TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,909,397
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$17,980,297

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,909,397 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 3,861 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd66e…051fbacked No40c1,814,353$729,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729,329.680%0 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed Yes60c1,466,528$884,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582,509.0411642.2%49 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2dd…4a23backed Yes60c1,166,666$700,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466,666.391637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4b1…5143backed Yes62c1,126,726$699,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426,727.31546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No48c675,235$325,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325,742.554,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed No41c633,572$257,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257,555.7177152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No41c600,737$248,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248,027.2974752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd30…f316backed No40c500,000$200,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200,0002729.6%8 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-40.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked No40c467,928$187,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187,171.068440.5%34 W · 50 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6754…e3bcbacked Yes60c400,000$240,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160,00015456.5%87 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24c5…c428backed No38c391,130$148,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148,629.541513.3%2 W · 13 L-4.7wins-0.31per pick45cpaid-75.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x557d…1fdabacked Yes49c364,500$177,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186,737.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc430…1ebfbacked Yes61c300,000$183,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116,999.838932.6%29 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ee8…89debacked No38c283,336$106,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106,681.175942.4%25 W · 34 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No46c281,280$129,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129,893.642,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No38c219,710$83,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83,377.8429952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes61c207,258$126,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80,625.328,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Yes59c200,000$118,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82,00033538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8a5…122bbacked No38c200,000$75,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74,999.987941.8%33 W · 46 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2643…39aebacked Yes60c186,631$111,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74,650.652864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30ec…21a0backed Yes60c185,000$111,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74,0004445.5%20 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160d…5295backed No40c170,100$67,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67,727.596546.2%30 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed No39c164,044$64,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64,072.699142.9%39 W · 52 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0a2…353abacked Yes62c158,578$98,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59,834.324841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No40c157,596$62,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,507.261,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Yes60c146,761$88,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,483.849247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed No39c140,000$54,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,00022348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd095…dcd9backed Yes41c123,874$51,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72,509.671533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-41%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x594d…059dbacked Yes62c118,433$73,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,004.641560%9 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes62c111,111$68,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,222.183933.3%13 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Yes23c108,175$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83,174.8919644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa66c…cd67backed Yes39c100,382$39,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,968.9118047.8%86 W · 94 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed No40c100,000$40,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,00017949.2%88 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked No1c100,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002516%4 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-57.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed No39c89,999$34,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,919.772347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+38.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No48c85,629$40,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,914.853,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked No27c83,585$22,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,602.7714715.6%23 W · 124 L-0.3wins0.00per pick16cpaid+19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No4c83,098$3,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,172.654,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Yes62c80,645$50,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,645.1617840.4%72 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed No71c77,654$54,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,843.985839.7%23 W · 35 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No40c70,252$28,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,047.1556541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No7c67,404$4,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,954.523,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed No40c66,787$26,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,714.9313533.3%45 W · 90 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Yes66c63,826$41,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,938.515844.3%70 W · 88 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Yes29c62,554$18,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,490.0526320.5%54 W · 209 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes61c55,106$33,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,658.491,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b5a…00f2backed No39c55,000$21,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,4507839.7%31 W · 47 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…4244backed Yes27c52,124$14,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,071.4117550.3%88 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf501…8063backed Yes60c49,298$29,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,719.131154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-15.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed No51c48,433$24,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,477.3421738.7%84 W · 133 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e47…34a2backed No37c47,427$17,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,547.817342.5%31 W · 42 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No56c47,277$26,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,659.2431945.5%145 W · 174 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08ff…32ebbacked No73c40,790$29,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,588.5710550.5%53 W · 52 L-8.1wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No51c39,099$20,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,135.881,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef27…381bbacked No41c38,618$15,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,833.331040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82ba…afeabacked No38c38,108$14,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,48115337.3%57 W · 96 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No54c37,285$20,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,035.672,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Yes61c35,000$21,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,60016957.4%97 W · 72 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Yes39c35,000$13,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,249.994235.7%15 W · 27 L-5.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-24.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5d8a…f2d9backed Yes59c34,658$20,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,211.292962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No38c32,999$12,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,539.7816835.1%59 W · 109 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No38c32,499$12,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,349.4916244.4%72 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked No38c29,854$11,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,344.57642.1%32 W · 44 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec4c…fb48backed No38c29,053$11,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,040.13938.5%15 W · 24 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+34.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb840…55e7backed No38c28,610$11,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,999.941050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Yes49c28,000$13,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,28024058.8%141 W · 99 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No72c27,023$19,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,456.2442541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e05…7720backed Yes61c25,523$15,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,953.972343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes47c25,484$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,484.3531644.9%142 W · 174 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdac7…6d53backed No37c25,000$9,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,250.19131.9%29 W · 62 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed No41c25,000$10,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,25014232.4%46 W · 96 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed No39c25,000$9,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,75053448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e17…d3d8backed Yes62c24,194$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,193.551163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb376…a463backed No38c23,232$8,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,828.27343.8%32 W · 41 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1350…0841backed No38c22,260$8,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,458.625244.2%23 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x829c…6cf6backed Yes45c20,801$9,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,412.752218.2%4 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-57.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfaa2…e80abacked Yes62c20,000$12,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,680.0713959.7%83 W · 56 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed No41c20,000$8,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,2009451.1%48 W · 46 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x209b…5706backed No38c20,000$7,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,6008845.5%40 W · 48 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cc0…5765backed No68c20,000$13,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,6006152.5%32 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe944…650cbacked Yes58c20,000$11,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,356.1111133.3%37 W · 74 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-36.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x896e…53f2backed Yes38c19,697$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,196.9717443.1%75 W · 99 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb4b…2601backed No38c18,373$6,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,981.882231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb57e…ffe8backed Yes58c18,126$10,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,672.0924620.3%50 W · 196 L-21.8wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-44.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No38c18,046$6,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,927.281,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes52c17,978$9,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,68538734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4761…5ae8backed No38c17,271$6,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,562.863040%12 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7650…fac1backed Yes60c16,667$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,666.84153.7%22 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b6…2fefbacked Yes60c16,667$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,666.673971.8%28 W · 11 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+13.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x119b…ac3ebacked Yes60c16,667$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,666.678944.9%40 W · 49 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Yes60c16,667$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,666.6614055.7%78 W · 62 L+15.5wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+22.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7595…50ffbacked Yes62c16,200$10,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,1564339.5%17 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6880…cf03backed Yes62c16,129$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,129.036048.3%29 W · 31 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+30.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Yes62c16,129$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,129.0310457.7%60 W · 44 L+10.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4a1c…9867backed Yes62c16,129$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,129.037753.2%41 W · 36 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No39c16,005$6,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,285.7248441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x620c…4baebacked Yes60c16,000$9,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,4002867.9%19 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9786…4c55backed Yes63c15,873$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,873.029549.5%47 W · 48 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed No38c15,306$5,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,862.1530751.1%157 W · 150 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45ad…55b7backed Yes63c15,177$9,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,615.486459.4%38 W · 26 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.