TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Celticsof Cavaliers, Celtics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$381,950

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $381,950 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked Celtics50c123,147$61,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,573.4987144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3a…eb9abacked Celtics53c50,677$26,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,838.0411457.9%66 W · 48 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Celtics52c22,029$11,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,573.8127747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfb0…6b5bbacked Cavaliers48c20,600$9,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,888333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers48c20,363$9,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,715.29,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x118d…bac6backed Cavaliers50c19,995$9,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,997.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Cavaliers50c15,603$7,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,800.92,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers49c14,456$7,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,127.854,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd071…9047backed Cavaliers50c14,020$7,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,010.1922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick53cpaid-56.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xec1c…8bc7backed Cavaliers50c11,428$5,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,71430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers48c9,225$4,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,388.164,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Cavaliers50c9,100$4,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,55024045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Cavaliers49c8,769$4,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,29733447.9%160 W · 174 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Cavaliers50c8,645$4,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,322.531643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Cavaliers48c7,681$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,70018749.2%92 W · 95 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddaf…849abacked Cavaliers48c7,533$3,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,621.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Cavaliers49c6,829$3,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,320.8670246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Cavaliers50c5,743$2,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,890.252,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa368…d116backed Cavaliers50c5,595$2,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,797.692839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Cavaliers50c5,202$2,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,601.1617550.9%89 W · 86 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb75…aaf9backed Cavaliers50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5007759.7%46 W · 31 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Celtics52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4001,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Celtics53c4,993$2,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,361.636,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Celtics53c4,841$2,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,275.332,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Cavaliers49c4,027$1,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,973.081,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd222…6441backed Cavaliers47c4,000$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8801844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked Celtics51c3,514$1,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7228361.4%51 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Cavaliers50c3,314$1,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,657.225951.4%133 W · 126 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Cavaliers48c3,252$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,550.3137747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Cavaliers49c3,141$1,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,553.8780737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Celtics51c3,127$1,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,520.9848054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Celtics52c2,830$1,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,358.465750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cc7…0602backed Cavaliers47c2,793$1,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,312.859352.7%49 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Celtics52c2,778$1,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,336.1413642.6%58 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Cavaliers48c2,527$1,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,21338946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cavaliers47c2,448$1,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,147.754,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Cavaliers47c2,332$1,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,107.532,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6db4…91e2backed Celtics53c2,256$1,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.321855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdd…444fbacked Cavaliers47c2,128$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Cavaliers52c2,095$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,089.572,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Cavaliers48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00028554.7%156 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x605d…cec3backed Celtics51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.8915450.6%78 W · 76 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Cavaliers50c1,800$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9002,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed Celtics54c1,759$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.2619245.3%87 W · 105 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Celtics50c1,521$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.5857950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Celtics54c1,306$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.5640451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa041…f9d5backed Celtics53c1,001$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.472147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Celtics51c936.36$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.571,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25d7…f9c9backed Cavaliers48c912.46$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.98650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Celtics53c905.03$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.422,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf676…09c5backed Celtics53c744$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.681838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Cavaliers52c736.33$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.391,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Cavaliers49c636.12$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.766248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Cavaliers48c621.79$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.093,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Cavaliers50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Celtics51c587.14$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.757650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Celtics52c517.68$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.4941553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eca…6a15backed Cavaliers49c509.21$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.519742.3%41 W · 56 L-10.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Cavaliers47c461.34$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.313,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Cavaliers48c433.33$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20818241.2%75 W · 107 L-17.6wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x46df…b057backed Celtics52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19221164.5%136 W · 75 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe20c…bf55backed Cavaliers48c378.85$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.51546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Celtics51c357.35$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.124946.6%116 W · 133 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd947…9b61backed Celtics51c324.99$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.2528751.9%149 W · 138 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Cavaliers49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14738242.9%164 W · 218 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Cavaliers50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Cavaliers48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14462347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa09e…9368backed Cavaliers47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1418353%44 W · 39 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd63…42d8backed Celtics52c256.84$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.28757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Celtics51c252.38$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.726638.7%103 W · 163 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Celtics53c245.28$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.2895452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb97…5bb6backed Celtics52c236.89$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.71875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+71.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0129…52cdbacked Cavaliers49c231.73$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.55650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b73…45d9backed Celtics51c225.25$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.3734342.9%147 W · 196 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Celtics51c223.49$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.5154549.5%270 W · 275 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d46…b09bbacked Celtics54c222.74$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.7415857%90 W · 68 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Cavaliers52c221.76$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.71,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Cavaliers50c199.98$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0748…152abacked Cavaliers49c190.43$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.31757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+46.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc04d…1411backed Celtics52c189.63$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.02875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf393…9f65backed Cavaliers47c173$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.31333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb977…aa8ebacked Celtics52c165.32$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.35837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1054…0f98backed Cavaliers49c164.27$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.49633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-43.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x95b5…3f5ebacked Cavaliers49c153.02$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.982740.7%11 W · 16 L-5.5wins-0.20per pick61cpaid-33.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1103…25b6backed Cavaliers49c148.54$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.78742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Cavaliers52c148.07$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7791846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x646f…6976backed Cavaliers47c141.06$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.31442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-31.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Celtics53c139.99$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.837750.4%190 W · 187 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Celtics51c135.1$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.255846.8%261 W · 297 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Cavaliers49c132.67$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9164844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x322f…65a5backed Cavaliers49c132.65$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6511943.7%52 W · 67 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Cavaliers47c117.02$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5549246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Celtics55c109.09$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0976552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Cavaliers47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45d2…22fbbacked Celtics53c94.74$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7411348.7%55 W · 58 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e9d…9e33backed Celtics55c91.36$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.3611663.8%74 W · 42 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Celtics50c91.22$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9245452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Celtics55c91.18$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1836453%193 W · 171 L-17.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a31…152cbacked Celtics52c87$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.7648451.2%248 W · 236 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b5…7e91backed Celtics53c83$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.012100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 51 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.