TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbbf2…5f07

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Tennis, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 51 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT5848.3%28 W · 30 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
Magic vs. Hawksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
Magic vs. Heatbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$16.33
Mavericks vs. Hawksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.09
Bulls vs. Kingsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$11.92
Nets vs. Pistonsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+619.4%+$68.2
Mavericks vs. Celticsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.01
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Jazz vs. 76ersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.01
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+132.6%+$14.58
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+75.4%+$8.3
Trail Blazers vs. Hawksbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+92.3%+$10.25
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+44.9%+$4.94
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+132.6%+$14.65
Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+112.8%+$13.28
Cavaliers vs. Thunderbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.01
Jazz vs. Grizzliesbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10.01
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+78.6%+$8.64
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10.01
Hornets vs. Hawksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+78.6%+$7.95
Jazz vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+35.1%+$3.55
Pelicans vs. Bucksbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.41
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canucks vs. Senatorsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10.7
Canucks vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$10.9
Lightning vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$11.8
Ducks vs. Penguinsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+108.3%+$11.05
All 4 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick77cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lafayette Leopards vs. American Eaglesbacked American Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$11
USC Trojans vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12.3
Mercer Bears vs. VMI Keydetsbacked Mercer Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+25%+$2.53
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chelsea wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Brighton & Hove Albion wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Women's: Ashlyn Krueger vs Madison Keysbacked Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+26.6%+$3.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.