TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0ca5…a155

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 54 out of 100; worst Cricket at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1573.3%11 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CSyD Macará win on 2026-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Will CA Peñarol win on 2026-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Carabobo FC win on 2026-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+45%+$45.01
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$35.33
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Academia Puerto Cabello vs. CS Cienciano end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Will Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Independiente del Valle end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Will Barcelona SC vs. CA Boca Juniors end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$83.73
Will Deportivo Toluca FC vs. CF Pachuca end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.33
Will Independiente Medellín win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$37.53
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1283.3%10 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick75cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bengaluru 3: Takuya Kumasaka vs Taiyo Yamanakabacked Takuya Kumasaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Geneva Open, Qualification: Kilian Feldbausch vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Nishesh Basavareddy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Internationaux de Strasbourg, Qualification: McCartney Kessler vs Oksana Selekhmetevabacked McCartney Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
ITF Zagreb: Ella Seidel vs Kajsa Rinaldo Perssonbacked Ella Seidel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+41.1%+$41.06
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$30.57
Francavilla: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Gustavo Heidebacked Gustavo Heide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Magda Linette vs Tatjana Mariabacked Magda Linette · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jenson Brooksby vs Sebastian Baezbacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$59.74
Wuxi: Mark Lajal vs Mikhail Kukushkinbacked Mark Lajal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$35.64
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Damir Dzumhur vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Istanbul: Storm Hunter vs Guiomar Maristanybacked Guiomar Maristany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$21.59
Jiujiang: Xinxin Yao vs Haruka Kajibacked Xinxin Yao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
All 12 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid+15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$51.71
Will Houston Dynamo vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.27
Will Austin FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$89.86
Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will New York Red Bulls vs. New York City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+150%+$150
Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+30%+$60.03
Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$98.51
Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will San Jose Earthquakes vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+313.2%+$31.32
All 12 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick67cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$94.12
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$138.98
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$81.69
Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$26.06
Will Kashima Antlers vs. FC Mito Holly Hock end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Will FC Tōkyō vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Kyōto Sanga FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$16.75
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$53.16
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
All 3 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$28.72
All 3 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$127.87
Will Rangers FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+94%+$188.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+45.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$33.92
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$26.25
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the match end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.