TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-05-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$145,275
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$160,077

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,275 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 218 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed No18c19,999$3,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,506.0131643%136 W · 180 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes68c15,841$10,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,008.068,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No58c15,460$8,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,951.7819952.8%105 W · 94 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No52c13,595$7,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,067.285,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf00c…f4febacked Yes41c13,579$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,078.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+146.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Yes40c5,600$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3608321.7%18 W · 65 L-12.7wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-46.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No43c4,803$2,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,083.4275240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Yes42c4,473$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5733925.6%10 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes51c4,073$2,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000.212722.2%6 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-58.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No50c3,305$1,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,636.382,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes41c3,204$1,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,898.732,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed No59c2,229$1,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,315.245543.6%24 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No13c2,016$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.8121132.7%69 W · 142 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes40c1,612$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.4142250.2%212 W · 210 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dbe…9013backed Yes40c1,500$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90018543.2%80 W · 105 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes55c1,489$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.8237540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No60c1,463$877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.741,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes36c1,389$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.8815945.9%73 W · 86 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes40c1,351$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.0938233%126 W · 256 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No12c1,345$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.299122%20 W · 71 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2045…c77cbacked Yes45c1,209$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.883658.3%21 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No50c1,204$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.451,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2cbc…faebbacked Yes41c1,203$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.08475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick38cpaid+124.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked No60c1,123$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6727959.5%47 W · 32 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Yes38c1,053$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.636949.3%34 W · 35 L+9.1wins+0.13per pick36cpaid+25.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No56c1,001$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.391,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3400…4832backed Yes43c999.98$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.992100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+89.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No59c988.93$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.821,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes41c970.85$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.851833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No4c948$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9244843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc16c…a3aabacked No64c909.52$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.052875%21 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+20.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes36c803.75$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.757047.1%33 W · 37 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e79…56dcbacked Yes36c800$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5121241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+32.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x898a…499abacked No56c787.28$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.451154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Yes40c705.6$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.3620059.5%119 W · 81 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes36c674.45$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.658452.4%44 W · 40 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes45c673.48$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.581926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No60c648.13$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.883,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Yes46c635.65$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.256048.3%29 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No59c605.64$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.571,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Yes73c550.08$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.081457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b55…b1cebacked Yes51c545.74$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.42240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed No60c538.73$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.2410467.3%70 W · 34 L+12.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4748…9666backed Yes45c537.62$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.164738.3%18 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bfc…18e3backed Yes40c520$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3122744.4%12 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No59c512.32$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.671,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87ec…1ee8backed Yes40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick24cpaid+158.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x26cb…9fe7backed No60c488.33$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2934643.5%20 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes40c477.9$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.9226745.3%121 W · 146 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No57c473.18$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.7142962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No53c463.03$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.411,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No57c438$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.61,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8433…fe52backed Yes40c399.35$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked No3c390$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.69710.3%10 W · 87 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-72.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x88bf…0933backed No27c382.13$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.066946.4%32 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No59c378.97$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.782,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No54c371.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.42,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No60c349.99$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.578756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8e4…ff59backed Yes43c348.84$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.842356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked No25c332.19$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.349925.3%25 W · 74 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee4d…5413backed Yes37c324.32$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.32955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x162f…4ee0backed Yes40c320$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1921154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbff4…b609backed Yes43c319.55$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.557745.5%35 W · 42 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No59c305$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.62944.8%13 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Yes48c298.88$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.4248922.9%112 W · 377 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbffb…a60ebacked No58c296$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.685754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ae5…6079backed Yes42c288.93$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.583554.3%19 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes44c284.09$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.0976951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Yes43c274.99$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.744139%16 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No58c260.65$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.0325955.2%143 W · 116 L+1.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59ea…ce0bbacked Yes73c259.9$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No55c239$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.4530754.7%168 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No58c201.25$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.231,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72dd…4ef0backed Yes40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201921.1%4 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No25c196.4$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2525044%110 W · 140 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6170…03bdbacked Yes37c175.68$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.68850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed Yes78c169.4$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.271457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x005a…1349backed No60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick63cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x697e…9904backed No62c166.34$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.922240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd9f…f8ddbacked No61c160$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.12933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcd1…6b22backed Yes44c159.09$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.09475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+101.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No59c157.8$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.6363657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Yes76c150.8$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7419264.1%123 W · 69 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes46c150.6$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.941,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f5e…b61abacked Yes40c147.1$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.26425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-37.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked No55c139$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.4511448.2%55 W · 59 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No57c138.66$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5721844.5%97 W · 121 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5546…e3cfbacked Yes37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.143312.1%4 W · 29 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-52%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x129b…190abacked Yes38c133.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.216753.7%36 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x55e9…bf34backed Yes39c132.43$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+46.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a32…7801backed Yes40c132.33$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aa1…f0b2backed No44c131.06$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.9742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea47…d64bbacked Yes41c131.03$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.312748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes60c130.07$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5753836.8%198 W · 340 L-24.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d9f…b0d4backed Yes38c129$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.98475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+51.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes47c127$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.7320055%110 W · 90 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba1b…82fdbacked No20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.311258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+25.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7053…25e4backed Yes40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754129.3%12 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x303e…96ffbacked Yes40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-37.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x113e…ca7cbacked Yes38c125$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781040%4 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+84.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.