TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x87ec…1ee8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
112
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 55 out of 100; worst F1 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4827.1%13 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,610Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,610
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$2,335Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+550.3%+$12,848.34
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$1,380.95
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,690Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,690
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$2,670Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,670
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,297Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,297
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$864Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$864
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$634Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$634
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$816Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$816
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+214.3%+$214.27
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT1520%3 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-60%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
F1 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.8
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+145.4%+$2,180.42
Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300.3
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$235.71
Will Charles Leclerc achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Pierre Gasly finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.42
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.08
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+76.1%+$152.22
All 15 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Declan Rice record the most yellow cards in 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.04
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+52%+$623.51
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+88.8%+$177.5
Bukayo Saka: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$350
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$214.29
Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+78.5%+$863.83
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+300%+$300
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+42%+$209.94
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$127.87
Will Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.49
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$687Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+53.1%+$364.41
Will Everton FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.36
All 9 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Music — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick24cpaid+158.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+55.3%+$552.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.