Fifa International · resolved market
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f8de21a80996a54ced1327cbf4e0702d417e1f49ec6ebe267bc5664c7f36d90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,226,561
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,041,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,226,561 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,425 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked No | 76c | 499,997$377,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121,999.24 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Yes | 23c | 473,997$109,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109,019.33 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6754…e3bcbacked No | 77c | 202,025$155,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,465.86 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 69c | 183,141$127,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,036.35 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 76c | 146,336$111,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,586.11 | 299 | 52.5%157 W · 142 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes | 29c | 142,531$40,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,916.07 | 423 | 45.6%193 W · 230 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 74c | 133,278$98,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,390.09 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c17…38efbacked Yes | 0c | 127,996$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.76 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 115,631$84,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,338.33 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87b9…d4b6backed Yes | 42c | 97,805$41,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,077.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Yes | 27c | 92,600$24,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,603.99 | 142 | 32.4%46 W · 96 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf6…9af0backed Yes | 24c | 81,475$19,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,554.06 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Yes | 0c | 64,832$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.42 | 146 | 8.2%12 W · 134 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 2cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf751…fec8backed Yes | 30c | 60,000$18,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,000 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 74c | 58,238$43,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,233.62 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 57,124$40,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,536.66 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 24c | 55,998$13,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,245.77 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 70c | 54,846$38,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,453.8 | 425 | 41.6%177 W · 248 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 12c | 45,273$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e2…9dcbbacked Yes | 23c | 43,829$10,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,049.13 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6550…8451backed No | 70c | 41,122$28,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,155.67 | 217 | 38.7%84 W · 133 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06f2…1269backed No | 64c | 37,986$24,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,704.8 | 383 | 33.9%130 W · 253 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Yes | 47c | 32,907$15,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,408.1 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 45c | 25,661$11,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,578.14 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 18c | 21,436$3,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,832.24 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf77e…b594backed Yes | 1c | 20,328$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.66 | 95 | 3.2%3 W · 92 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Yes | 8c | 19,723$1,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,541.93 | 369 | 39.6%146 W · 223 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x896e…53f2backed Yes | 1c | 18,943$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec23…24fdbacked Yes | 35c | 18,062$6,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,329.73 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 72c | 15,804$11,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,380.06 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7124…f0b5backed Yes | 24c | 14,770$3,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,544.9 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 70c | 14,528$10,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,347.68 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6880…cf03backed Yes | 24c | 13,583$3,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,260 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 26c | 12,605$3,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,223.87 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Yes | 45c | 11,213$5,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,045.73 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e3…fbb2backed Yes | 41c | 11,000$4,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,505.91 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…49f6backed Yes | 33c | 10,857$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 130 | 36.2%47 W · 83 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed Yes | 24c | 10,417$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Yes | 24c | 10,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…d0ecbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 169 | 27.8%47 W · 122 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Yes | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb87b…3626backed Yes | 27c | 10,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 245 | 26.5%65 W · 180 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 341 | 22.3%76 W · 265 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed No | 76c | 9,999$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.86 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8f…8df8backed No | 57c | 9,329$5,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,033.43 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 29c | 9,118$2,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,644.12 | 320 | 31.6%101 W · 219 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 70c | 9,093$6,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,716.85 | 319 | 45.1%144 W · 175 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 76c | 9,064$6,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 76c | 9,000$6,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,130 | 307 | 51.1%157 W · 150 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f8…a834backed Yes | 25c | 8,888$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Yes | 30c | 8,573$2,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,572 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a54…7c49backed Yes | 24c | 8,454$2,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,028.88 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6e…213dbacked Yes | 24c | 8,288$1,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,989.09 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…26aebacked Yes | 25c | 8,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d0…95babacked Yes | 14c | 7,943$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112 | 83 | 16.9%14 W · 69 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a44…8985backed Yes | 24c | 7,763$1,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,863 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 76c | 7,550$5,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,813 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed No | 62c | 7,149$4,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,708.34 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked No | 58c | 6,897$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,897.01 | 111 | 67.6%75 W · 36 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 77c | 6,622$5,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.2 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c5…fffebacked Yes | 21c | 6,546$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1e…6067backed Yes | 28c | 6,433$1,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,769.17 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a4…097fbacked Yes | 24c | 6,250$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 74c | 5,748$4,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.24 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde80…d8b9backed Yes | 24c | 5,574$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc5…6f99backed Yes | 30c | 5,250$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575 | 151 | 31.8%48 W · 103 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9689…df62backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 234 | 27.8%65 W · 169 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0563…f41cbacked Yes | 13c | 4,968$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.88 | 150 | 40%60 W · 90 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 67c | 4,920$3,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638.55 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 25c | 4,801$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.02 | 658 | 35%230 W · 428 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x794d…53c8backed Yes | 33c | 4,591$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 76c | 4,570$3,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.97 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…9b53backed Yes | 26c | 4,565$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179 | 90 | 34.4%31 W · 59 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Yes | 28c | 4,500$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.23 | 265 | 34%90 W · 175 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…b06abacked Yes | 34c | 4,409$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d6…ea7bbacked Yes | 19c | 4,368$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 92 | 25%23 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Yes | 13c | 4,366$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.59 | 244 | 41.8%102 W · 142 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c5…23bcbacked Yes | 24c | 4,167$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +176.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e4…3c69backed Yes | 24c | 4,167$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ad68backed Yes | 24c | 4,100$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Yes | 30c | 4,070$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes | 15c | 4,045$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.81 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 23c | 4,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 432 | 48.4%209 W · 223 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 75c | 4,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 172 | 35.5%61 W · 111 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06f8…2062backed Yes | 30c | 4,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a6…627bbacked Yes | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked No | 71c | 3,880$2,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.2 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 65c | 3,811$2,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.16 | 175 | 69.1%121 W · 54 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16cf…f719backed Yes | 31c | 3,754$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.33 | 103 | 67%69 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 31c | 3,677$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.01 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424d…3b7ebacked Yes | 25c | 3,661$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.24 | 114 | 21.1%24 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked Yes | 45c | 3,556$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 76c | 3,438$2,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.82 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd16…0be8backed Yes | 25c | 3,430$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.59 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed Yes | 29c | 3,391$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…b7d7backed Yes | 30c | 3,377$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe944…650cbacked Yes | 23c | 3,367$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.37 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x635c…45c6backed Yes | 30c | 3,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 30c | 3,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +8.6wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9dee…a0f4backed Yes | 30c | 3,310$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?this page
- Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?Yes won
- Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.