TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5f11…4529

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
109
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 56 out of 100; worst Serie A at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT2128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification WTA: Polina Kudermetova vs Linda Fruhvirtovabacked Polina Kudermetova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Estoril Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Alexander Blockxbacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$383.3
Hamburg European Open: Mayar Sherif vs Paula Badosabacked Paula Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Estoril Open: Tiago Torres vs Hugo Gastonbacked Tiago Torres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Pozoblanco: Dominik Palan vs Izan Almazan Valientebacked Dominik Palan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Croatia Open: Alex Molcan vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+203%+$203.03
Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+132.2%+$290.82
Swedish Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$451.06
Cordenons: Maxim Mrva vs Franco Roncadellibacked Franco Roncadelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+322.3%+$193.4
Swiss Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+203%+$290.66
Roland Garros ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Jesper de Jongbacked Stan Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sofia Kenin vs Bianca Andreescubacked Sofia Kenin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
La Bisbal: Daria Kasatkina vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Tamara Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$141
La Bisbal: Tamara Korpatsch vs Marina Bassols Riberabacked Marina Bassols Ribera · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$318.35
Madrid Open: Alexander Blockx vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.56
Madrid Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.72
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$303.61
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Damir Dzumhur vs Alexander Blockxbacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.26
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: David Goffin vs Emilio Navabacked Emilio Nava · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$194.6
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Alexei Popyrin vs Frances Tiafoebacked Alexei Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.4
French Open: Alcaraz vs. Sinner backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.24
All 21 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$71.48
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.57
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$326
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$363
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+150%+$300
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$225.18
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.26
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.19
Hornets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.43
Pacers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.94
Timberwolves vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+75.1%+$122.19
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$77.43
All 14 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$190.53
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$217.64
Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$102.93
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$61.18
Will 1. FC Kaiserslautern win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
DSC Arminia Bielefeld vs. SV Darmstadt 98: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$76
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$120
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$300
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+29.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$90.55
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$411.27
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.02
Getafe CF vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$83.37
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$119.34
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+56.6%+$158.38
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$131
Will Girona win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Girona vs. Real Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Celta Vigo vs. Espanyol: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+28.2%+$28.21
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: Team to Advancebacked Celtic FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.85
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$821Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$820.66
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.92
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.42
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Liverpool FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+64.4%+$64.36
FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$29.17
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$878.82
All 10 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick41cpaid-78%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+126.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+61%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SE Palmeiras vs. Santos FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$171
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.