TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,384,351
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,165,956

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,384,351 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,704 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c33…0563backed No72c447,988$324,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123,276.3474752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes16c426,715$68,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68,007.2121343.2%92 W · 121 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes17c322,222$54,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,777.7442345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes17c199,631$33,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,140.947433.8%25 W · 49 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-40%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes35c160,207$56,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56,418.38,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Yes16c125,000$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00022348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes24c113,410$27,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,747.5938734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No68c106,964$72,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,315.071,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f0e…a019backed Yes17c90,903$15,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,453.56650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+93.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e69…858dbacked No68c88,000$59,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,539.993246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed No62c82,035$50,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,173.225839.7%23 W · 35 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd095…dcd9backed Yes18c77,274$14,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,094.011533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-41%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes17c58,824$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00018740.6%76 W · 111 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8baa…f299backed Yes2c52,468$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003638.9%14 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed Yes1c48,088$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.8825821.3%55 W · 203 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No69c40,946$28,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,528.492,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed No70c40,750$28,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,396.4921738.7%84 W · 133 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fad…c28cbacked Yes8c40,078$3,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,212.051926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-56.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Yes47c38,277$18,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,112.9814232.4%46 W · 96 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed No58c37,500$21,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,924.847150.7%36 W · 35 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Yes16c36,597$5,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,90032429.9%97 W · 227 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No68c35,957$24,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,413.6531945.5%145 W · 174 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87b9…d4b6backed Yes41c35,552$14,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,576.5220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Yes1c35,104$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.091468.2%12 W · 134 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick2cpaid+90.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b1d…3721backed Yes14c35,102$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002138.1%8 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick28cpaid+56.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x896e…53f2backed Yes16c31,751$5,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,080.117443.1%75 W · 99 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes1c30,984$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.614715.6%23 W · 124 L-0.3wins0.00per pick16cpaid+19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Yes51c30,000$15,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,2007550.7%38 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x70ef…e6ddbacked Yes16c30,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,80010840.7%44 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes16c30,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8009642.7%41 W · 55 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x381b…4d74backed Yes2c30,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4508440.5%34 W · 50 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes28c27,671$7,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,882.791,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes36c27,294$9,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,907.914,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed No53c27,000$14,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,629.9313533.3%45 W · 90 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6501…1220backed No60c25,722$15,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,211.24667.4%31 W · 15 L+9.3wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+41.3%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes17c25,152$4,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,275.841,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf49c…9786backed Yes17c24,999$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,299.831529.9%15 W · 137 L-0.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-49.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9390…07c9backed Yes8c24,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00060%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1639…07f0backed Yes29c22,468$6,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,5031442.9%6 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+51.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed No61c21,689$13,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,516.2477152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e60…3badbacked Yes17c20,755$3,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,528.278627.9%24 W · 62 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No57c20,516$11,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,748.6542541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes16c20,000$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2002,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe811…ac72backed Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202050%10 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe944…650cbacked Yes24c20,000$4,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,813.4811133.3%37 W · 74 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-36.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e78…3945backed Yes16c19,926$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,20019529.7%58 W · 137 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa3c…3111backed Yes51c19,608$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0004341.9%18 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6f8…a834backed Yes17c19,606$3,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3331717.6%3 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick13cpaid+26.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked No51c17,860$9,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,839.123540.4%95 W · 140 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Yes32c16,857$5,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,476.0524441.8%102 W · 142 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes7c16,604$1,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,214.439933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No65c16,264$10,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,756.3842043.1%181 W · 239 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf77e…b594backed Yes2c16,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250953.2%3 W · 92 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick1cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes2c15,833$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.5934122.3%76 W · 265 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No58c15,194$8,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,381.2914542.1%61 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x794d…53c8backed Yes21c15,060$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1005240.4%21 W · 31 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb866…977fbacked Yes16c15,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4006640.9%27 W · 39 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed Yes25c15,000$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7006259.7%37 W · 25 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Yes16c15,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.9821937%81 W · 138 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xacf8…e791backed Yes17c14,118$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4002035%7 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick30cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4718…e2e8backed Yes16c13,888$2,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2224829.2%14 W · 34 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes9c13,460$1,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,211.4379231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08ff…32ebbacked No75c13,254$9,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,268.7410550.5%53 W · 52 L-8.1wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes44c12,458$5,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,437.3336634.4%126 W · 240 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-38.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbcfb…efc0backed Yes41c12,195$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0007129.6%21 W · 50 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x06f8…2062backed Yes16c11,800$1,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8885916.9%10 W · 49 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e73…ac97backed Yes44c11,708$5,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,151.6412647.6%60 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa379…526abacked Yes2c11,250$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes50c11,248$5,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,623.7556410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0873…09e8backed Yes1c10,998$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.31400%0 W · 40 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked No49c10,155$4,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,179.0514250%71 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38de…f06cbacked Yes0c10,061$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406520%13 W · 52 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-38.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe5d…2af5backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed No50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0006842.6%29 W · 39 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b3b…5ae2backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7058…5962backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed No52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,80010734.6%37 W · 70 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Yes15c10,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.9513331.6%42 W · 91 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x424d…3b7ebacked Yes2c9,939$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.3511421.1%24 W · 90 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick15cpaid+32.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked Yes50c9,933$4,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,966.582441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+33.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Yes38c9,360$3,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,536.7528229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x927c…6633backed No58c9,010$5,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,828.7410251%52 W · 50 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf6d…9f2abacked Yes16c9,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4406536.9%24 W · 41 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1016…b09bbacked Yes21c8,969$1,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,91624341.2%100 W · 143 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x811e…ce09backed Yes17c8,824$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5008035%28 W · 52 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe102…f569backed Yes16c8,000$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2502114.3%3 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-71%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked No49c7,861$3,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,009.0814843.2%64 W · 84 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked No51c7,780$3,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,811.8149441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes20c7,574$1,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,538.8665835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed No52c7,545$3,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,621.621029%61 W · 149 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f75…ce35backed Yes1c7,400$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.621439.7%85 W · 129 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No67c7,353$4,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,428.0733337.8%126 W · 207 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84d0…95babacked Yes14c7,065$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.818316.9%14 W · 69 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8df…656bbacked Yes15c7,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.991421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Yes16c6,857$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,097.1118633.3%62 W · 124 L-0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ede…4284backed Yes15c6,795$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,035.418738%71 W · 116 L+0.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes22c6,545$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,449.633,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62eb…ff3ebacked Yes2c6,541$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.71020%2 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-62%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fef…a76ebacked Yes16c6,440$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030.41825%2 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ce0…3125backed Yes2c6,311$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1012528%7 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick21cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.