TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Celtics vs. Cavaliers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Celticsof Celtics, Cavaliers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,520,506

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,520,506 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,836 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Celtics48c463,875$222,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241,214.987451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Celtics49c445,990$219,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226,040.887640.8%31 W · 45 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Cavaliers52c437,448$227,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227,123.8226253.8%141 W · 121 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Cavaliers52c367,007$189,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189,892.2323257.8%134 W · 98 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Celtics48c350,000$169,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180,999.7687144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Cavaliers52c323,630$168,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168,287.52,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6b6…13acbacked Celtics48c241,073$115,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125,358.354742.6%20 W · 27 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-14.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Celtics48c231,055$109,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121,203.7172648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Cavaliers52c167,117$86,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86,594.181,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Celtics48c156,251$75,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81,250.6236549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Celtics50c98,976$49,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,488.4843542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers51c77,144$39,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,413.144,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Celtics48c65,736$31,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,102.024,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers50c61,235$30,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,763.794,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Cavaliers52c50,376$26,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,195.61,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x183d…1270backed Cavaliers10c49,999$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.914619.6%9 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-45.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Cavaliers44c43,968$19,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,409.781,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Cavaliers52c42,465$22,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,011.832,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Cavaliers45c40,427$18,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,097.845,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdec4…b675backed Cavaliers0c38,777$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.78825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-46.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe877…bb43backed Celtics52c38,359$19,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,367.122222.7%5 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-43.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Cavaliers23c36,116$8,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,198.561,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cavaliers14c33,749$4,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,826.562,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Cavaliers1c33,277$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.921,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b1…968abacked Celtics48c32,719$15,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,013.794143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Cavaliers51c32,386$16,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,516.641,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Cavaliers24c30,176$7,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,139.624,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Cavaliers34c29,496$10,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,066.052,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Cavaliers1c26,961$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.745213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Cavaliers49c24,206$11,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,860.7948352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ad5…e941backed Cavaliers48c23,826$11,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,552.06540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Cavaliers46c23,301$10,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,659.6626353.6%141 W · 122 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72c0…0982backed Cavaliers48c22,756$10,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,922.83425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-62.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers51c21,382$10,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,860.19,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Cavaliers50c20,892$10,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,527.382,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Cavaliers51c20,800$10,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,60871547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Cavaliers48c20,000$9,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,60061851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Cavaliers52c20,000$10,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,40020947.8%100 W · 109 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Cavaliers51c20,000$10,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,15018547%87 W · 98 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Cavaliers52c20,000$10,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,399.9821549.8%107 W · 108 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Cavaliers40c19,728$7,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,865.62,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Cavaliers15c19,597$2,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,848.059629.2%28 W · 68 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-35.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Celtics50c19,284$9,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,6421,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x079e…8254backed Cavaliers53c19,000$10,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,069.75750.9%29 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Cavaliers5c18,762$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.9921446.7%100 W · 114 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe56d…2b65backed Cavaliers51c18,196$9,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,2807552%39 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0441…b3aabacked Celtics51c18,000$9,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,820.358441.7%35 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f04…73d5backed Cavaliers49c18,000$8,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,819.885444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Celtics48c17,949$8,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,333.911,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab75…cce0backed Celtics48c17,788$8,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,249.8714450.7%73 W · 71 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2694…64a5backed Celtics52c17,702$9,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,496.93475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2580…1d56backed Celtics46c16,800$7,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,071.9911737.6%44 W · 73 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Cavaliers50c16,319$8,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,239.4432540.3%131 W · 194 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05c4…a4f2backed Celtics50c16,000$8,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,920.2212045%54 W · 66 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ae5…ead2backed Cavaliers52c15,385$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,0005248.1%25 W · 27 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7517…0353backed Celtics63c15,152$9,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,543.3727865.8%183 W · 95 L+25.4wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+10.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Celtics50c14,478$7,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,182.662,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Cavaliers10c14,397$1,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,509.33,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Cavaliers52c14,371$7,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,515.3941832.8%137 W · 281 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Cavaliers3c14,349$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.8952460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc33a…3da3backed Celtics49c14,286$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,286.029741.2%40 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Celtics49c14,000$6,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,14015349%75 W · 78 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Cavaliers51c13,729$7,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,013.943,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4219…7855backed Celtics50c13,257$6,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,628.854259.5%25 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Cavaliers0c13,102$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.987211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62c0…49bfbacked Cavaliers8c12,559$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,051.661816.7%3 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-33%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Celtics64c12,513$8,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,449.0242645.5%194 W · 232 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Celtics48c12,393$5,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,397.671,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Cavaliers5c12,043$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.433179.5%30 W · 287 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71f9…da63backed Celtics52c11,920$6,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,721.41580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+87.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Cavaliers51c11,777$5,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,961.5436351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc920…7914backed Cavaliers50c11,678$5,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,8398648.8%42 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Celtics77c11,549$8,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,672.2342335.9%152 W · 271 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0389…3e49backed Celtics51c11,421$5,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,596.652100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Cavaliers50c11,226$5,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,624.9622143%95 W · 126 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf05…291bbacked Cavaliers5c10,969$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x406d…e73ebacked Celtics52c10,404$5,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,993.73475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+46.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Celtics49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,10037539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Cavaliers50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00045348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Cavaliers51c10,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,099.732039.4%126 W · 194 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x026a…1381backed Cavaliers50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Celtics45c10,000$4,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,529.9835942.1%151 W · 208 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Celtics51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,899.9720454.9%112 W · 92 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f70…c156backed Cavaliers47c9,440$4,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,436.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffab…407ebacked Celtics53c9,430$4,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,432.12100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+125.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2ec…6ba7backed Celtics53c9,430$4,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,432.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ed9…3135backed Cavaliers47c9,420$4,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,427.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Cavaliers43c9,414$4,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,009.693,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47f8…6699backed Cavaliers51c9,406$4,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,797.033354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x648d…1366backed Celtics50c9,406$4,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,702.973336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7960…734dbacked Cavaliers61c8,111$4,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,947.13669.4%25 W · 11 L+4.9wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+36.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Cavaliers42c7,595$3,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,191.9380737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd162…0d24backed Celtics49c7,516$3,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,833.334843.8%21 W · 27 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+33.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Cavaliers50c7,507$3,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,733.3651354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Cavaliers52c7,269$3,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,779.9813563%85 W · 50 L+15.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcd5a…a71cbacked Cavaliers24c7,215$1,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,707.445060%30 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Celtics49c7,000$3,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,569.9958449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Celtics55c6,561$3,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,942.5985344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9b4…3111backed Celtics51c6,331$3,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,102.529540%38 W · 57 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Cavaliers51c6,326$3,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,234.392,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 51 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.