World Politics · resolved market
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fb006e0c06caa4db12f7e30ec8c2483d658f83eb57b2ee8eb478e39beca3dfd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,331,927
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,721,948
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,331,927 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 3,339 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8718…d6ddbacked Yes | 4c | 353,773$14,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,410.77 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 15cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd0…2e83backed Yes | 41c | 162,507$66,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,873.75 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe778…6da6backed Yes | 2c | 151,625$2,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,426.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cae…9060backed Yes | 4c | 72,428$2,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 70,496$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.09 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ce…9f80backed No | 67c | 63,777$42,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,087.46 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.41per pick | 45cpaid | +130.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked No | 68c | 60,613$41,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,340.39 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7c…1d18backed Yes | 18c | 57,913$10,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,335.92 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42d1…d745backed Yes | 40c | 57,233$22,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,638.64 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6e…bd69backed Yes | 1c | 56,136$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Yes | 37c | 53,168$19,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,764.38 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 78c | 49,921$38,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,139.67 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…31abbacked Yes | 40c | 49,749$19,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,982.31 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88e3…384ebacked Yes | 18c | 44,873$8,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,181.81 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 68c | 44,368$30,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,206.1 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf360…4d73backed Yes | 12c | 44,211$5,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,419 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4a…5c76backed Yes | 34c | 42,416$14,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,565.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8a…7699backed No | 63c | 42,000$26,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,514.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085f…3b37backed Yes | 14c | 40,218$5,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,489.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc01f…cd8ebacked Yes | 19c | 39,111$7,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,455 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dca…3c13backed Yes | 19c | 37,172$7,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,013.76 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +11.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 72c | 34,984$25,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,684.86 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 69c | 33,732$23,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,350.14 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842c…58a8backed Yes | 17c | 30,826$5,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,205.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8372…5223backed Yes | 22c | 30,571$6,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,629.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…460fbacked Yes | 36c | 29,024$10,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,521.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +158.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x565a…2c1fbacked Yes | 12c | 28,560$3,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,285.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Yes | 22c | 27,144$6,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,006.81 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +81%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x327b…ffb5backed Yes | 10c | 26,383$2,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,629.94 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 8c | 24,919$1,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,921.58 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -87.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c37…f507backed Yes | 25c | 24,384$6,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,046.49 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d8…5781backed Yes | 13c | 24,287$3,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,137.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 23,700$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.65 | 89 | 2.2%2 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed No | 74c | 22,778$16,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,031.86 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +8.3wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x59d6…62c8backed Yes | 25c | 22,381$5,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,608.17 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd32c…a4c2backed No | 69c | 21,005$14,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,490.27 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be8…3c35backed Yes | 22c | 20,959$4,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,591 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 70c | 20,908$14,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,251.75 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51c0…141abacked Yes | 19c | 20,721$3,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,934.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b8…489bbacked Yes | 8c | 20,536$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d0…2ed4backed Yes | 7c | 19,710$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f9…3383backed Yes | 21c | 19,503$4,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,020 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47e…ecbebacked Yes | 25c | 19,207$4,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,733.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 30c | 19,124$5,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,751.55 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa625…437abacked Yes | 14c | 19,112$2,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,731.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 72c | 19,088$13,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,431.83 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe5…6276backed Yes | 11c | 18,563$1,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,958.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…9234backed Yes | 12c | 18,258$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,149.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8505…8f36backed Yes | 14c | 17,597$2,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,454.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e3…551fbacked Yes | 22c | 17,570$3,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,808.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f1…364bbacked Yes | 14c | 17,512$2,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,434.68 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11ba…c6bdbacked Yes | 30c | 17,503$5,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,195.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c88…8570backed Yes | 31c | 16,979$5,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,325.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc1…95f3backed Yes | 34c | 16,956$5,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,804.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf72c…0fe6backed Yes | 1c | 16,714$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43b2…72ffbacked Yes | 26c | 16,365$4,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,291.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5beb…a294backed Yes | 2c | 16,003$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…ef76backed Yes | 9c | 16,000$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.76 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 15c | 15,977$2,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,331.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…b873backed Yes | 14c | 14,981$2,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160.9 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5f…2753backed Yes | 13c | 14,836$1,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,929.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffd…1a4cbacked Yes | 32c | 14,808$4,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,710.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0c…ca5abacked Yes | 32c | 14,764$4,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,790.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e0…1fe5backed Yes | 14c | 14,226$1,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,922.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11c6…1852backed Yes | 3c | 14,067$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc99e…84a3backed Yes | 31c | 14,045$4,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,394.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…ace1backed Yes | 20c | 13,779$2,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,744.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54bc…19fdbacked Yes | 22c | 13,530$3,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,028.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf951…9585backed Yes | 1c | 13,357$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b3…87b8backed Yes | 1c | 13,072$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.32 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcd…358bbacked Yes | 16c | 12,545$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd102…7f38backed Yes | 18c | 12,543$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x867b…f2edbacked Yes | 22c | 12,403$2,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,712.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked Yes | 2c | 12,400$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.19 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72f7…92f7backed No | 55c | 12,390$6,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,620.4 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6268…6031backed Yes | 1c | 12,364$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.88 | 45 | 11.1%5 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…2315backed Yes | 31c | 12,301$3,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,842.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x709d…5501backed Yes | 44c | 12,270$5,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,366.26 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8be1…f05dbacked Yes | 3c | 12,243$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d5…c382backed Yes | 18c | 12,231$2,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,212.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7db…764bbacked Yes | 2c | 12,189$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.78 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…14e3backed Yes | 5c | 12,030$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa071…6250backed Yes | 13c | 11,837$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 36c | 11,646$4,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,234.89 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa67e…3565backed Yes | 33c | 11,594$3,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,824.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 20c | 11,215$2,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,254.63 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x639d…4777backed No | 60c | 11,143$6,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,508.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 26cpaid | +409.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…9587backed Yes | 2c | 10,825$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…6a20backed Yes | 34c | 10,716$3,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,596.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b3…be24backed Yes | 16c | 10,617$1,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,673 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83f2…c203backed Yes | 19c | 10,554$2,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,037.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1be9…47e1backed Yes | 42c | 10,493$4,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,406.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e6…d04abacked Yes | 16c | 10,470$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,675.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd47…63cebacked Yes | 33c | 10,336$3,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,449.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1229…df38backed Yes | 37c | 10,173$3,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,722.85 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a7…5834backed Yes | 39c | 10,002$3,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,929.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e60…ae42backed Yes | 28c | 9,842$2,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,798.42 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…f712backed Yes | 10c | 9,820$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3e…e3c3backed Yes | 10c | 9,653$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f88…1d4dbacked Yes | 38c | 9,603$3,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,683.98 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?this page
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes won
- Will Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Claudia López win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Daniel Quintero win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will David Luna Sánchez win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Enrique Peñalosa win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Juan Manuel Galán win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Mauricio Cardenas win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Miguel Uribe Turbay win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.