TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe4eb…05b5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
109
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 63 out of 100; worst La Liga at 50.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT5054%27 W · 23 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.34
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.62
Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 242.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$13.27
Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.24
Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.87
Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.05
Spread: Pistons (-13.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11.89
Spread: Hawks (-7.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11.16
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.58
Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$17.69
Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14.22
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9.7
Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.9
Trail Blazers vs. Rocketsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11.6
Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11.06
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+112.8%+$11.71
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+96.1%+$10.43
Raptors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13.48
Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+88.7%+$10.73
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+143.9%+$14.72
Jazz vs. Wizards: O/U 241.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+96.1%+$9.99
Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+122.2%+$14.21
Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+96.1%+$17.28
Nets vs. Heat: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.54
Jazz vs. 76ers: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.36
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT3452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Senators: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.65
Blackhawks vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$13.5
Maple Leafs vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.56
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.62
Avalanche vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.03
Bruins vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.6
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$8.98
Spread: Kings (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+47.1%+$7.1
Utah vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$12.32
Predators vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+108.3%+$21.66
Predators vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+156.4%+$16.1
Panthers vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$14.37
Panthers vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13.27
Panthers vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$16.58
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)backed Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$17.51
Sabres vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.07
Utah vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$11.78
Utah vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+122.2%+$14.4
Maple Leafs vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+132.6%+$17.05
Golden Knights vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$12.28
Golden Knights vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+138.1%+$19.42
Maple Leafs vs. Devils: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+143.9%+$19.79
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+53.8%+$6.84
Red Wings vs. Predators: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.7
Flames vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+61.3%+$8.48
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST2166.7%14 W · 7 L+5.3wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+48.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. Texas State Bobcatsbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+122.2%+$12.94
Sacred Heart Pioneers vs. Merrimack College Warriorsbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$14.37
Chicago State Cougars vs. LIU Sharksbacked Chicago State Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$12.43
Texas Longhorns vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 164.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+104.1%+$21.26
Texas Longhorns vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 163.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+92.3%+$14.62
Texas Longhorns vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 165.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+112.8%+$14.02
Stetson Hatters vs. Eastern Kentucky Colonelsbacked Stetson Hatters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+194.1%+$21.56
Stetson Hatters vs. Eastern Kentucky Colonels: O/U 156.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+127.3%+$24.3
Bryant Bulldogs vs. New Hampshire Wildcatsbacked Bryant Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.09
Eastern Michigan Eagles vs. Buffalo Bulls: O/U 144.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$24.84
UMBC Retrievers vs. NJIT Highlandersbacked NJIT Highlanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$13.61
Tennessee Volunteers vs. South Carolina Gamecocksbacked South Carolina Gamecocks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12.08
Spread: Delaware State Hornets (-1.5)backed South Carolina State Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+117.4%+$12.87
Spread: Cleveland State Vikings (-1.5)backed Cleveland State Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+122.2%+$17.25
Duke Blue Devils vs. North Carolina State Wolfpack: O/U 148.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9.53
IU Indy Jaguars vs. Cleveland State Vikings: O/U 169.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15.48
Norfolk State Spartans vs. Morgan State Bears: O/U 158.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+132.6%+$42.49
Norfolk State Spartans vs. Morgan State Bears: O/U 157.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+117.4%+$36.83
Norfolk State Spartans vs. Morgan State Bears: O/U 156.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+96.1%+$21.72
Charleston Cougars vs. UNCW Seahawksbacked Charleston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+203%+$20.58
Charleston Cougars vs. UNCW Seahawks: O/U 144.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.08
All 21 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Tabilo (-1.5) vs Baez (+1.5)backed Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+42.9%+$9.05
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.