Will Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0282264ee769e9a77dc5e168cfe7966841955a4b3555485cfbddc6961198ae0

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 24, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,231,962
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $764,119

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,231,962 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8a81…58b0backed Yes	0c	109,998$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	30	0%0 W · 30 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes	0c	81,221$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.72	444	0.7%3 W · 441 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-87.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2179…bedbbacked Yes	0c	59,999$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	46	0%0 W · 46 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1332…614cbacked Yes	4c	58,541$2,584 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,584.12	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.24per pick	43cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc53…9754backed Yes	0c	52,503$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.28	58	3.4%2 W · 56 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes	0c	31,091$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.66	476	6.5%31 W · 445 L	-8.9wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ea7…a3d0backed Yes	0c	30,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes	0c	28,126$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.44	361	4.4%16 W · 345 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x907d…20c4backed Yes	0c	20,663$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.33	41	0%0 W · 41 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa99e…4279backed Yes	3c	19,022$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e82…e4f8backed Yes	11c	18,840$1,990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,989.8	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd861…cd3fbacked Yes	10c	13,196$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.33per pick	33cpaid	+66.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c2c…407ebacked Yes	0c	11,900$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.9	110	0%0 W · 110 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4451…8b60backed Yes	0c	11,359$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	+7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccbe…f65cbacked Yes	9c	9,541$843 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$842.89	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.18per pick	52cpaid	-58%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59d6…62c8backed Yes	5c	9,456$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.37	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+1.5wins	+0.13per pick	21cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	0c	8,500$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	89	2.2%2 W · 87 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	-80.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9d2…fb68backed Yes	1c	7,401$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.8	32	6.3%2 W · 30 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	2cpaid	-66.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f39…ad0dbacked Yes	0c	5,406$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.8	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x40d2…e683backed Yes	3c	5,335$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.06	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.29per pick	21cpaid	+28.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Yes	5c	5,084$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.42	69	14.5%10 W · 59 L	-6.9wins	-0.10per pick	24cpaid	-59.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3b8d…51c8backed Yes	0c	5,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.2	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeab3…1612backed Yes	6c	4,758$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.09	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes	1c	4,690$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.49	166	4.2%7 W · 159 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	1c	4,210$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.27	169	1.8%3 W · 166 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x050f…6b27backed Yes	1c	4,103$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.31	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-75.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes	1c	4,054$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.13	688	3.6%25 W · 663 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	2c	4,020$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.14	234	4.3%10 W · 224 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes	4c	3,393$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.41	87	16.1%14 W · 73 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c85…f23dbacked Yes	1c	2,845$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	2c	2,741$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.65	254	3.5%9 W · 245 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-50.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4eaa…9dd9backed Yes	4c	2,567$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.44	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc426…69d5backed Yes	6c	2,356$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6d6…58f0backed Yes	1c	2,187$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	28	3.6%1 W · 27 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-67.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x60fd…89a9backed Yes	1c	2,157$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.76	135	7.4%10 W · 125 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	2c	1,920$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.54	211	7.1%15 W · 196 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbba8…f383backed Yes	1c	1,773$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.28	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	13cpaid	-89.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7793…53d4backed Yes	1c	1,739$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.83	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x327b…ffb5backed Yes	8c	1,721$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed Yes	2c	1,631$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.13	115	2.6%3 W · 112 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-47%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91af…1ed2backed Yes	1c	1,428$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4060…c1c4backed Yes	4c	1,352$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.38	47	23.4%11 W · 36 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7171…7af9backed Yes	3c	1,290$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.76	27	11.1%3 W · 24 L	+1.9wins	+0.07per pick	4cpaid	+72%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	6c	1,287$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.3	1,431	10.1%145 W · 1,286 L	-4.9wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x170a…0b4abacked Yes	8c	1,280$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.69	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes	2c	1,185$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.9	347	26.8%93 W · 254 L	-12.3wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dc2…0727backed Yes	2c	1,154$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.03	45	8.9%4 W · 41 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	5cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e66…41e7backed Yes	1c	1,131$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.38	35	0%0 W · 35 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6961…8a80backed Yes	3c	1,104$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f0a…f7aabacked Yes	2c	1,099$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.62	185	30.3%56 W · 129 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-50.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes	1c	1,082$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.17	77	2.6%2 W · 75 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x120e…d4a8backed Yes	2c	1,056$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-77.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x782f…bda7backed Yes	2c	1,038$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	6c	1,037$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.76	241	10.8%26 W · 215 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-34%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd493…7f04backed Yes	2c	1,024$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.38	63	11.1%7 W · 56 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	6cpaid	+117.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea89…70ccbacked Yes	6c	1,023$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.68	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.13per pick	12cpaid	+72.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50c8…fa2abacked Yes	1c	1,021$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.2	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.19per pick	31cpaid	+10%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00c3…9449backed Yes	5c	1,000$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5081…a309backed Yes	2c	956.42$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.85	80	6.3%5 W · 75 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ba5…5583backed Yes	11c	947.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.11per pick	22cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes	2c	943.52$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.63	80	3.8%3 W · 77 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a3e…2935backed Yes	4c	795$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.28	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3255…c6c7backed Yes	7c	760.79$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.11per pick	14cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2693…752ebacked Yes	2c	715.91$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.75	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe279…42c5backed Yes	9c	700$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.6	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaae3…76d7backed Yes	44c	678.02$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes	3c	653$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.98	94	18.1%17 W · 77 L	+4.4wins	+0.05per pick	13cpaid	+40.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes	5c	534.06$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.27	44	6.8%3 W · 41 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	+22.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd306…15f7backed Yes	8c	518.43$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x071e…b2ffbacked Yes	4c	501.6$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked No	40c	500$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	166	16.9%28 W · 138 L	+7.6wins	+0.05per pick	12cpaid	+111.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0e9…b806backed Yes	6c	500$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb8e…3c57backed Yes	5c	500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb701…0ca0backed Yes	8c	499.99$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.98	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-52.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x646e…4febbacked Yes	5c	484$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.78	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc73f…cbe4backed Yes	5c	462.75$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.6	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4734…0979backed Yes	6c	437.13$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.05	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+1.3wins	+0.10per pick	15cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf591…c231backed Yes	5c	418$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.23	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc9d…c719backed No	75c	416.5$311 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.57	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+2.9wins	+0.41per pick	45cpaid	+217.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9b90…4ebabacked Yes	3c	400$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.1	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5330…8cccbacked Yes	6c	400$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.2	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13dd…c3b2backed Yes	5c	398.62$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1505…5694backed Yes	9c	392$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.89	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63ba…3500backed Yes	5c	370.05$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	25cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d2a…df25backed Yes	4c	350.25$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.91	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes	4c	332.85$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.21	140	27.9%39 W · 101 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes	5c	317.57$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.82	142	5.6%8 W · 134 L	-27.2wins	-0.19per pick	25cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	32-0.16 edge/pick
0x55dd…3e41backed Yes	4c	314.98$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.7	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes	4c	312.76$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.32	58	31%18 W · 40 L	+6.8wins	+0.12per pick	19cpaid	+35.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc1bc…8ac4backed Yes	4c	310.5$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.42	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd815…07bebacked Yes	21c	258.83$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.87	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.16per pick	56cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38fa…d9cabacked Yes	5c	256.97$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.98	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+30.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c59…e135backed Yes	25c	240.61$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa225…b707backed Yes	8c	236.38$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b82…b173backed Yes	8c	230.85$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ff0…e6cdbacked Yes	6c	217.71$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.72	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked No	40c	200$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120	27	77.8%21 W · 6 L	+13.2wins	+0.49per pick	29cpaid	+167.8%equal weight	78+0.25 edge/pick
0x78c3…171ebacked Yes	8c	191.39$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.83	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+1.9wins	+0.14per pick	22cpaid	+30%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdff7…94d5backed Yes	7c	155.24$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.04	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e26…2020backed No	40c	150$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90	43	58.1%25 W · 18 L	+14.6wins	+0.34per pick	24cpaid	+200.9%equal weight	74+0.21 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event