Yes	11c	3,000$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330	60	26.7%16 W · 44 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6864…294bbacked Yes	4c	2,932$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.67	326	15.6%51 W · 275 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	11c	2,907$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$327.8	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd376…231dbacked Yes	7c	2,836$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	33	21.2%7 W · 26 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4067…6ffabacked Yes	7c	2,629$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.44	44	18.2%8 W · 36 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4827…7d38backed Yes	20c	2,503$494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$493.98	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-2.9wins	-0.24per pick	32cpaid	-72%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xed41…38afbacked Yes	7c	2,500$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175	128	25.8%33 W · 95 L	+7.1wins	+0.06per pick	20cpaid	+50.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf8b…481ebacked Yes	1c	2,212$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.57	185	11.4%21 W · 164 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	7c	2,069$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.99	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	14c	1,917$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.56	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	20c	1,582$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$311.94	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x70f8…513dbacked Yes	13c	1,562$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.52	74	17.6%13 W · 61 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9372…b267backed Yes	5c	1,450$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.5	71	8.5%6 W · 65 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8eab…a56dbacked Yes	4c	1,433$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.18	278	5%14 W · 264 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-89.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x539e…3ccebacked Yes	1c	1,300$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.81	125	14.4%18 W · 107 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x332e…fd5dbacked Yes	7c	1,294$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.57	122	7.4%9 W · 113 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	+43.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	3c	1,284$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.14	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	17c	1,200$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	12c	1,164$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.07	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde0f…57c1backed Yes	3c	1,029$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.64	217	6%13 W · 204 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	2c	1,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	151	5.3%8 W · 143 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	+227.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2127…37f2backed No	79c	999.88$790 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$209.98	108	66.7%72 W · 36 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	62cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	10c	955.43$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.23	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes	15c	895$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.03	126	14.3%18 W · 108 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	80c	870.2$696 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174.04	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yes	3c	859.76$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.05	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b0a…0190backed Yes	4c	800$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.2	78	20.5%16 W · 62 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77d5…eacebacked Yes	3c	783.75$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	100	8%8 W · 92 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+74.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	8c	752.8$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.88	732	15.2%111 W · 621 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	8c	750$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.8	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ceb…2bdfbacked Yes	20c	721.4$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.64	312	17.9%56 W · 256 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf512…0985backed Yes	16c	695.99$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.56	121	17.4%21 W · 100 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd618…cce6backed Yes	3c	675.12$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.93	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fe…db0dbacked Yes	3c	675.11$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.21	43	58.1%25 W · 18 L	+2.3wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb5f…1ad5backed Yes	16c	642.91$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	49	18.4%9 W · 40 L	-4.4wins	-0.09per pick	27cpaid	-50.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x699b…0296backed Yes	10c	639.27$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.76	193	14%27 W · 166 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81fb…25f3backed No	80c	625$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125	34	79.4%27 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	77cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c48…6b72backed Yes	16c	625$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b30…068abacked Yes	10c	614.58$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.27	329	17%56 W · 273 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…04cebacked Yes	21c	610$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.1	119	32.8%39 W · 80 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa301…bcbdbacked Yes	18c	562.5$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	41	17.1%7 W · 34 L	-3.9wins	-0.10per pick	27cpaid	-50.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf6ce…f073backed No	78c	557.62$435 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.68	17	82.4%14 W · 3 L	+1.8wins	+0.10per pick	72cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa59c…bb62backed Yes	2c	508.21$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.47	174	19%33 W · 141 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf257…1950backed Yes	12c	507.43$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.8	424	24.5%104 W · 320 L	-13.9wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcadc…4285backed Yes	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	97	28.9%28 W · 69 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0d3…afadbacked Yes	7c	499.99$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	6cpaid	+212.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb44…d480backed Yes	7c	499.99$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	8c	493.3$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.71	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	20c	475$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Yes	4c	460$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.61	118	9.3%11 W · 107 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2673…5ac9backed Yes	17c	441.05$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	178	24.7%44 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8164…0813backed Yes	7c	430$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.1	277	7.9%22 W · 255 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e07…0439backed Yes	17c	421.32$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.89	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	6c	408.96$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.65	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc13…5578backed Yes	11c	392.57$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.5	289	12.8%37 W · 252 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x289a…f184backed Yes	15c	389.51$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.95	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes	9c	375.51$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.94	316	24.7%78 W · 238 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked No	79c	367.73$290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.47	407	19.7%80 W · 327 L	-18.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7fb…8eb0backed Yes	16c	330$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.4	32	15.6%5 W · 27 L	-3.6wins	-0.11per pick	27cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x68ff…ec42backed Yes	11c	301.17$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.52	90	18.9%17 W · 73 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d6e…54cfbacked Yes	4c	300$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.9	412	20.6%85 W · 327 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe50e…45c5backed Yes	4c	300$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.57	69	39.1%27 W · 42 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb141…aa3bbacked Yes	20c	300$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-3.9wins	-0.23per pick	46cpaid	-62.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc310…20cbbacked Yes	7c	300$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca4…4d3bbacked Yes	6c	300$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	7cpaid	+376.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x433e…6be1backed Yes	17c	286.64$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.99	90	24.4%22 W · 68 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	17c	286.07$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.61	245	24.9%61 W · 184 L	-13.8wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-45%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Yes	20c	285.81$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.16	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	11c	260.2$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.92	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed32…df4abacked Yes	6c	259.3$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	30	23.3%7 W · 23 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc8d3…8c21backed Yes	20c	253.22$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.73	38	18.4%7 W · 31 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe608…f6e8backed Yes	13c	224.67$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.28	72	52.8%38 W · 34 L	+5.5wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8ef…e9fcbacked Yes	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	15c	206.8$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.32	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85f0…62ebbacked Yes	15c	205.11$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.77	101	14.9%15 W · 86 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+47.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	7c	203.46$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.81	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x544e…86dcbacked Yes	8c	200$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	50	12%6 W · 44 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ff6…4e36backed Yes	19c	200$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	117	21.4%25 W · 92 L	-5.1wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc94a…3975backed Yes	16c	200$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	62	40.3%25 W · 37 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No	78c	195.3$152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.97	73	71.2%52 W · 21 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	73cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x633f…0e01backed Yes	20c	190.03$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.19	92	26.1%24 W · 68 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed Yes	11c	185.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.6	99	47.5%47 W · 52 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c09…eea9backed Yes	20c	180$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	64	18.8%12 W · 52 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	+32.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	17c	179.99$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.6	352	12.8%45 W · 307 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd33…f47ebacked Yes	17c	176.09$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	177	20.9%37 W · 140 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Yes	18c	162.58$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.84	114	30.7%35 W · 79 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x056d…3b69backed Yes	9c	157.26$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.15	57	15.8%9 W · 48 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x795d…7ba7backed Yes	7c	150.49$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.67	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	24cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9484…a173backed Yes	17c	150$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	400	16.8%67 W · 333 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	12c	149.99$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.1	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7581…2ca4backed Yes	17c	147.06$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-44.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe89a…626dbacked Yes	19c	140.44$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.1	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+25.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3013…2cd8backed Yes	10c	138.46$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.85	261	13.8%36 W · 225 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event