TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

UMBC Retrievers vs. NJIT Highlanders

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
UMBC Retrieversof UMBC Retrievers, NJIT Highlanders
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,970
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,303

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,970 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3817…7d10backed NJIT Highlanders34c4,695$1,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,596.1529845.3%135 W · 163 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked UMBC Retrievers69c4,174$2,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,310.781,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed NJIT Highlanders7c2,815$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.1293447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked UMBC Retrievers66c2,555$1,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868.72,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked NJIT Highlanders30c1,624$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4821,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked NJIT Highlanders30c1,597$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.655,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed UMBC Retrievers71c1,577$1,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.623,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked NJIT Highlanders32c1,100$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.9955532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed UMBC Retrievers65c1,034$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.412,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed UMBC Retrievers68c983.54$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.671,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabf2…e56abacked NJIT Highlanders33c935.7$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.78520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-75%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56be…88febacked NJIT Highlanders33c599.91$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.452326.1%6 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed NJIT Highlanders32c595.43$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.5482048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4643…4166backed NJIT Highlanders33c580.47$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.56616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-52.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked UMBC Retrievers66c550.17$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.12,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed UMBC Retrievers75c538$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.8293247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x178d…dcd6backed NJIT Highlanders33c527.88$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.2540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+54.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked UMBC Retrievers75c497.16$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.64,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68a9…e73abacked NJIT Highlanders33c490.84$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.9826749.1%131 W · 136 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb6…ad74backed UMBC Retrievers67c470$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.1450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-30.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2d1…8458backed UMBC Retrievers67c432$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7433…25c6backed UMBC Retrievers67c368.95$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.74333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-50.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5271…0f95backed NJIT Highlanders32c367.18$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.56740.3%27 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb14…bd17backed UMBC Retrievers67c359.36$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.5916350.9%83 W · 80 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0e3…c760backed NJIT Highlanders32c357.48$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.11540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-40.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked UMBC Retrievers69c354.96$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.0440755.8%227 W · 180 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed NJIT Highlanders32c345.97$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.3281528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe81b…ae69backed NJIT Highlanders31c320.17$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.254843.8%21 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed NJIT Highlanders32c310.12$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.2425049.2%123 W · 127 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87b8…29dcbacked NJIT Highlanders33c309.35$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.0812147.9%58 W · 63 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bf7…12e5backed UMBC Retrievers67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+37.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked NJIT Highlanders31c300$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5302…c0dfbacked UMBC Retrievers67c285$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.05366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked UMBC Retrievers77c257.11$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.9331837.7%120 W · 198 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37d4…7e8ebacked UMBC Retrievers67c254.02$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed UMBC Retrievers69c203.08$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.537346.6%34 W · 39 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked UMBC Retrievers68c203.07$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.5425246.4%117 W · 135 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked NJIT Highlanders32c198.48$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.511,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked UMBC Retrievers71c192.97$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.4287047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff73…35ccbacked NJIT Highlanders26c178.3$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.985650%28 W · 28 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed NJIT Highlanders34c162.57$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.2712141.3%50 W · 71 L+12.3wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+40.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked NJIT Highlanders23c153.79$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.014,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a23…81cabacked UMBC Retrievers68c150$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc0d…78a5backed NJIT Highlanders32c144.36$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+29%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed UMBC Retrievers68c143.19$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.8230649%150 W · 156 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe5b…cd83backed UMBC Retrievers79c122.07$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.64250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed NJIT Highlanders32c119.09$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1125837.6%97 W · 161 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked NJIT Highlanders23c107.66$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.845740.4%23 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x890f…8d21backed UMBC Retrievers67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed UMBC Retrievers64c99.69$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.893,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed UMBC Retrievers73c96.34$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.81,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed UMBC Retrievers73c95.99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.582,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb8…56ecbacked UMBC Retrievers79c95.38$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.82366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed NJIT Highlanders32c93.96$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7718439.1%72 W · 112 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed NJIT Highlanders32c93.04$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.779150.5%46 W · 45 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked UMBC Retrievers68c88.2$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.234,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x001f…4c4abacked UMBC Retrievers69c71.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.32665.4%17 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked NJIT Highlanders17c64.13$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8271655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x035b…3ca0backed UMBC Retrievers74c62.59$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.143050%15 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked NJIT Highlanders32c61.53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6961244.9%275 W · 337 L+1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed NJIT Highlanders32c59.54$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.051030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked NJIT Highlanders32c59.54$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2720834.6%72 W · 136 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b54…db07backed NJIT Highlanders26c57.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.92245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf43c…d7c3backed NJIT Highlanders31c49.81$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6949157.2%281 W · 210 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe276…a85bbacked NJIT Highlanders33c47.28$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.622544.9%101 W · 124 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb32c…fe05backed NJIT Highlanders32c46.64$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9390%0 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f35…8b4abacked NJIT Highlanders32c46.06$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.89450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed UMBC Retrievers67c46$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2443053.3%229 W · 201 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a45…0c62backed UMBC Retrievers69c43.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.38425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-63.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4334…e901backed NJIT Highlanders35c42.52$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x140f…0b2ebacked NJIT Highlanders32c42$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.443855.3%21 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+40.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe4eb…05b5backed NJIT Highlanders33c41.25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.612166.7%14 W · 7 L+5.3wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+48.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x700a…58a5backed NJIT Highlanders34c39.81$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.638640.7%35 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd425…603ebacked UMBC Retrievers67c37.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3113560%81 W · 54 L+8.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed UMBC Retrievers68c36.48$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6813450%67 W · 67 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed NJIT Highlanders32c35.74$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.443,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked UMBC Retrievers69c34.74$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7726550.6%134 W · 131 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked UMBC Retrievers67c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.939050.5%197 W · 193 L-34.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed NJIT Highlanders40c29.75$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.919348.7%94 W · 99 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99bb…82edbacked UMBC Retrievers69c27.33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fd3…bd7fbacked UMBC Retrievers67c25.28$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.343554.3%19 W · 16 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick70cpaid-22.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x25ed…3e98backed UMBC Retrievers67c22.21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3313650.7%69 W · 67 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7602…2dd6backed UMBC Retrievers69c21.93$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.83455.9%19 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c77…6e76backed UMBC Retrievers69c21.58$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.695451.9%28 W · 26 L-6.7wins-0.12per pick64cpaid-23%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked UMBC Retrievers67c19.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.633445.8%153 W · 181 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff37…1d94backed UMBC Retrievers69c16.36$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.072755.6%15 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0fbe…993abacked UMBC Retrievers76c13.21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.166154.1%33 W · 28 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.