NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 223.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b352651efa0ad6ad5fdab6c03b89d9f890e34c90336ff0f030cffe2d1874af9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $473,151
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $473,151 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 315 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 50c | 60,000$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,999.97 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 51c | 28,255$14,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,925.74 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 50c | 21,132$10,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,565.99 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 18,019$8,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,799.86 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf058…e17fbacked Under | 48c | 15,983$7,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,311.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21fc…374dbacked Under | 48c | 15,085$7,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,844.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcab6…d7f3backed Over | 52c | 14,101$7,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,332.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x539b…0b0dbacked Under | 48c | 14,083$6,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,323.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddaf…849abacked Under | 50c | 12,664$6,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,332.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over | 50c | 12,322$6,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,161 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe759…cf2ebacked Over | 52c | 12,317$6,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,404.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6fa…ba6bbacked Over | 52c | 12,121$6,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,302.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf7…e29dbacked Under | 50c | 11,257$5,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,628.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +73%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc93e…aaa4backed Under | 48c | 11,187$5,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,817.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Under | 50c | 10,581$5,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,290.49 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x251f…1fa6backed Over | 52c | 10,281$5,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,346.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa2…1e0fbacked Over | 52c | 9,876$5,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,135.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 51c | 9,800$4,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,802 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70d2…b48ebacked Under | 52c | 9,559$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,559.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 50c | 9,440$4,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,720.05 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4744…b02cbacked Under | 48c | 9,141$4,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,753.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d1…f036backed Over | 52c | 8,946$4,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,651.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2016…93f5backed Over | 52c | 8,666$4,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,506.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Over | 51c | 7,826$3,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,976.82 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2305…8908backed Over | 52c | 7,652$3,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,979.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 51c | 7,617$3,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,750.46 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda3f…739abacked Over | 52c | 7,034$3,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,657.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 50c | 6,600$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…f95ebacked Over | 52c | 6,228$3,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,238.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 49c | 6,143$3,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,013.23 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ace…ed71backed Over | 52c | 5,901$3,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,068.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x557a…16f6backed Under | 48c | 5,560$2,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,891.2 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb80a…7f7ebacked Under | 48c | 5,530$2,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,875.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 54c | 5,342$2,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900.83 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Under | 52c | 5,223$2,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,506.8 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2f…6600backed Under | 48c | 5,141$2,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,673.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9df5backed Over | 52c | 5,124$2,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,664.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02e7…92e2backed Over | 52c | 4,896$2,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,545.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf29c…5ba0backed Under | 48c | 4,825$2,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,509 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Over | 49c | 4,594$2,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250.99 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…8f88backed Under | 48c | 4,320$2,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,246.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 49cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbeda…7266backed Over | 52c | 4,167$2,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,166.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1375…a070backed Over | 48c | 4,161$1,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,997.45 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -5.0wins | -0.31per pick | 50cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9726…892ebacked Under | 52c | 4,161$2,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,997.45 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80c3…f831backed Under | 48c | 4,033$1,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,097.16 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b1…6ac3backed Under | 48c | 3,974$1,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,066.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42f…f4cdbacked Under | 48c | 3,942$1,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,049.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22e8…e66dbacked Under | 48c | 3,895$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aee…cd72backed Under | 48c | 3,791$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,971.32 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 49cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddb…c2d1backed Over | 52c | 3,790$1,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Over | 53c | 3,751$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 172 | 46.5%80 W · 92 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4963…be3bbacked Under | 48c | 3,693$1,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0041…61cebacked Under | 48c | 3,661$1,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,903.72 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b4…fe78backed Under | 48c | 3,563$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,852.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1622…45b0backed Over | 52c | 3,555$1,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x358f…f18bbacked Over | 52c | 3,555$1,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…4c0dbacked Over | 52c | 3,458$1,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,798.16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb5…2d60backed Over | 52c | 3,423$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d3…be51backed Under | 48c | 3,394$1,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764.88 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5860…9fb3backed Under | 48c | 3,389$1,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,762.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b4…98fcbacked Over | 52c | 3,388$1,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,761.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873e…d949backed Over | 52c | 3,288$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…2ee4backed Over | 52c | 3,256$1,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,693.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9d…b885backed Under | 48c | 3,238$1,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,683.76 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa7…76b9backed Under | 48c | 3,231$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 51cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc03e…324cbacked Under | 48c | 3,219$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,673.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 49cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d6…bcccbacked Under | 48c | 3,211$1,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +65%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 3,192$1,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573.59 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x003e…7c40backed Over | 52c | 3,178$1,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,652.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa737…9211backed Over | 52c | 3,174$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa95d…f1bfbacked Over | 52c | 3,166$1,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,646.32 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x512a…0941backed Over | 52c | 3,157$1,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,641.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…cefbbacked Under | 48c | 3,156$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,641.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ae…2a54backed Under | 48c | 3,105$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb9…9c12backed Over | 52c | 3,081$1,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,602.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a6…a038backed Under | 48c | 3,077$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.04 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfe…9dd7backed Under | 48c | 3,033$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,577.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…4226backed Over | 52c | 2,995$1,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,557.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 50c | 2,965$1,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.59 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…7ed5backed Over | 52c | 2,939$1,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeff4…ee48backed Under | 48c | 2,909$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 49cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x998d…cfdbbacked Under | 48c | 2,877$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5154…2189backed Under | 48c | 2,864$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…38dfbacked Over | 52c | 2,840$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7f…800ebacked Under | 48c | 2,834$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…27fdbacked Over | 50c | 2,800$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 139 | 59.7%83 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Over | 50c | 2,789$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.4 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc939…10d8backed Under | 48c | 2,761$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…2c2abacked Under | 48c | 2,740$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd47a…e082backed Under | 48c | 2,685$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2098…5c10backed Over | 52c | 2,668$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9871…369bbacked Under | 48c | 2,654$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.08 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4f67…3826backed Over | 52c | 2,588$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe192…47dcbacked Over | 52c | 2,569$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…12cdbacked Under | 48c | 2,552$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.04 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba98…80b0backed Under | 48c | 2,545$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 51 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 223.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-0.5)Celtics won
- Celtics vs. CavaliersCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 199.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 201.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 204.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 206.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 207.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 212.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 215.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 218.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 221.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Dean Wade: Points O/U 5.5Yes won
- Dennis Schröder: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Dennis Schröder: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Derrick White: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Derrick White: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- James Harden: Points O/U 19.5No won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jaylon Tyson: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Jaylon Tyson: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-1.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-11.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Celtics (-12.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Celtics (-13.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Celtics (-14.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Celtics (-2.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-9.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.