TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jaylon Tyson: Points O/U 11.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,429

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,429 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xeffd…5a86backed Yes48c1,400$672 inLost-$6726939.1%27 W · 42 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked No52c1,380$718 inWon+$662.495651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Yes30c1,092$322 inLost-$322.111,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed No68c1,072$726 inWon+$345.991,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa2b6…3d60backed Yes32c1,047$335 inLost-$3354351.2%22 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed No69c430.76$295 inWon+$135.4826638.7%103 W · 163 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef4e…a79abacked Yes39c282.83$110 inLost-$1103844.7%17 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No70c261.04$182 inWon+$79.454,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed No52c233.78$121 inWon+$112.85,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No61c232.61$142 inWon+$90.7290863.9%580 W · 328 L+80.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbefe…2d45backed Yes49c204.29$100 inLost-$1007841%32 W · 46 L-9.0wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-30.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x427a…4e18backed Yes28c190.55$53 inLost-$53.35911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick33cpaid-56.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf250…40a8backed Yes36c176.96$64 inLost-$64425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a9a…5eb6backed Yes27c149.81$40 inLost-$40.45850%4 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+51.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5577…f320backed Yes38c123.68$47 inLost-$471216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick34cpaid-45.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed No61c99.99$61 inWon+$38.595260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x345d…4e41backed No62c95.24$59 inWon+$36.199267.4%62 W · 30 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3f0…c8a6backed Yes32c94.27$30 inLost-$3013138.2%50 W · 81 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3727…85d4backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02a9…642dbacked Yes48c60.89$29 inLost-$29.4718143.1%78 W · 103 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No72c49.8$36 inWon+$13.941,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x484b…db0abacked Yes47c42.55$20 inLost-$20425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdda2…ba18backed Yes28c40.71$11 inLost-$11.45131.4%16 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed No66c25.66$17 inWon+$8.696956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabdd…2d96backed No69c20$14 inWon+$6.260267.3%405 W · 197 L+46.2wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 51 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.