TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xff37…1d94

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
102
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 52 out of 100; worst MLB at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT4369.8%30 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.77
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.44
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.31
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$9.51
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.11
Hornets vs. Knicksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.92
Cavaliers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.51
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.95
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+40%+$88.2
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$35.03
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$14.62
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+25%+$14.67
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.43
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.88
Bucks vs. Netsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.79
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$8.46
Knicks vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5.29
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$9.4
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.77
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.69
Magic vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.54
Bucks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$2.86
Nets vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.56
Suns vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$6.84
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+56.4%+$12.43
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT2755.6%15 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.66
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.4
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.55
Utah Tech Trailblazers vs. California Baptist Lancersbacked California Baptist Lancers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.64
UT Arlington Mavericks vs. Utah Valley Wolverinesbacked Utah Valley Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.45
North Texas Mean Green vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricanebacked North Texas Mean Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.61
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Ole Miss Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.53
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.89
Jackson State Tigers vs. Florida A&M Rattlersbacked Florida A&M Rattlers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.37
Missouri State Bears vs. Liberty Flamesbacked Liberty Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.35
SMU Mustangs vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.55
Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Richmond Spidersbacked Richmond Spiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.56
New Mexico State Aggies vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocksbacked New Mexico State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15.53
Syracuse Orange vs. SMU Mustangsbacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$9.26
Detroit Titans vs. Robert Morris Colonialsbacked Robert Morris Colonials · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.78
Sacramento State Hornets vs. Idaho Vandalsbacked Idaho Vandals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.25
UC Davis Aggies vs. UC Irvine Anteatersbacked UC Irvine Anteaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+26.6%+$2.78
USC Trojans vs. Washington Huskiesbacked Washington Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+47.1%+$5.57
Florida State Seminoles vs. Pittsburgh Panthersbacked Florida State Seminoles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+42.9%+$4.71
UMBC Retrievers vs. NJIT Highlandersbacked UMBC Retrievers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+44.9%+$5.07
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Incarnate Word Cardinalsbacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+28.2%+$3.68
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. UC Irvine Anteatersbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.45
Florida International Golden Panthers vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogsbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.56
Georgia Southern Eagles vs. Marshall Thundering Herdbacked Georgia Southern Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+132.6%+$19.1
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT2142.9%9 W · 12 L-3.6wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-29.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
MLB — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Mets vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.06
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$8.16
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.18
New York Mets vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+107%+$16.14
Chicago White Sox vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.84
Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.59
Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.45
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$6.7
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.05
Washington Nationals vs. New York Metsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.23
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.41
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.53
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.03
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$21.57
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.93
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.19
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$10.64
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.72
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+52%+$7.4
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.08
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padresbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.96
All 21 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick66cpaid-34.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$5.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: SportsBetExpert vs LAG Gaming (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 Playoffsbacked LAG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.