South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Deportivo Toluca FC vs. CF Pachuca end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x586baed4a40d5816a34f7e78fbd65e5612cb2491f6cc7c0cc94d172b687254a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,216
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,772
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,216 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 2,547$1,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.93 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b4…7730backed Yes | 27c | 1,225$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.82 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 26c | 1,220$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.21 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 74c | 1,180$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.1 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 27c | 853.34$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.46 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 711.59$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.36 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 28c | 690.34$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 28c | 649.08$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.84 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 72c | 598.1$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.24 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 26c | 480$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.87 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 75c | 470$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.76 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe153…ba59backed Yes | 68c | 439.58$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 71c | 420$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.8 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed No | 71c | 298.34$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.71 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 271.71$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.79 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed7b…7b92backed No | 73c | 266.99$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad76…93febacked Yes | 29c | 250.39$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.12 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 70c | 231$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 76c | 217.28$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.15 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4789…994abacked Yes | 47c | 214.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e1…62a2backed No | 78c | 184.43$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.53 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 71c | 183.28$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.59 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 26c | 175.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…b8ecbacked Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4892…27bcbacked Yes | 30c | 158.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 37c | 152.75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.63 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca5…a155backed No | 70c | 141.1$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.33 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6802…da5ebacked No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked No | 29c | 132.58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.13 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…66b3backed No | 75c | 119.09$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.77 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d49…7cc0backed No | 73c | 114.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.89 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 30c | 103.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 102.92$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.73 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36cf…d3aebacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…c7a6backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 27c | 96.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd83c…6b83backed Yes | 27c | 93.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 79c | 90.68$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…5bcdbacked Yes | 22c | 89.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 79c | 86.82$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Yes | 25c | 78.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 197 | 61.9%122 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 72c | 75.87$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes | 22c | 73.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee8…07c4backed Yes | 29c | 71.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 68c | 68.35$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 29c | 64.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 108 | 26.9%29 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 78c | 64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…5294backed No | 76c | 63.63$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Yes | 19c | 61.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 77c | 61.42$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 75c | 60.12$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 73c | 59$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbe…44d3backed Yes | 27c | 56.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed No | 72c | 53.37$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e71…7913backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Yes | 26c | 47.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 72c | 47.49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 75c | 44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 76c | 37.19$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0271…5673backed No | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 58cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 73c | 32.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b4…85afbacked Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 73c | 31.93$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 72c | 29.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked No | 72c | 27.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6c…dc37backed No | 70c | 22.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked No | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 74c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…ba99backed No | 75c | 17.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed No | 71c | 16.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…2d83backed No | 74c | 16.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked No | 73c | 16.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a28…1813backed No | 75c | 15.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Deportivo Toluca FC vs. CF Pachuca end in a draw?this page
- Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-05-03?Yes won
- Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-05-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.