TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 225.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,132

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,132 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x625b…201bbacked Over48c16,804$8,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,065.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf71…1a8dbacked Under52c14,296$7,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,862.082100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x23b6…3eeebacked Over48c11,200$5,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,3763046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8224…7812backed Over48c10,634$5,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,104.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda3f…739abacked Over48c9,698$4,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,655.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc03a…fa76backed Under52c9,479$4,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,549.922100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb60f…237abacked Under52c9,393$4,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,508.642100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd962…f341backed Under52c8,329$4,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,997.922100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf615…cdf0backed Over48c5,296$2,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,542.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+24.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21fc…374dbacked Under52c3,927$2,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,884.963100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over45c3,564$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,589.879,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over45c3,050$1,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,386.434,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Under55c3,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,35021446.7%100 W · 114 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e89…0541backed Under52c2,554$1,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.92771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+31.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x48c4…b12bbacked Under52c2,550$1,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6971…cb6dbacked Under52c1,827$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.96540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10f0…841bbacked Over48c1,734$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.321258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+22.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under58c1,724$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.141,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over54c1,652$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.082,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over45c1,232$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.944,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over47c1,164$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.812,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Under56c1,042$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.7433146.2%153 W · 178 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under52c927.49$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.4780737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under56c888.54$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.484,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under54c871.02$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.836,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac76…ec67backed Under56c726.95$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd840…d122backed Under52c682$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.36633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6745…25efbacked Under52c666$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under53c608.67$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.993,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5644…2b79backed Under52c556$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3ef…229cbacked Under52c539$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+23.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over51c479.68$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.082,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x500c…327dbacked Under52c472$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.56944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over54c461.49$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.21,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under58c457.19$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.723,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e9b…bf85backed Over48c456$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22e9…997fbacked Over48c422$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3db3…8fd5backed Over48c408$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.84250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9828…46a7backed Over48c396$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.08250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Under56c385$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.462347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x234c…7019backed Under52c373$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3531…21bfbacked Under52c365$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.2650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x227c…ee3fbacked Under55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6411245.5%51 W · 61 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe24b…a288backed Under52c356$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.881154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x57e9…2362backed Under52c352$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa980…ad52backed Over48c301$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.48560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e33…8166backed Over48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over46c297$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.631,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12087453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc0f…96bebacked Under52c218$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.64850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Under52c210.57$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.445452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Under49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0890957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over45c195.76$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.973,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over46c181.15$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.3384342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under53c179.16$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.443,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed Over45c177.77$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8012747.2%60 W · 67 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd95…52fbbacked Under54c168.18$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.1813938.8%54 W · 85 L-14.7wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6e15…ab70backed Over48c158$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.8430%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x99fa…97a9backed Under54c133.33$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.333756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dfb…f3f5backed Under52c126$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.48540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e66…e1b2backed Over46c125.98$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4411850%59 W · 59 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe276…a85bbacked Over45c114.9$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7112552%65 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9932…8a66backed Under52c111$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.28757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98c1…3d1ebacked Under53c107.92$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.922857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ca8…d137backed Under57c105.26$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.262951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b6…41a7backed Under53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.347247.2%34 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17b5…ae57backed Under54c92.71$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.716946.4%32 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over49c85.69$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9239943.1%172 W · 227 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over44c75.6$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.261,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x993b…ecfbbacked Over45c72$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.617142.3%30 W · 41 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Under49c71.43$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4325752.5%135 W · 122 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4892…27bcbacked Over45c64.44$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294369.8%30 W · 13 L+6.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+34.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3081349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc226…497dbacked Under55c59.33$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.72944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over54c57.04$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.887744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Over46c54$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8453839.4%212 W · 326 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5337…222bbacked Over45c41.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0812331.7%39 W · 84 L-17.0wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-39.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x59c3…48e8backed Under54c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.45964.4%38 W · 21 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb2d…cd74backed Under53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7412364.2%79 W · 44 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x855c…fa95backed Over43c36.96$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169051.1%46 W · 44 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x610d…6c37backed Over48c30.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.924557.8%26 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.31,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1588057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0f4…5107backed Over47c29.79$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144852.1%25 W · 23 L-5.4wins-0.11per pick63cpaid-20.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed Under55c29.09$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0920147.8%96 W · 105 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over48c29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.921,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc816…4b74backed Under56c26.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.796453.1%34 W · 30 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under54c26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.041,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Over47c24.9$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.752552%273 W · 252 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4eb…05b5backed Over45c24.16$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.875054%27 W · 23 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7291…3d0fbacked Over45c23.04$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.377945.6%36 W · 43 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Over44c22.73$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1091746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Over49c21.69$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6353349.3%263 W · 270 L-28.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6ca…de85backed Over56c20.23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.33333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid+51.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.241354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 51 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.