Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x358a4c706ce29a1847d26244857c6272e5359a17aad079f5672c8fb40d50d66c

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 24, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,394,252
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,661,551

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,394,252 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 297 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes	0c	91,382$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.64	444	0.7%3 W · 441 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-87.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes	0c	73,597$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.6	361	4.4%16 W · 345 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfc53…9754backed Yes	0c	38,083$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.98	58	3.4%2 W · 56 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68e2…30acbacked Yes	0c	31,582$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.58	8	0%0 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xadc0…4601backed Yes	0c	22,826$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.14	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7222…d58fbacked Yes	0c	22,740$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.48	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x46ca…0467backed Yes	0c	22,652$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.61	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4eaa…9dd9backed Yes	1c	20,640$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.25	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce30…a3b8backed Yes	0c	20,356$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	0c	20,295$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.38	169	1.8%3 W · 166 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb8e…221abacked Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	0c	19,950$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.05	89	2.2%2 W · 87 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	-80.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdae…53e6backed Yes	1c	19,498$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.81	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e39…8cbfbacked Yes	0c	16,888$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.89	6	0%0 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes	0c	15,835$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.84	476	6.5%31 W · 445 L	-8.9wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58fd…43a6backed Yes	0c	15,078$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.08	20	0%0 W · 20 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe702…b5d4backed Yes	0c	14,910$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.91	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x59d6…62c8backed Yes	6c	13,527$774 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$773.73	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+1.5wins	+0.13per pick	21cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x139f…d525backed Yes	0c	12,206$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.36	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xed88…0dfdbacked Yes	0c	12,074$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.06	37	2.7%1 W · 36 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	1cpaid	-59.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf22f…a2a1backed Yes	3c	11,493$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-65.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd223…4e0bbacked Yes	1c	11,417$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-61.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2081…e646backed Yes	0c	11,400$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.69	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6fe2…e39abacked Yes	0c	11,351$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.97	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e76…a4cfbacked Yes	0c	11,118$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x517b…fe53backed Yes	0c	10,709$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.62	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37fd…be23backed Yes	1c	10,685$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.54	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6bd…4b08backed Yes	1c	10,685$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.54	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbecf…5563backed Yes	1c	10,349$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.49	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	-64.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9237…aa02backed Yes	0c	10,010$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.01	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e72…27fdbacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbdc4…821ebacked Yes	1c	9,630$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.19	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x852e…ae2fbacked Yes	0c	9,436$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0af1…b7dfbacked Yes	1c	9,430$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.59	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d79…1349backed Yes	1c	9,237$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.08	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96db…9868backed Yes	1c	9,179$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.51	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.25per pick	25cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf856…8347backed Yes	1c	8,573$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.45	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.15per pick	19cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xace3…1827backed Yes	2c	8,082$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.56	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9812…95d9backed Yes	1c	7,975$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.68	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	18cpaid	-52.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2f…3d2dbacked Yes	2c	7,784$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.46	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f0a…f7aabacked Yes	7c	7,752$546 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$546.3	185	30.3%56 W · 129 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-50.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa0b…dc57backed Yes	0c	7,614$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46fe…ea22backed Yes	3c	7,314$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.68	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.13per pick	21cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d7b…62b1backed Yes	0c	7,099$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.81	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21bb…d3bfbacked Yes	3c	7,016$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.62	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf531…9e75backed Yes	1c	7,006$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.46	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfff2…3f58backed Yes	0c	6,927$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.18	7	0%0 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d77…af31backed Yes	0c	6,771$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x75e5…fad6backed Yes	1c	6,672$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.74	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e91…df96backed Yes	1c	6,672$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.74	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.15per pick	18cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb701…0ca0backed Yes	1c	6,523$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-52.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d12…2b42backed Yes	0c	6,107$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.42	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x312b…cafebacked Yes	3c	5,875$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.93	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	+77.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3270…021cbacked Yes	1c	5,862$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.21	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e3c…5388backed Yes	0c	5,660$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.32	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x259c…b5cfbacked Yes	1c	5,631$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.2	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97ef…402fbacked Yes	0c	5,564$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.54	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes	2c	5,397$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.73	688	3.6%25 W · 663 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf78a…0b77backed Yes	2c	5,085$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x45ef…3b61backed Yes	1c	5,052$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.62	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd093…042abacked Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a2d…9a0cbacked Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.09per pick	24cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0694…ac2ebacked Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe3ec…2d03backed Yes	1c	4,976$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.69	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	18cpaid	-51.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb71b…1da2backed Yes	2c	4,961$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.25	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.24per pick	26cpaid	+91.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ffd…5f97backed Yes	2c	4,959$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.85	32	9.4%3 W · 29 L	-8.0wins	-0.25per pick	34cpaid	-79.9%equal weight	34-0.14 edge/pick
0x6c9b…994dbacked Yes	4c	4,940$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.34	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	19cpaid	-64%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf268…d0e3backed Yes	1c	4,917$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.92	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	13cpaid	-62%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f7c…f0d3backed Yes	1c	4,715$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.3	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc96e…1888backed Yes	1c	4,715$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.3	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2f1…6df1backed Yes	1c	4,653$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.84	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd617…2420backed Yes	1c	4,647$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.41	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb287…347dbacked Yes	1c	4,647$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.41	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.11per pick	29cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3aa0…de82backed Yes	2c	4,622$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.31	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5252…aa43backed Yes	2c	4,616$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.86	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb56…39b5backed Yes	3c	4,614$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.81	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe85c…ed6bbacked Yes	0c	4,584$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.86	19	5.3%1 W · 18 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	-92%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7980…cedabacked Yes	2c	4,563$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.01	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60fd…89a9backed Yes	0c	4,470$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.5	135	7.4%10 W · 125 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5089…5091backed Yes	1c	4,385$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.01	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8036…9bf0backed Yes	1c	4,385$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.01	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x71bc…c7e1backed Yes	1c	4,312$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.06	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa256…c140backed Yes	2c	4,308$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.39	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.43per pick	7cpaid	+309.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e2d…9e84backed Yes	2c	4,212$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.49	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x24f6…f02ebacked Yes	0c	4,123$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.82	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3401…e981backed Yes	1c	4,122$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.71	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7eae…8d2abacked Yes	0c	4,107$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.97	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x07a2…c453backed Yes	3c	4,041$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.19	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	1c	4,003$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.37	234	4.3%10 W · 224 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x414b…0d3fbacked Yes	7c	4,000$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.08	133	34.6%46 W · 87 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc563…c191backed Yes	1c	3,983$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.78	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5504…7bc2backed Yes	1c	3,916$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.91	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8443…91dabacked Yes	1c	3,839$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.07	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	3,726$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.4	1,431	10.1%145 W · 1,286 L	-4.9wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa66f…5caebacked Yes	1c	3,714$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.28	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8596…609abacked Yes	1c	3,672$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.74	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x551c…d2bfbacked Yes	1c	3,633$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.82	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.13per pick	21cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x78bd…6f4cbacked Yes	1c	3,584$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.59	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb94…389dbacked Yes	2c	3,576$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x57b0…ebb1backed Yes	0c	3,517$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event