Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e054cf642d27183f973d72f1dc9f054b0d93e2fa7d106fcfaf7e2a64098ed5d

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 28, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $332,796
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $188,392

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $332,796 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	2c	24,522$451 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450.71	994	10.6%105 W · 889 L	-30.0wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x590e…e43dbacked Yes	6c	20,683$1,270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,270.2	186	16.1%30 W · 156 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	2c	16,445$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.07	1,780	7.4%132 W · 1,648 L	-23.1wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5c2…1750backed Yes	1c	7,272$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.09	209	7.7%16 W · 193 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-17%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	3c	6,260$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.96	1,190	8.7%104 W · 1,086 L	+31.1wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	2c	6,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	0c	6,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	151	5.3%8 W · 143 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	+227.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	4c	5,847$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.17	405	19.8%80 W · 325 L	-18.3wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x765a…efb4backed Yes	0c	5,500$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	387	6.5%25 W · 362 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf8b…481ebacked Yes	3c	5,500$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183	185	11.4%21 W · 164 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4067…6ffabacked Yes	1c	5,030$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.33	44	18.2%8 W · 36 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	13c	4,654$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$599.66	532	22.7%121 W · 411 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	4c	4,329$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.85	1,060	8.4%89 W · 971 L	+29.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	1c	4,000$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50a8…98edbacked Yes	8c	3,956$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.14	334	22.2%74 W · 260 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	5c	3,670$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173	563	29.8%168 W · 395 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	2c	3,488$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.37	552	5.6%31 W · 521 L	+15.6wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+42.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	6c	3,458$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.36	2,545	13.2%335 W · 2,210 L	+4.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed Yes	0c	3,250$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.85	186	3.8%7 W · 179 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2eb6…3e31backed Yes	7c	3,076$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.97	119	26.9%32 W · 87 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-50.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	2,827$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.38	2,160	3.9%85 W · 2,075 L	+5.9wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x828e…c21bbacked Yes	2c	2,495$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.87	274	17.5%48 W · 226 L	+11.0wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	6c	2,468$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.38	876	18.4%161 W · 715 L	+9.5wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9372…b267backed Yes	1c	2,450$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.5	71	8.5%6 W · 65 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x332e…fd5dbacked Yes	1c	2,362$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.17	122	7.4%9 W · 113 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	+43.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf9…b9ccbacked Yes	3c	2,346$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.17	55	14.5%8 W · 47 L	+3.0wins	+0.06per pick	9cpaid	+102.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ea8…ffcfbacked Yes	2c	2,297$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.82	199	9%18 W · 181 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+174.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	12c	2,289$284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.74	413	10.7%44 W · 369 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	1c	2,212$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.81	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	3c	2,120$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6db…cdd2backed Yes	1c	2,042$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.07	46	4.3%2 W · 44 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-93.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ef2…7f72backed Yes	15c	2,032$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.88	50	24%12 W · 38 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	3c	1,921$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.36	882	10.3%91 W · 791 L	-4.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…052abacked Yes	2c	1,857$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	107	30.8%33 W · 74 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5cc1…480abacked Yes	9c	1,851$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.88	35	2.9%1 W · 34 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1aed…5925backed Yes	13c	1,797$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.01	117	21.4%25 W · 92 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bff…5ab4backed Yes	6c	1,789$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.68	80	2.5%2 W · 78 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-80.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6864…294bbacked Yes	2c	1,706$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.07	324	15.7%51 W · 273 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	5c	1,637$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.39	879	17.2%151 W · 728 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	8c	1,537$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.15	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa50…3ed5backed Yes	7c	1,461$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.32	653	11%72 W · 581 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x666a…4bf0backed Yes	3c	1,332$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.61	181	7.7%14 W · 167 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3013…2cd8backed Yes	3c	1,296$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.5	261	13.8%36 W · 225 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe089…ad3abacked Yes	3c	1,286$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.14	183	4.4%8 W · 175 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	+235.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa67b…af43backed Yes	8c	1,253$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	159	22.6%36 W · 123 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe559…1300backed Yes	15c	1,216$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	92	26.1%24 W · 68 L	-5.1wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	2c	1,154$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.01	558	8.2%46 W · 512 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	2c	1,120$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.22	781	8.7%68 W · 713 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86d5…d80abacked Yes	14c	1,071$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+1.5wins	+0.18per pick	19cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf257…1950backed Yes	9c	1,032$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.57	424	24.5%104 W · 320 L	-13.9wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde0f…57c1backed Yes	3c	1,014$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.71	216	6%13 W · 203 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	4c	1,010$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.46	578	11.4%66 W · 512 L	+19.8wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	16c	1,010$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.08	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	797	11.3%90 W · 707 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	14c	999.6$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.91	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes	3c	911$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.28	223	25.1%56 W · 167 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd0f…2154backed Yes	12c	903.99$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.54	344	25.6%88 W · 256 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes	9c	853.51$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.81	126	14.3%18 W · 108 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee50…11e6backed Yes	6c	845.24$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.82	64	20.3%13 W · 51 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	3c	814.18$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.52	1,040	13.7%142 W · 898 L	+38.1wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x038b…afc4backed Yes	15c	810.97$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.5	335	27.8%93 W · 242 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f69…cf59backed Yes	3c	809.99$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.92	107	10.3%11 W · 96 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+74.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd376…231dbacked Yes	17c	804.93$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	33	21.2%7 W · 26 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb5f…1ad5backed Yes	20c	740.27$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.76	48	18.8%9 W · 39 L	-4.2wins	-0.09per pick	27cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc13…c991backed Yes	10c	714.83$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.88	159	24.5%39 W · 120 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b30…068abacked Yes	5c	713.53$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.98	329	17%56 W · 273 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	13c	679.87$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.51	826	14.9%123 W · 703 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc78b…2ca5backed Yes	15c	654.15$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	101	25.7%26 W · 75 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc13…5578backed Yes	2c	648.55$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	288	12.8%37 W · 251 L	+5.8wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eed…2050backed Yes	20c	619.99$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.43	106	29.2%31 W · 75 L	-5.1wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa76…897ebacked Yes	7c	613.73$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.17	154	7.8%12 W · 142 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	4c	600$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.91	1,036	11.1%115 W · 921 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x6d75…0474backed Yes	7c	579.45$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.05	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x699b…0296backed Yes	5c	566.62$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.59	188	14.4%27 W · 161 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	+21%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12e0…d6f8backed Yes	6c	526.28$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.91	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86c8…a09dbacked Yes	11c	504.91$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	61	23%14 W · 47 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+34.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	80c	500$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	542	74.9%406 W · 136 L	+34.0wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfa5a…edf2backed Yes	20c	496.24$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	60	26.7%16 W · 44 L	-3.5wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9611…e89ebacked Yes	10c	492.27$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	38	18.4%7 W · 31 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f11…4529backed Yes	4c	468.18$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x85f0…62ebbacked Yes	9c	463.7$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.75	101	14.9%15 W · 86 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+47.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb3c…4a10backed Yes	13c	455.55$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.37	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes	7c	451.1$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.89	217	32.3%70 W · 147 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe53d…146cbacked Yes	5c	443.19$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.25	117	23.1%27 W · 90 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe3f…abe7backed Yes	8c	395.06$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.14per pick	14cpaid	+25.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x636b…615bbacked Yes	8c	345.16$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.27	167	29.9%50 W · 117 L	+5.0wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68ff…ec42backed Yes	9c	344.66$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.91	90	18.9%17 W · 73 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	10c	321.5$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.02	574	20.9%120 W · 454 L	+9.4wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Yes	3c	319.87$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.16	102	16.7%17 W · 85 L	+6.7wins	+0.07per pick	10cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x82c2…5905backed Yes	6c	316.53$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.22per pick	28cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x832d…6ec5backed Yes	13c	299.99$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.7	117	7.7%9 W · 108 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0862…9a02backed Yes	7c	288$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.11	110	24.5%27 W · 83 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf8e…2f94backed Yes	5c	265.05$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.01	113	20.4%23 W · 90 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3821…bde6backed Yes	6c	264.88$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.56	27	7.4%2 W · 25 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd5a…2ff7backed Yes	11c	258$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.16	147	21.8%32 W · 115 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9df3…ddfcbacked Yes	9c	233.31$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	348	33.3%116 W · 232 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5be…6b28backed Yes	13c	224.12$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb1e2…666dbacked Yes	6c	223.9$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.16	41	12.2%5 W · 36 L	+2.9wins	+0.07per pick	5cpaid	+102.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcedd…0dd4backed Yes	14c	214.29$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa873…6b47backed Yes	7c	214.2$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event