NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x796456529f47592739f23b141a9d9e31863bc7d3203e8b2ce9e1af7ad2d5d3e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Cavaliers, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $381,950
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $381,950 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Celtics | 50c | 123,147$61,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,573.49 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Celtics | 53c | 50,677$26,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,838.04 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Celtics | 52c | 22,029$11,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,573.81 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb0…6b5bbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 20,600$9,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,888 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 20,363$9,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,715.2 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…bac6backed Cavaliers | 50c | 19,995$9,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,997.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 15,603$7,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,800.9 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 14,456$7,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,127.85 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd071…9047backed Cavaliers | 50c | 14,020$7,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,010.1 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 53cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec1c…8bc7backed Cavaliers | 50c | 11,428$5,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,714 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers | 48c | 9,225$4,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,388.16 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Cavaliers | 50c | 9,100$4,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,550 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 8,769$4,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,297 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Cavaliers | 50c | 8,645$4,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,322.5 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Cavaliers | 48c | 7,681$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddaf…849abacked Cavaliers | 48c | 7,533$3,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,621.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Cavaliers | 49c | 6,829$3,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,320.86 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Cavaliers | 50c | 5,743$2,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,890.25 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa368…d116backed Cavaliers | 50c | 5,595$2,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,797.69 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 5,202$2,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,601.16 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…aaf9backed Cavaliers | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Celtics | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Celtics | 53c | 4,993$2,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,361.63 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Celtics | 53c | 4,841$2,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,275.33 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cavaliers | 49c | 4,027$1,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,973.08 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd222…6441backed Cavaliers | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Celtics | 51c | 3,514$1,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,722 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Cavaliers | 50c | 3,314$1,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,657.2 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Cavaliers | 48c | 3,252$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550.31 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 3,141$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.87 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Celtics | 51c | 3,127$1,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.98 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Celtics | 52c | 2,830$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.4 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc7…0602backed Cavaliers | 47c | 2,793$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.85 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Celtics | 52c | 2,778$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.14 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 2,527$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cavaliers | 47c | 2,448$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.75 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Cavaliers | 47c | 2,332$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.53 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db4…91e2backed Celtics | 53c | 2,256$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.32 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…444fbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cavaliers | 52c | 2,095$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.57 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Cavaliers | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x605d…cec3backed Celtics | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.89 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Cavaliers | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Celtics | 54c | 1,759$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.26 | 192 | 45.3%87 W · 105 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Celtics | 50c | 1,521$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.58 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Celtics | 54c | 1,306$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.56 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa041…f9d5backed Celtics | 53c | 1,001$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.47 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Celtics | 51c | 936.36$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.57 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d7…f9c9backed Cavaliers | 48c | 912.46$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Celtics | 53c | 905.03$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.42 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…09c5backed Celtics | 53c | 744$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.68 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 736.33$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.39 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Cavaliers | 49c | 636.12$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.7 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Cavaliers | 48c | 621.79$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.09 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Celtics | 51c | 587.14$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.7 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Celtics | 52c | 517.68$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.49 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…6a15backed Cavaliers | 49c | 509.21$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.51 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -10.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Cavaliers | 47c | 461.34$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.31 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 433.33$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -17.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x46df…b057backed Celtics | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 211 | 64.5%136 W · 75 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20c…bf55backed Cavaliers | 48c | 378.85$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Celtics | 51c | 357.35$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.1 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Celtics | 51c | 324.99$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.25 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Cavaliers | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Cavaliers | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa09e…9368backed Cavaliers | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd63…42d8backed Celtics | 52c | 256.84$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Celtics | 51c | 252.38$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.7 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Celtics | 53c | 245.28$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.28 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb97…5bb6backed Celtics | 52c | 236.89$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.71 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0129…52cdbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 231.73$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…45d9backed Celtics | 51c | 225.25$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.37 | 343 | 42.9%147 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Celtics | 51c | 223.49$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.51 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d46…b09bbacked Celtics | 54c | 222.74$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.74 | 158 | 57%90 W · 68 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Cavaliers | 52c | 221.76$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.7 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Cavaliers | 50c | 199.98$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0748…152abacked Cavaliers | 49c | 190.43$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.31 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc04d…1411backed Celtics | 52c | 189.63$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.02 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf393…9f65backed Cavaliers | 47c | 173$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb977…aa8ebacked Celtics | 52c | 165.32$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.35 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1054…0f98backed Cavaliers | 49c | 164.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b5…3f5ebacked Cavaliers | 49c | 153.02$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.98 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -5.5wins | -0.20per pick | 61cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1103…25b6backed Cavaliers | 49c | 148.54$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.78 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Cavaliers | 52c | 148.07$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x646f…6976backed Cavaliers | 47c | 141.06$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Celtics | 53c | 139.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Celtics | 51c | 135.1$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.2 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 132.67$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.91 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x322f…65a5backed Cavaliers | 49c | 132.65$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Cavaliers | 47c | 117.02$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Celtics | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Cavaliers | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d2…22fbbacked Celtics | 53c | 94.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.74 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9d…9e33backed Celtics | 55c | 91.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.36 | 116 | 63.8%74 W · 42 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Celtics | 50c | 91.22$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Celtics | 55c | 91.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.18 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Celtics | 52c | 87$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…7e91backed Celtics | 53c | 83$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 51 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-0.5)Celtics won
- Celtics vs. CavaliersCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 199.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 201.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 204.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 206.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 207.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 212.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 215.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 218.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 221.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Dean Wade: Points O/U 5.5Yes won
- Dennis Schröder: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Dennis Schröder: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Derrick White: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Derrick White: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- James Harden: Points O/U 19.5No won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jaylon Tyson: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Jaylon Tyson: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-1.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-11.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Celtics (-12.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Celtics (-13.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Celtics (-14.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Celtics (-2.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-9.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.