TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will Celtic FC win on 2026-05-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$302,471
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$335,927

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $302,471 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 296 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee0d…57abbacked Yes60c29,354$17,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,631.53955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x966c…9b1abacked No53c23,172$12,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,231.47875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+27.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc153…a68fbacked Yes62c11,579$7,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,362.854100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeae5…0720backed No0c10,198$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-49.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No17c9,711$1,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,623.0394043.7%411 W · 529 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No40c8,743$3,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,526.132,01235.5%714 W · 1,298 L-27.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No47c7,682$3,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,624.557,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No33c6,871$2,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,236.095,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed No48c6,048$2,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,892966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+30.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Yes61c5,738$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,237.7785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick52cpaid+70.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No59c5,623$3,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,323.911553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed No42c5,582$2,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,364.711384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.3wins+0.26per pick59cpaid+41.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x359c…3272backed No39c5,040$1,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,965.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-51.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No55c4,324$2,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,362.0511452.6%60 W · 54 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No39c4,117$1,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,605.6413244.7%59 W · 73 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes36c4,000$1,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,573.5518940.2%76 W · 113 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x046b…340dbacked Yes61c3,913$2,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,526.151050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes49c3,421$1,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,760.1863849.5%316 W · 322 L+26.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed No39c3,334$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300.2660%0 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe6e8…7c26backed Yes61c3,262$1,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.3933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-45.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x02c1…2e70backed Yes61c2,922$1,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.681747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38e…8917backed Yes56c2,389$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.624264.3%27 W · 15 L+6.4wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+283.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3f2b…0e18backed No42c2,380$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked No54c2,376$1,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,273.66464.1%41 W · 23 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No38c2,297$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.862,17948%1,046 W · 1,133 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No39c2,169$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.051,14353.2%608 W · 535 L+44.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes47c2,001$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.0517146.8%80 W · 91 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Yes60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8001145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4607…d542backed Yes50c1,995$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.682100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d95…fe91backed No11c1,818$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed No53c1,780$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.781650%8 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked No40c1,684$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.5610825%27 W · 81 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-1.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d4e…6478backed Yes34c1,612$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.441553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.20per pick34cpaid+58.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6945…729cbacked No10c1,559$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.361931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No40c1,531$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.3418743.9%82 W · 105 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed No1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15140%0 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No38c1,261$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.7334139.9%136 W · 205 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Yes63c1,229$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.181250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No40c1,200$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48015361.4%94 W · 59 L+10.7wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes48c1,187$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.6186960.4%525 W · 344 L+91.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+35.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked No39c1,155$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.456445.3%29 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No63c1,142$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.1198552.3%515 W · 470 L+4.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes46c1,096$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.3991148%437 W · 474 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88bf…0933backed Yes47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.821275%9 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+80.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No38c1,059$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.2887745.2%396 W · 481 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Yes61c1,025$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.58520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.39per pick59cpaid-67.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd23…77fdbacked No43c1,014$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.56944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-30.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc26a…76a1backed No40c1,000$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked No1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10240%0 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb416…4588backed Yes45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5504100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+66.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed No1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10130%0 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x53e4…6f6bbacked Yes31c1,000$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6901060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes72c951.98$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.2113542.2%57 W · 78 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No27c929.01$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.2798653.2%525 W · 461 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes50c893.4$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.375869%40 W · 18 L+7.0wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+34.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No16c888.76$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.4171533.8%242 W · 473 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-28.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed No40c877.6$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3504369.8%30 W · 13 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+16%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed No54c859.21$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.434057.5%23 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed No51c856.31$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.521457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+31.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ced…6c81backed Yes61c819.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.673076.7%23 W · 7 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick62cpaid+18.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd09d…b15dbacked Yes34c799.99$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.99757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+28.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes63c793.65$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.651266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18c2…529abacked No63c793.65$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+19.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x15ac…f3babacked Yes42c714.37$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.574454.5%24 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b94…51c7backed Yes47c707.75$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+111.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked Yes62c664.56$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.532065%13 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x208c…6b98backed Yes61c635$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.651241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes62c612.9$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.9862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Yes54c592.72$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.7110770.1%75 W · 32 L+19.6wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+38.3%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed No11c587.03$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.451346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x133b…5856backed Yes50c564.66$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.335534.5%19 W · 36 L-7.9wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-36.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1c2e…f1c7backed No40c544.31$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.72757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No38c527.54$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.7423649.2%116 W · 120 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No39c509.87$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.4285250.4%429 W · 423 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19512746.5%59 W · 68 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Yes55c500$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22437149.6%184 W · 187 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaec3…22dfbacked Yes60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No36c476.41$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.5120632%66 W · 140 L-17.5wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa53f…8c53backed No44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-27.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes42c452.38$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.3858229.2%170 W · 412 L-19.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No39c446.28$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.031,22251%623 W · 599 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x206b…3c33backed Yes39c446.15$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.651258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+34.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No40c438$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.226853.7%144 W · 124 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Yes47c427.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.8813573.3%99 W · 36 L+24.7wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+40.2%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Yes48c420.3$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.328067.5%54 W · 26 L+9.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+32.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No38c402.04$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.3977350.2%388 W · 385 L+2.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefa8…a55abacked Yes33c380.37$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+204.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b43…0714backed Yes54c367.87$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.22650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed No47c361.04$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.694841.7%20 W · 28 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+26.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ad7…49e0backed No47c352.51$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.62475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+246.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No37c344$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.991,10747.7%528 W · 579 L+1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68bf…459fbacked Yes44c340.91$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.91333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8c7…3726backed Yes37c333.45$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.45450%2 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+216.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No38c328$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.751,46748%704 W · 763 L+3.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ca5…a155backed Yes61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.872100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b57…95e1backed Yes62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked No60c321.01$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.613626.5%36 W · 100 L-0.6wins0.00per pick27cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4395…8fd0backed Yes54c320.37$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.372100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ce5…a07fbacked No63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x67df…5f86backed Yes51c313.79$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.792445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.