South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x651faf2c6f713113266cbab7ec83f31a89e4f41be9aa71c3c79d04d0ce49f5af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,266
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,987
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,266 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 74c | 3,859$2,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.74 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…b1cebacked Yes | 25c | 1,886$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.42 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 25c | 1,812$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.55 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 1,784$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.71 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 19c | 1,043$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.69 | 99 | 25.3%25 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes | 26c | 883.96$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.83 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 74c | 516.85$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.7 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Yes | 19c | 431.37$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes | 28c | 326.89$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.18 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 34c | 288.24$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 15c | 288$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 72c | 219.49$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.65 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 74c | 201$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.57 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 73c | 161.72$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.28 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 78c | 160.9$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.58 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 20c | 151.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 151.49$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.39 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 79c | 140.7$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.79 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Yes | 26c | 118$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Yes | 37c | 111.86$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 77c | 100.27$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…5ba6backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb4…28debacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 79c | 94.29$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe516…14ffbacked Yes | 28c | 84.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 78c | 77.16$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fc…b1fbbacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…e267backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5859…a9b0backed No | 67c | 76.13$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 19c | 74.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1e…f21ebacked No | 67c | 74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x303e…96ffbacked Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 74c | 68$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…5bcdbacked Yes | 24c | 53.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 25c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed No | 64c | 43.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed No | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 74c | 39.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 72c | 39.23$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 75c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 70c | 35.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 71c | 28.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa718…baf1backed No | 75c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc057…804abacked No | 72c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed No | 76c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bc…7e33backed No | 73c | 14.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 73c | 14.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 175 | 60.6%106 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca end in a draw?this page
- Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-05-17?No won
- Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-05-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.