South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-05-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a341c5035088dc61659520db5e1b6e874c2b26f194a5b686554b78e377a69ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,350
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,105
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,350 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Yes | 30c | 8,292$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Yes | 53c | 7,000$3,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,709.95 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | -12.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 78c | 6,195$4,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.19 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed No | 51c | 5,492$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,691.75 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…6478backed No | 47c | 3,843$1,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,027.24 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 47c | 2,000$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.98 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 31c | 1,449$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes | 50c | 1,331$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.63 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,147$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.82 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 72c | 1,055$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.59 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb778…6492backed Yes | 54c | 1,004$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.08 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe970…d76abacked Yes | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 47c | 904.82$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.55 | 230 | 57.4%132 W · 98 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed No | 27c | 833.37$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.36 | 92 | 7.6%7 W · 85 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Yes | 18c | 779.72$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 116 | 18.1%21 W · 95 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 52c | 598$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.96 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed No | 49c | 570.37$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.89 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b4…7730backed Yes | 10c | 539.86$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 62c | 528$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.78 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 69c | 410.99$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.65 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 43c | 400.02$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.97 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Yes | 21c | 294.7$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.89 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -38%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 281.75$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.67 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 13c | 279.35$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadbc…8af3backed No | 47c | 270$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.1 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…acb1backed No | 79c | 251.7$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed Yes | 51c | 240$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 39c | 194.97$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.35 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 80c | 182$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Yes | 51c | 179.56$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.12 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -5.3wins | -0.23per pick | 36cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Yes | 28c | 161.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…5bcdbacked Yes | 13c | 157.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 68c | 156$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.38 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 35c | 151$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Yes | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 175 | 60.6%106 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 65c | 144.52$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.26 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd7…0678backed Yes | 17c | 143.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 49c | 138.75$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2a…420abacked Yes | 22c | 133.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 49c | 133.62$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.48 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed No | 72c | 132$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.84 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa12…924dbacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed No | 49c | 125$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 46c | 119.95$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.02 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 49c | 109.65$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.83 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd83c…6b83backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 47c | 106.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.24 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yes | 54c | 104.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 49c | 103.07$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.35 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa4…3409backed Yes | 50c | 102$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked Yes | 24c | 101.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 49c | 92.9$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 35c | 86.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Yes | 27c | 86.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 47c | 81$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Yes | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc4…0fd1backed Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 66c | 71.97$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked No | 47c | 68.09$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.09 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 49c | 66.28$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 47c | 64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Yes | 25c | 60.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 48c | 60.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b03…13eebacked Yes | 53c | 58.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a2…0593backed No | 73c | 53.42$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 51c | 50.18$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked No | 72c | 48.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 53c | 45.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b37…0eb2backed No | 73c | 45.27$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 59cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…c422backed Yes | 33c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 47c | 43.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63b…5c51backed No | 68c | 43.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 69c | 42.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 47c | 41.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 197 | 61.9%122 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d49…7cc0backed No | 77c | 40.21$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…cefbbacked No | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecf…9148backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a67…be3ebacked Yes | 51c | 38.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd16…37e7backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed Yes | 50c | 37.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 46c | 37.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 35c | 36.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 130 | 23.1%30 W · 100 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Yes | 54c | 35.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 52c | 34.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 79c | 32.79$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e71…7913backed No | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked No | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…fc49backed No | 46c | 30.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa081…77e6backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x303e…96ffbacked Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x696c…2571backed Yes | 53c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…5589backed Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-05-03?this page
- Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-05-03?Yes won
- Will Deportivo Toluca FC vs. CF Pachuca end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.