World Politics · resolved market
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbe85201ab2b4acff01cd5a3639039fc813d3448c64db081f70926bd9b9e74e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,883,971
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,715,973
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,883,971 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,541 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16c1…4635backed No | 2c | 279,628$4,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,811.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4207…b81bbacked No | 16c | 216,114$35,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,304.56 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 73c | 121,634$88,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,372.1 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ced…5452backed Yes | 71c | 78,621$55,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,086.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 72c | 77,420$56,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,368.28 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x302a…c0efbacked No | 2c | 67,456$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7c…1d18backed No | 20c | 59,933$11,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,924.97 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59d6…62c8backed Yes | 34c | 52,224$17,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,725.51 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 22c | 49,794$10,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,964.64 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 32c | 44,302$14,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,061.18 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 1c | 43,818$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.18 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…bfa2backed Yes | 32c | 35,136$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,736.07 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc1…95f3backed No | 14c | 34,697$4,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,851.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fe…3da3backed Yes | 59c | 32,948$19,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,590.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 33c | 32,412$10,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,574.55 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x639d…4777backed Yes | 33c | 32,367$10,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,574.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 26cpaid | +409.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe778…6da6backed No | 1c | 31,702$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x296b…2cf2backed Yes | 29c | 31,399$8,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,434.73 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed No | 20c | 30,000$5,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,953 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37ab…b7a8backed No | 15c | 29,505$4,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,561.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc01f…cd8ebacked No | 20c | 28,863$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15dc…77c8backed Yes | 76c | 28,752$21,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,849.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…7f7ebacked Yes | 74c | 27,673$20,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,109.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa726…99dabacked No | 1c | 27,345$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f88…1d4dbacked Yes | 20c | 26,013$5,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,743.96 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 66c | 23,434$15,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,897.25 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No | 1c | 22,650$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.9 | 89 | 2.2%2 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c0…4827backed Yes | 24c | 21,719$5,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,590.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dca…3c13backed Yes | 60c | 21,679$13,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,602.91 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +11.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3cae…9060backed No | 1c | 21,079$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd32c…a4c2backed No | 32c | 20,954$6,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,783.06 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 30c | 20,908$6,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,302.51 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea0…fab9backed No | 1c | 20,721$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 54c | 20,644$11,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,478.29 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1999…0cdfbacked Yes | 72c | 20,569$14,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,853.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb60…71f5backed Yes | 53c | 19,789$10,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,376.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 13c | 19,112$2,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,446.06 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c5…3d6fbacked Yes | 59c | 18,643$10,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,705.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30e3…700dbacked Yes | 77c | 17,680$13,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,037.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…e43ebacked Yes | 35c | 17,284$6,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,177.73 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 28cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb25…5ab5backed Yes | 22c | 17,232$3,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,357.73 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.44per pick | 13cpaid | +418.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d0…2ed4backed No | 14c | 16,958$2,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,371.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd33c…2ab5backed Yes | 30c | 16,846$5,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,775.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…6609backed No | 35c | 16,663$5,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,851.81 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ea…bbf7backed Yes | 70c | 16,247$11,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,831.56 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf72c…0fe6backed No | 2c | 15,912$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Yes | 42c | 15,876$6,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,154.91 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 63c | 15,818$9,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,857.5 | 88 | 21.6%19 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a5…57f5backed Yes | 62c | 15,309$9,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,826.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…529abacked No | 8c | 15,130$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed3…5cebbacked Yes | 65c | 15,042$9,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,199.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7664…2e50backed Yes | 78c | 15,000$11,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c37…f507backed No | 14c | 14,967$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120.17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…4f75backed Yes | 72c | 14,895$10,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,213.91 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…12c6backed No | 9c | 14,604$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 10c | 14,588$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.34 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -87.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed No | 18c | 14,403$2,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,583.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1229…df38backed Yes | 46c | 14,300$6,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,760.21 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0afa…cf79backed Yes | 68c | 14,183$9,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,475.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +112.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72f7…92f7backed Yes | 34c | 13,529$4,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,977.06 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f9…3383backed Yes | 32c | 13,324$4,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,053.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2521…66e0backed No | 11c | 13,231$1,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.37 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 13cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…2202backed Yes | 70c | 13,096$9,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,872.15 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x54ce…9f80backed Yes | 42c | 12,911$5,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,525.69 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.41per pick | 45cpaid | +130.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…ef76backed Yes | 77c | 12,586$9,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,929.92 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0490…c81fbacked No | 65c | 12,528$8,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,150.04 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed Yes | 79c | 12,500$9,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,586.99 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…e36fbacked No | 15c | 12,469$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870.32 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…14e3backed No | 11c | 12,461$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5fd5backed Yes | 19c | 12,269$2,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,998.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +133.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e3…551fbacked No | 12c | 12,250$1,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,517.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e42…49edbacked No | 42c | 12,001$5,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,012.32 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked No | 2c | 11,890$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.7 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88e3…384ebacked No | 11c | 11,100$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.08 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf70…5e92backed Yes | 36c | 10,841$3,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,987.47 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…8c8cbacked Yes | 66c | 10,646$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,646.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed Yes | 15c | 10,610$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,026.99 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e60…ae42backed No | 35c | 10,331$3,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,634.05 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…460fbacked Yes | 13c | 10,075$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,775.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +158.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 22c | 9,980$2,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,749.53 | 323 | 54.2%175 W · 148 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0086…1b8cbacked Yes | 73c | 9,835$7,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,697.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x326a…0065backed No | 3c | 9,504$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbd…9ec2backed No | 39c | 9,304$3,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,590.24 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 37c | 9,290$3,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,431.16 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eaa…9dd9backed Yes | 21c | 9,095$1,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,212.82 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…f2e0backed No | 10c | 9,044$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d1…32f4backed Yes | 78c | 9,009$7,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,940.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…9b88backed Yes | 18c | 8,987$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,405.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +468.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72e2…6610backed Yes | 62c | 8,877$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,376.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf360…4d73backed No | 22c | 8,560$1,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,883.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed No | 28c | 8,521$2,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,344.11 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed No | 2c | 8,414$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.54 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f1…364bbacked No | 14c | 8,395$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.42 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8329…357ebacked No | 12c | 8,390$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Yes | 49c | 8,360$4,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,223.97 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 50c | 8,150$4,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,101.29 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x585b…753fbacked No | 65c | 8,150$5,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,320.38 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 30c | 8,006$2,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,403.96 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf293…65eebacked Yes | 66c | 8,000$5,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,720 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 27c | 7,907$2,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,796.31 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?this page
- Will Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Claudia López win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Daniel Quintero win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will David Luna Sánchez win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Enrique Peñalosa win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Juan Manuel Galán win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Mauricio Cardenas win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Miguel Uribe Turbay win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.