Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6591e966aebf061547ef34cdf3494ed318969887c8b7fb53f10ed5d5461a547

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 24, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,870,441
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,918,294

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,870,441 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x682d…31abbacked Yes	23c	74,206$17,156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,156.48	56	28.6%16 W · 40 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e39…8cbfbacked Yes	0c	67,775$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.77	6	0%0 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes	0c	59,100$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.09	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08a0…b21ebacked Yes	37c	49,050$17,977 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,977.3	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes	5c	42,159$2,088 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,088.02	62	19.4%12 W · 50 L	+3.8wins	+0.06per pick	13cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e0a…b9ccbacked No	74c	40,804$29,992 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,811.4	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-2.3wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Yes	8c	39,593$3,073 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,073.41	41	61%25 W · 16 L	+8.3wins	+0.20per pick	41cpaid	+51.5%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x585b…753fbacked Yes	20c	37,708$7,714 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,714.45	52	26.9%14 W · 38 L	-5.2wins	-0.10per pick	37cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x409f…543abacked Yes	0c	31,547$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.55	19	0%0 W · 19 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3dca…3c13backed No	77c	29,248$22,662 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,585.68	67	56.7%38 W · 29 L	+11.4wins	+0.17per pick	40cpaid	+26.1%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes	27c	28,737$7,617 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,617.08	43	34.9%15 W · 28 L	+4.5wins	+0.11per pick	24cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x907d…20c4backed Yes	0c	27,194$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.21	41	0%0 W · 41 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6268…6031backed Yes	2c	26,003$505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$504.75	45	11.1%5 W · 40 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dd7…ce30backed No	63c	25,000$15,825 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,175	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.37per pick	63cpaid	+58%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes	4c	24,971$1,116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,116.26	88	21.6%19 W · 69 L	-3.7wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfce1…1b1fbacked No	63c	24,050$15,248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,802.3	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.37per pick	63cpaid	+57.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	0c	24,050$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.15	89	2.2%2 W · 87 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	-80.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8438…02febacked Yes	2c	22,251$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336.37	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…5e2abacked Yes	0c	21,340$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.99	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	23cpaid	-77.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes	6c	21,291$1,328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,327.85	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	9cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes	1c	20,000$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	101	27.7%28 W · 73 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f88…1d4dbacked Yes	36c	18,925$6,781 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,780.56	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-29%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x414b…0d3fbacked Yes	8c	18,152$1,394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,394.34	133	34.6%46 W · 87 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabce…1389backed Yes	10c	18,102$1,879 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,878.73	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdcee…bda5backed Yes	14c	18,062$2,532 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,531.82	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad91…7844backed Yes	0c	17,000$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Yes	17c	16,063$2,655 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,655.34	253	37.2%94 W · 159 L	+8.0wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde2f…af26backed Yes	0c	16,000$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a7b…e9ebbacked Yes	2c	15,304$381 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380.78	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+2.2wins	+0.28per pick	47cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5564…1550backed Yes	0c	15,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a04…0edfbacked Yes	0c	15,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd9c2…252abacked Yes	0c	15,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4eaa…9dd9backed Yes	25c	14,823$3,658 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,657.79	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdff7…94d5backed Yes	12c	14,802$1,827 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,827.02	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe702…b5d4backed Yes	2c	14,400$318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$318.11	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a5c…0b0dbacked Yes	3c	14,161$451 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$451.32	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5235…c04abacked Yes	4c	13,489$494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$493.97	65	36.9%24 W · 41 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ab5…2f52backed Yes	0c	13,300$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.3	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d67…39c9backed Yes	0c	13,282$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.56	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629b…995abacked Yes	21c	13,219$2,780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,780.28	432	43.1%186 W · 246 L	+29.2wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x214f…2915backed Yes	7c	12,060$824 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$824.48	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.08per pick	26cpaid	+50.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes	2c	12,033$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.15	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	23cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09bc…685ebacked Yes	2c	11,942$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.76	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes	41c	11,780$4,784 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,783.69	62	50%31 W · 31 L	+7.9wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4451…8b60backed Yes	2c	11,614$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.62	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	+7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa08f…19bbbacked Yes	0c	11,500$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb9d2…fb68backed Yes	0c	11,250$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.35	32	6.3%2 W · 30 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	2cpaid	-66.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd582…7109backed Yes	5c	11,130$555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$555	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15e7…ebc1backed Yes	0c	11,000$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb092…08fdbacked No	78c	10,917$8,491 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,426	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	63cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x60fd…89a9backed Yes	3c	10,368$343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$343.07	135	7.4%10 W · 125 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6745…19fdbacked Yes	2c	10,188$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.68	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92bb…1afbbacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x574a…b31ebacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f8c…5fadbacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ba2…53ddbacked Yes	16c	10,000$1,590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,589.98	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f2f…b226backed Yes	15c	10,000$1,543 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,542.8	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes	18c	9,963$1,775 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,774.63	150	26%39 W · 111 L	-6.7wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a6d…74eebacked Yes	17c	9,790$1,632 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,632.16	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+1.3wins	+0.16per pick	22cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x75f0…e11ebacked Yes	7c	9,397$629 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$629.49	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…460fbacked Yes	33c	8,977$2,955 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,954.94	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	+158.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd33f…ff7fbacked Yes	6c	8,938$574 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$573.59	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fb4…55d2backed Yes	45c	8,873$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f9…1245backed Yes	21c	8,584$1,760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,760.36	180	36.7%66 W · 114 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	4c	8,339$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$327.73	254	3.5%9 W · 245 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-50.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19a7…af6ebacked Yes	6c	8,156$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x19fc…b4e3backed No	65c	7,993$5,195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,797.4	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.20per pick	70cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	4c	7,959$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.33	211	7.1%15 W · 196 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7615…0a9fbacked Yes	39c	7,896$3,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,060	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	0c	7,887$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.58	169	1.8%3 W · 166 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x484b…7a7abacked Yes	37c	7,856$2,904 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,904.29	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c88…bfd6backed Yes	17c	7,797$1,346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,345.85	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+2.9wins	+0.49per pick	18cpaid	+457.2%equal weight	61+0.09 edge/pick
0xd15a…bb56backed Yes	3c	7,283$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc621…fc95backed Yes	4c	6,958$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.99	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x24c8…23e1backed Yes	1c	6,666$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.32	232	25%58 W · 174 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0df6…c1f3backed No	80c	6,599$5,276 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,322.73	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.28per pick	72cpaid	+41.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf27d…e6d3backed Yes	7c	6,589$489 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$488.8	51	21.6%11 W · 40 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x453c…350bbacked Yes	1c	6,565$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.45	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b16…961fbacked Yes	33c	6,467$2,122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,121.83	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-36%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72f7…92f7backed Yes	17c	6,184$1,073 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,072.54	39	41%16 W · 23 L	+4.3wins	+0.11per pick	30cpaid	+30.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe767…a092backed Yes	8c	6,139$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c3…21e3backed Yes	2c	6,050$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf70…5e92backed Yes	32c	5,987$1,886 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,885.91	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+61.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a15…7abebacked Yes	3c	5,970$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.59	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12ef…d187backed Yes	3c	5,856$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.63	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54e4…41aabacked Yes	2c	5,794$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.21	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Yes	24c	5,699$1,388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,388.29	69	14.5%10 W · 59 L	-6.9wins	-0.10per pick	24cpaid	-59.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcdbb…4124backed Yes	3c	5,428$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-76.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes	2c	5,411$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.21	44	9.1%4 W · 40 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	5cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf01…c782backed Yes	3c	5,303$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.29	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24ff…ae02backed Yes	4c	5,303$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x639d…4777backed Yes	17c	5,165$885 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$885.48	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+1.7wins	+0.34per pick	26cpaid	+409.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb71b…1da2backed Yes	29c	5,104$1,505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,505	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.24per pick	26cpaid	+91.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a2b…1461backed Yes	19c	5,048$937 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$937.48	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Yes	3c	4,997$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.95	39	25.6%10 W · 29 L	+5.4wins	+0.14per pick	12cpaid	+35.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x06e0…4d6abacked Yes	40c	4,875$1,950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,950.39	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbcc…9a30backed Yes	15c	4,779$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88e3…384ebacked Yes	2c	4,738$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	35cpaid	-58.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	5c	4,738$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.97	1,431	10.1%145 W · 1,286 L	-4.9wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3518…125ebacked Yes	2c	4,684$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event