World Politics · resolved market
Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60084cd46b5b91797ad397f4c1ffb5d3fcec7c134b705d2796c0f571eedad3b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,796,854
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $251,393
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,796,854 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7eba…fadfbacked Yes | 0c | 508,398$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac91…c258backed Yes | 0c | 507,058$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x499c…07a1backed Yes | 0c | 377,177$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…27aebacked Yes | 0c | 351,821$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 83,000$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e39…8cbfbacked Yes | 0c | 75,359$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.36 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf84b…c2e5backed Yes | 0c | 73,328$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6685…5ef6backed Yes | 0c | 67,649$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1d…c510backed Yes | 0c | 64,614$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa94d…49ecbacked Yes | 0c | 64,324$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…a7ecbacked Yes | 0c | 64,220$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff24…bde5backed Yes | 0c | 64,110$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9727…d9ccbacked Yes | 0c | 64,000$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe021…9a42backed Yes | 0c | 63,200$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ca…7934backed Yes | 0c | 61,750$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0c…d4f4backed Yes | 0c | 61,000$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x741d…1ce7backed Yes | 0c | 60,812$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13f…95cbbacked Yes | 0c | 60,660$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad3f…09e5backed Yes | 0c | 60,598$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf141…59e8backed Yes | 0c | 60,511$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x564e…0c93backed Yes | 0c | 59,999$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d60…261ebacked Yes | 0c | 59,320$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b92…2254backed Yes | 0c | 59,122$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccc1…889dbacked Yes | 0c | 58,113$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.02 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b20…fd0bbacked Yes | 0c | 58,073$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0354…9f44backed Yes | 0c | 58,020$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fb…990abacked Yes | 0c | 57,951$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b02…55cabacked Yes | 0c | 57,712$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x771b…b76ebacked Yes | 0c | 57,510$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf2…5f07backed Yes | 0c | 57,500$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22ca…a808backed Yes | 0c | 57,455$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…5ec4backed Yes | 0c | 56,956$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69a7…a8b9backed Yes | 0c | 55,720$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x915a…fbcebacked Yes | 0c | 55,550$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x627c…6a77backed Yes | 0c | 55,420$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…d430backed Yes | 0c | 55,330$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bae…73edbacked Yes | 0c | 55,230$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78df…9cccbacked Yes | 0c | 55,167$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d62…24febacked Yes | 0c | 55,140$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde10…20f8backed Yes | 0c | 54,986$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e16…f282backed Yes | 0c | 54,216$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1253…01b9backed Yes | 0c | 54,110$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b23…348fbacked Yes | 0c | 54,040$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf12b…b5d2backed Yes | 0c | 54,013$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x324a…33f2backed Yes | 0c | 53,620$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…2957backed Yes | 0c | 53,490$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3201…148bbacked Yes | 0c | 53,240$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4e…0e55backed Yes | 0c | 53,100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…c6c4backed Yes | 0c | 53,030$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…42d1backed Yes | 0c | 52,770$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf345…0e25backed Yes | 0c | 52,000$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3659…0451backed Yes | 0c | 49,999$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 0%0 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca2…76a7backed Yes | 0c | 48,870$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20a3…7888backed Yes | 0c | 48,870$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc389…295abacked Yes | 0c | 47,820$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3590…3ccfbacked Yes | 0c | 46,930$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7dd…8533backed Yes | 0c | 44,080$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…9754backed Yes | 0c | 36,500$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 58 | 3.4%2 W · 56 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f9…1dbfbacked Yes | 0c | 25,849$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…3f78backed Yes | 0c | 25,130$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf78f…0b4fbacked Yes | 0c | 25,020$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6db…0f51backed Yes | 0c | 24,900$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2239…598ebacked Yes | 0c | 23,520$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbff…1681backed Yes | 0c | 23,520$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3d…d901backed Yes | 0c | 23,520$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cf…884cbacked Yes | 0c | 23,500$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb8…d231backed Yes | 0c | 22,900$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef0…969ebacked Yes | 0c | 21,800$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0031…d4aebacked Yes | 0c | 20,580$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcf…4272backed Yes | 0c | 19,799$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2179…bedbbacked Yes | 0c | 19,606$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 46 | 0%0 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ce…e740backed Yes | 0c | 17,615$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…0dfdbacked Yes | 0c | 17,500$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 37 | 2.7%1 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc524…75a2backed Yes | 0c | 17,111$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71fa…c54abacked Yes | 0c | 16,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…4dd5backed Yes | 0c | 15,810$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc63…561abacked Yes | 0c | 15,800$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x409f…543abacked Yes | 0c | 15,114$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5644…2befbacked Yes | 0c | 14,295$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 13,501$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 361 | 4.4%16 W · 345 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5da…4c2fbacked Yes | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x669f…86aabacked Yes | 0c | 10,110$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…c289backed Yes | 0c | 10,039$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e9…f3c0backed Yes | 0c | 10,039$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc709…5f3abacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…696bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe32f…2864backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf146…06b4backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…81a1backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x717c…a038backed Yes | 1c | 7,617$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 0c | 7,200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 169 | 1.8%3 W · 166 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…55c3backed Yes | 14c | 5,653$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.41 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce71…83bcbacked Yes | 1c | 4,607$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.89 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 1,120$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59d6…62c8backed Yes | 17c | 965.68$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 27c | 428.57$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.95 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4b…cac2backed Yes | 10c | 192.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 8c | 189.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 112 | 22.3%25 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 11c | 136$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf6…559dbacked Yes | 10c | 128$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?this page
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes won
- Will Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Claudia López win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Daniel Quintero win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will David Luna Sánchez win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Enrique Peñalosa win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Juan Manuel Galán win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Mauricio Cardenas win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Miguel Uribe Turbay win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.