TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x303e…96ff

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
130
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 55 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT5646.4%26 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.53
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$27.62
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+228%+$45.59
France vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+150%+$22.5
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16.25
Czechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT2128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-37.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.72
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-05-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will América de Cali vs. CSyD Macará end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$38.57
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+150%+$75
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$17
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$13.36
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will CF América win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Atlas FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlas FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will CF América win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
All 21 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.81
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$17.38
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.59
Will Elche CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$30.18
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$30.57
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.04
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.46
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.51
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$11.83
All 17 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.34
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$10.56
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$27.86
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.59
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$20.71
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.23
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$15.92
All 15 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-51.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+150%+$22.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$77.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.